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Chittenden County, VT

Burlington

RANK #975 / 996 NAT  ·  POP 168,309

1YR FORECAST: -2.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +4%

Our model projects Chittenden County's housing market at -2.0% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Chittenden County?

Burlington, the largest city in Vermont and the county seat, anchors Chittenden County, situated in northwestern Vermont between Lake Champlain and the Green Mountains. The county is Vermont's most populous, home to over a quarter of the state's residents. Commuting within the county is facilitated by Green Mountain Transit, offering bus services, and carpooling options are encouraged. The community offers access to outdoor recreation, including hiking and biking trails like the Island Line Trail, and winter sports at Bolton Valley and Cochran's Ski Area. Mount Mansfield, Vermont's highest peak, is also located within the county.

Chittenden County offers a quality of life recognized for its natural beauty and community focus. The economy is diversified, with significant employment in healthcare, education, and retail. The University of Vermont and the UVM Medical Center are major institutions and employers in the area. Recent economic developments include ongoing housing projects in Burlington and Winooski, aiming to address housing shortages, though rising costs remain a factor. The county's public schools are highly rated, and towns like South Burlington, Essex, and Williston are noted for their schools and family-friendly amenities.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
4.8x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+2.5%

Below national median

Home Prices
+0.6%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
0.1

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 4.8x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    University of Vermont Medical Center Healthcare
    10,000+
  2. 2
    University of Vermont Education
  3. 3
    GlobalFoundries Manufacturing
    1,000+
  4. 4
    Walmart Retail
  5. 5
    Dealer.com Technology
  6. 6
    Howard Center Healthcare
  7. 7
    Vermont National Guard (Army and Air) Military
  8. 8
    Husky Technologies Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Chittenden County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
168,309
+0.47% YoY
Median Household Income
$89,494
Median Home Value
$378,300
+0.6% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,511
Average Annual Pay
$73,186
+4.1% YoY
Employment
103,301
+0.1% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2366
Near national average
Migration Inflow
2.1%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
55.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$457,950
Days on Market
83
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.0
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.5%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
23.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
16.8%
Building Permits (2024)
880
Single-Family Permits
282

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

A
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
1.6
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
7.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
80.2
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
41.0
Good
Good Air Days
77%
845 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
7
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
40
2022
41
2023
42
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +2.5% 46 percentile
Population Growth +0.5% 50 percentile
Income Growth +9.2% 67 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.4% 96 percentile
Home Price Change +0.6% 39 percentile
Rent Growth -0.5% 8 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 38 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Chittenden County, VT a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Chittenden County scores just 1/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #975 of 996 counties. Job growth at +0.1% and median household income of $89,494 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Chittenden County affordable?

Chittenden County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $378,300 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.24 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,511/month on average.

Is Chittenden County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Chittenden County are both close to flat — population +0.5% YoY and jobs +0.1%. Home values shifted +0.6% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Chittenden County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.1% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Chittenden County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Washington County, VT 35 Franklin County, VT 47 Windsor County, VT 51 Rutland County, VT 69 Coweta County, GA 1 Charlotte County, FL 1 Napa County, CA 1 Humboldt County, CA 1