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Buncombe County, NC

Asheville

RANK #985 / 996 NAT  ·  #51 / 51 NC  ·  POP 269,449

1YR FORECAST: -3.4%

5YR OUTLOOK: -1%

Our model projects Buncombe County's housing market at -3.4% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Buncombe County?

Buncombe County, North Carolina, draws attention for its location within the Blue Ridge Mountains and its county seat, Asheville, a hub for arts and outdoor recreation. The county is characterized by diverse landscapes, from rural farmlands to urban centers. Commuting within the county often involves personal vehicles, though public transit options like Mountain Mobility and Asheville Redefines Transit (ART) are available, with some routes connecting to neighboring counties. Residents have access to extensive outdoor recreation, including hiking trails in Pisgah National Forest, scenic overlooks along the Blue Ridge Parkway, and various county parks like Lake Julian Park and the Buncombe County Sports Park. The climate is temperate, with an average snowfall of 13 inches, allowing for year-round outdoor activities.

Life in Buncombe County appeals to a mix of young professionals and retirees, with a community feel that balances natural surroundings and city amenities. The public school system, Buncombe County Schools, is the largest in Western North Carolina, serving nearly 22,000 students across 47 schools and programs. The local economy is influenced by tourism, higher education, and creative industries. Recent economic developments include investments in energy efficiency, water conservation, and renewable energy through programs like NC C-PACE, which provides financing for commercial property owners. Additionally, there have been economic expansion announcements in manufacturing and other sectors, contributing to job growth.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
5.4x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+2.7%

Below national median

Home Prices
-4.6%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
2.2

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 5.4x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Mission Health Healthcare
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Buncombe County Public Schools Education
    2,500+
  3. 3
    The Biltmore Company Hospitality
    1,000+
  4. 4
    Buncombe County Government Government
  5. 5
    City of Asheville Government
  6. 6
    The Grove Park Inn Resort & Spa Hospitality
  7. 7
    Eaton Corporation - Electrical Division Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Ingles Markets, Inc. Retail
  9. 9
    VA Medical Center - Asheville Healthcare
  10. 10
    Thermo Fisher Scientific, Inc. Manufacturing
    500+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Buncombe County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
269,449
+0.92% YoY
Median Household Income
$66,531
Median Home Value
$328,900
-4.61% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,209
Average Annual Pay
$58,785
+4.9% YoY
Employment
136,495
-1.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2023
Near national average
Migration Inflow
2.45%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
43.0%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$462,000
Days on Market
128
Slower market
Months of Supply
7.1
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.7%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
6.7%
Listings w/ Price Drops
20.6%
Building Permits (2024)
3,613
Single-Family Permits
1,379

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
14.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
110.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
40.7
Good
Good Air Days
76%
830 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
0
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
41
2022
38
2023
43
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,462M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Asheville Combined Cycle Station
Duke Energy
$817M Operating
Buncombe County Capital Improvement Plan (Various Projects)
Buncombe County Government
$375M Planned
Asheville Energy Complex (Solar and Battery Storage)
Duke Energy
$120M Planned
Ferry Road Community Development
Buncombe County Government, Urban Atlantic
$50M Proposed
Manufacturing Expansions (Pratt & Whitney, System Logistics, BorgWarner)
Pratt & Whitney, System Logistics Corporation, BorgWarner
$50M Operating
Buncombe County Sports Park Improvements
Buncombe County Tourism Development Authority, AstroTurf
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +2.7% 50 percentile
Population Growth +0.9% 69 percentile
Income Growth +11.4% 93 percentile
Home Price Change -4.6% 3 percentile
Rent Growth -0.7% 7 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 29 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Buncombe County, NC a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Buncombe County scores just 0/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #985 of 996 counties. Job growth at -1.3% and median household income of $66,531 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Buncombe County affordable?

Buncombe County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $328,900 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.20 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,209/month on average.

Is Buncombe County growing or shrinking?

Buncombe County is attracting residents (population +0.9% YoY) even as the job market softens with employment at -1.3%. Housing values changed -4.6% over the past 12 months. People may be moving here for affordability or lifestyle reasons rather than job opportunities.

Are people moving to Buncombe County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.45% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Buncombe County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

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