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Osceola County, FL

Kissimmee

RANK #965 / 996 NAT  ·  #39 / 41 FL  ·  POP 393,745

1YR FORECAST: -3.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +6%

#24 Fastest Growing
Our model projects Osceola County's housing market at -3.3% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Osceola County?

Kissimmee, the county seat of Osceola County, Florida, offers a blend of historic charm and access to major attractions. Located south of Orlando, the commute to downtown Orlando typically takes 25-35 minutes via Florida's Turnpike or US 441, with SunRail providing a commuter rail option. The community maintains a "small-town hospitality" feel despite its proximity to larger urban centers. Osceola County boasts extensive natural amenities, including the headwaters of the Florida Everglades at Shingle Creek Regional Park, offering opportunities for hiking, biking, canoeing, and kayaking. Lake Tohopekaliga is another prominent feature, known for boating and fishing. The county also features over 40 parks and recreation facilities.

Life in Osceola County attracts a diverse population, including families and those seeking a balance of affordability and access to amenities. The School District of Osceola County serves over 80,000 students across 60 schools, offering various academic and career programs. The economy, historically reliant on tourism and agriculture, is diversifying. Recent developments include a focus on advanced technology and manufacturing, particularly at NeoCity, a 500-acre high-tech campus. This initiative aims to create technology-focused jobs and stimulate economic growth across various sectors.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
7.2x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+7.3%

Well above national median

Home Prices
-4.8%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
4.5

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks overvalued at 7.2x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    The School District of Osceola County Education
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Walmart Retail
    2,500+
  3. 3
    The Walt Disney Company Hospitality
  4. 4
    AdventHealth System Healthcare
  5. 5
    Publix Super Markets Retail
    1,000+
  6. 6
    Gaylord Palms Resort & Convention Center Hospitality
  7. 7
    HCA Healthcare Healthcare
  8. 8
    Osceola County Government Government
  9. 9
    Goodwill Industries of Central Florida Other
  10. 10
    Westgate Resorts Hospitality

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Osceola County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
393,745
+3.53% YoY
Median Household Income
$64,312
Median Home Value
$285,200
-4.82% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,537
Average Annual Pay
$52,525
+4.8% YoY
Employment
115,837
+4.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2255
Near national average
Migration Inflow
4.71%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
26.5%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$405,190
Days on Market
83
Slower market
Months of Supply
7.1
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.3%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
9.8%
Listings w/ Price Drops
24.7%
Building Permits (2024)
8,813
Single-Family Permits
5,643

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.5
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
9.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
70.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
34.3
Good
Good Air Days
95%
1,017 of 1,075 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
0
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
33
2022
34
2023
36
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,734M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
US Development Data Center Campus
US Development
$1,000M Planned
East Osceola County Infrastructure Agreement (Edgewater East and West)
BTI Partners, Osceola County, City of St. Cloud
$261M Planned
Osceola County Solar Portfolio (3 projects)
Invenergy, Harmony Florida Solar LLC
$224M Operating/Under Construction
NeoCity Development (Center for Neovation & BRIDG)
Osceola County, SkyWater Technology, BRIDG, imec
$200M Operating
La Rosa Holdings Corp. AI Data Center
La Rosa Holdings Corp.
$50M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +7.3% 94 percentile
Population Growth +3.5% 98 percentile
Income Growth +9.9% 79 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.6% 19 percentile
Home Price Change -4.8% 3 percentile
Rent Growth -1.3% 4 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 71 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Osceola County, FL a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Osceola County scores just 2/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #965 of 996 counties. Job growth at +4.5% and median household income of $64,312 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Osceola County affordable?

Osceola County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $285,200 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.23 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,537/month on average.

Is Osceola County growing or shrinking?

Osceola County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +3.5% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +4.5% clip. Home values shifted -4.8% in the past year.

Are people moving to Osceola County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.71% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Osceola County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

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