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Weld County, CO

Greeley

RANK #935 / 996 NAT  ·  #12 / 15 CO  ·  POP 331,466

1YR FORECAST: -2.2%

5YR OUTLOOK: +9%

Our model projects Weld County's housing market at -2.2% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Weld County?

Weld County, Colorado, stands out for its vast agricultural lands and the striking Pawnee Buttes, which rise dramatically from the plains in the Pawnee National Grassland. Located in northern Colorado, it is about an hour's drive from Denver, offering a balance of rural character and access to urban amenities. The county boasts a dry, mild climate with warm summers and mild winters. Outdoor enthusiasts can explore miles of trails for hiking, biking, and horseback riding, including the 21-mile Poudre River Trail and St. Vrain State Park, known for fishing and camping.

Life in Weld County often appeals to families and those seeking a blend of community and open space. Commute options include regional bus services like the Poudre Express, connecting to Greeley, Windsor, and Fort Collins, and specialized paratransit services. The economy is diverse, with a strong foundation in agriculture and energy, and expanding sectors such as manufacturing, healthcare, logistics, and construction. This economic growth has contributed to Weld County being one of Colorado's fastest-growing areas, attracting new residents and jobs. The county is also home to 12 school districts and institutions like the University of Northern Colorado and Aims Community College.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
5.6x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+6.5%

Well above national median

Home Prices
-2.5%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
1.7

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
20x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 5.6x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    JBS USA Agriculture
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Banner Health: North Colorado Medical Center Healthcare
    2,500+
  3. 3
    Vestas Manufacturing
  4. 4
    Greeley/Evans School District 6 Education
    1,000+
  5. 5
    University of Northern Colorado Education
  6. 6
    Weld County Government Government
  7. 7
    State Farm Insurance Companies Finance
  8. 8
    Halliburton Energy Services, Inc. Energy
  9. 9
    City of Greeley Government
    500+
  10. 10
    TeleTech Services Corporation Technology

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Weld County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
331,466
+2.8% YoY
Median Household Income
$89,182
Median Home Value
$412,200
-2.47% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,351
Average Annual Pay
$66,380
+1.0% YoY
Employment
118,827
+2.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2164
Near national average
Migration Inflow
6.14%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
30.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$495,000
Days on Market
74
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.0
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.8%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
19.8%
Listings w/ Price Drops
24.3%
Building Permits (2024)
3,468
Single-Family Permits
2,866

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
13.4
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
80.5
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

C+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
53.3
Moderate
Good Air Days
43%
472 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
55
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
54
2022
51
2023
55
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$2,818M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Global AI Data Center Campus
Global AI
$1,000M Proposed
Agilent Technologies Manufacturing Expansion
Agilent Technologies
$725M Under Construction
Weld County Judicial and Administrative Center
Weld County Government
$490M Planned
Spindle Energy Center (Battery Storage)
Clearway Energy Group
$261M Under Construction
Taelor Solar Project (Solar + Battery Storage)
Undisclosed
$192M Proposed
Weld Solar Project (Solar + Battery Storage)
Weld Solar, LLC
$150M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +6.5% 92 percentile
Population Growth +2.8% 94 percentile
Income Growth +10.3% 84 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 57 percentile
Home Price Change -2.5% 12 percentile
Rent Growth -0.4% 9 percentile
Price/Rent 20x 8 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Weld County, CO a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Weld County scores just 5/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #935 of 996 counties. Job growth at +2.3% and median household income of $89,182 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Weld County affordable?

Weld County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $412,200 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.22 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,351/month on average.

Is Weld County growing or shrinking?

Weld County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +2.8% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +2.3% clip. Home values shifted -2.5% in the past year.

Are people moving to Weld County?

In significant numbers — 6.14% of Weld County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Denver County, CO 6 El Paso County, CO 6 Jefferson County, CO 6 Douglas County, CO 4 Broomfield County, CO 3 Boulder County, CO 8 Durham County, NC 5 Chatham County, GA 5