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Weld County, CO

RANK #909 / 1001 NAT  ·  #6 / 15 CO  ·  POP 350,396

1YR FORECAST: -2.9%

5YR OUTLOOK: +18%

Our model projects Weld County's housing market at -2.9% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Weld County?

Weld County, Colorado, stands out for its vast agricultural lands and the striking Pawnee Buttes, which rise dramatically from the plains in the Pawnee National Grassland. Located in northern Colorado, it is about an hour's drive from Denver, offering a balance of rural character and access to urban amenities. The county boasts a dry, mild climate with warm summers and mild winters. Outdoor enthusiasts can explore miles of trails for hiking, biking, and horseback riding, including the 21-mile Poudre River Trail and St. Vrain State Park, known for fishing and camping.

Life in Weld County often appeals to families and those seeking a blend of community and open space. Commute options include regional bus services like the Poudre Express, connecting to Greeley, Windsor, and Fort Collins, and specialized paratransit services. The economy is diverse, with a strong foundation in agriculture and energy, and expanding sectors such as manufacturing, healthcare, logistics, and construction. This economic growth has contributed to Weld County being one of Colorado's fastest-growing areas, attracting new residents and jobs. The county is also home to 12 school districts and institutions like the University of Northern Colorado and Aims Community College.

MARKET PROFILE
LEANS TOWARD

Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction

Weld County is one of 76 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -2.6% runs above the profile's typical -3.7%.

See all 76 Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
19.2x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-2.6%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
1.7

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
23x

Prices detached from rents

Housing looks overvalued at 19.2x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    JBS USA Agriculture
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Banner Health: North Colorado Medical Center Healthcare
    2,500+
  3. 3
    Vestas Manufacturing
  4. 4
    Greeley/Evans School District 6 Education
    1,000+
  5. 5
    University of Northern Colorado Education
  6. 6
    Weld County Government Government
  7. 7
    State Farm Insurance Companies Finance
  8. 8
    Halliburton Energy Services, Inc. Energy
  9. 9
    City of Greeley Government
    500+
  10. 10
    TeleTech Services Corporation Technology

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Weld County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
350,396
+2.84% YoY
Median Household Income
$97,097
Median Home Value
$471,700
-2.56% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,539
Average Annual Pay
$69,561
+4.8% YoY
Employment
123,428
+3.9% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2058
Near national average
Migration Inflow
5.24%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
33.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$495,000
Days on Market
50
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.3
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.3%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
27.1%
Listings w/ Price Drops
30.7%
Building Permits (2025)
2,993
Single-Family Permits
2,011

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
13.4
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
80.5
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

C+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
53.3
Moderate
Good Air Days
43%
472 of 1,095 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
55
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
54
2022
51
2023
55
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$2,818M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Global AI Data Center Campus
Global AI
$1,000M Proposed
Agilent Technologies Manufacturing Expansion
Agilent Technologies
$725M Under Construction
Weld County Judicial and Administrative Center
Weld County Government
$490M Planned
Spindle Energy Center (Battery Storage)
Clearway Energy Group
$261M Under Construction
Taelor Solar Project (Solar + Battery Storage)
Undisclosed
$192M Proposed
Weld Solar Project (Solar + Battery Storage)
Weld Solar, LLC
$150M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +2.8% 94 percentile
Income Growth +4.1% 80 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.1% 43 percentile
Home Price Change -2.6% 9 percentile
Rent Growth -1.1% 6 percentile
Price/Rent 23x 7 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Weld County, CO a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Weld County scores just 8/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #909 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +3.9% and median household income of $97,097 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Weld County affordable?

Weld County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $471,700 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.21 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,539/month on average.

Is Weld County growing or shrinking?

Weld County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +2.8% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +3.9% clip. Home values shifted -2.6% in the past year.

Are people moving to Weld County?

In significant numbers — 5.24% of Weld County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

El Paso County, CO 6 La Plata County, CO 12 Jefferson County, CO 3 Arapahoe County, CO 3 Larimer County, CO 2 Adams County, CO 2 Loudoun County, VA 8 Collier County, FL 7