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Comal County, TX

RANK #963 / 1001 NAT  ·  #66 / 72 TX  ·  POP 183,826

1YR FORECAST: -3.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +12%

#4 Fastest Growing
Our model projects Comal County's housing market at -3.3% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Comal County?

New Braunfels, the county seat of Comal County, is known for its German-Texan heritage, evident in its architecture and annual festivals like Wurstfest. Located in south-central Texas, Comal County sits between San Antonio (29 miles northeast) and Austin (45 miles southwest), offering a blend of Hill Country scenery and convenient access to major cities. The community offers extensive outdoor recreation, with the Guadalupe and Comal Rivers popular for tubing, kayaking, and fishing, alongside Canyon Lake for boating and swimming. Numerous parks and trails, such as those in Landa Park and Guadalupe River State Park, provide opportunities for hiking and enjoying the natural landscape.

Life in Comal County attracts families and those seeking a balance of natural beauty and community amenities. The area is served by highly-rated public schools, including Comal Independent School District and New Braunfels Independent School District. Commute options primarily involve personal vehicles, though regional public transportation and rideshare services are available. The economy is experiencing growth, with tourism playing a significant role, particularly in New Braunfels. Beyond tourism, the county sees investment in various sectors, including technology and warehousing, contributing to job growth and a changing economic landscape.

MARKET PROFILE

Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction

Comal County is one of 76 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -1.7% runs above the profile's typical -3.7%.

See all 76 Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
17.0x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-1.7%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
3.2

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
23x

Prices detached from rents

Housing looks overvalued at 17.0x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Comal Independent School District Education
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Schlitterbahn New Braunfels Hospitality
    1,000+
  3. 3
    New Braunfels Independent School District Education
  4. 4
    Rush Enterprises Other
    500+
  5. 5
    HD Supply Retail
  6. 6
    City of New Braunfels Government
  7. 7
    Comal County Government
  8. 8
    CHRISTUS Santa Rosa Health System Healthcare
    250+
  9. 9
    Resolute Baptist Hospital Healthcare
  10. 10
    New Braunfels Utilities Energy

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Comal County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
183,826
+5.31% YoY
Median Household Income
$101,889
Median Home Value
$427,200
-1.73% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,603
Average Annual Pay
$59,857
+3.1% YoY
Employment
77,302
+1.1% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2385
Near national average
Migration Inflow
6.02%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
43.3%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$439,900
Days on Market
80
Slower market
Months of Supply
7.2
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.8%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
14.8%
Listings w/ Price Drops
36.0%
Building Permits (2025)
1,726
Single-Family Permits
1,726

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
2.6
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
14.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
60.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$1,495M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
San Marcos Data Center I (CloudBurst Data Centers & Evolve Holdings)
CloudBurst Data Centers & Evolve Holdings
$1,200M Under Construction
Project Comal Data Center
KDC Real Estate Development and Investments
$145M Planned
Costco New Braunfels
Costco
$50M Under Construction
Mayfair Master-Planned Development
Undisclosed (mentioned in context of Costco)
$50M Planned
Veramendi Master-Planned Development
Undisclosed
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +5.3% 100 percentile
Income Growth +2.9% 54 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.2% 30 percentile
Home Price Change -1.7% 13 percentile
Rent Growth -1.7% 4 percentile
Price/Rent 23x 6 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Comal County, TX a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Comal County scores just 3/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #963 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +1.1% and median household income of $101,889 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Comal County affordable?

Comal County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $427,200 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.24 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,603/month on average.

Is Comal County growing or shrinking?

Comal County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +5.3% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.1% clip. Home values shifted -1.7% in the past year.

Are people moving to Comal County?

In significant numbers — 6.02% of Comal County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Bexar County, TX 3 Denton County, TX 3 San Patricio County, TX 4 Rockwall County, TX 4 Webb County, TX 4 Waller County, TX 2 Douglas County, GA 2 Benton County, OR 4