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Cecil County, MD

RANK #788 / 1001 NAT  ·  #11 / 18 MD  ·  POP 104,960

1YR FORECAST: +0.1%

5YR OUTLOOK: +24%

Our model projects Cecil County's housing market at +0.1% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Cecil County?

Cecil County, Maryland, distinguishes itself with its position at the head of the Chesapeake Bay, where five major rivers converge. This northeastern Maryland county borders both Pennsylvania and Delaware, placing it about an hour's drive from Baltimore and Philadelphia. Towns like Chesapeake City offer canal-side dining and boutiques, while North East is known for its Main Street with shops and marinas. The county's landscape features rolling hills, scenic rivers, and waterfronts, providing opportunities for boating, fishing, hiking, and horseback riding at locations such as Elk Neck State Park and Fair Hill Natural Resources Management Area.

Life in Cecil County blends rural charm with suburban conveniences, attracting families and individuals seeking more space and a slower pace. Commute options include easy access to I-95 and Route 40, and Cecil Transit provides fixed-route and on-demand bus services, with connections to MARC train service in Perryville. The Cecil County Public School System includes five high schools, six middle schools, and seventeen elementary schools. Economically, the county has a growing job market in sectors like manufacturing, healthcare, and education. Recent developments include an expansion of the Cecil County Enterprise Zone in Elkton, aimed at attracting new businesses and supporting existing employers like Northrop Grumman.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Cecil County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +1.1% YoY, population +0.6%, wages +4.9%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
14.7x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.1%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
0.1

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 14.7x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    W. L. Gore & Associates Manufacturing
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Terumo Corporation (Terumo Medical & Terumo Cardiovascular Systems) Manufacturing
    1,000+
  3. 3
    Northrop Grumman Manufacturing
    500+
  4. 4
    Penn National Gaming Hospitality
    250+
  5. 5
    Burris Logistics Logistics
  6. 6
    McDonald's Hospitality
    100+
  7. 7
    Sandy Cove Ministries Other
  8. 8
    C&S Wholesale Grocers Logistics
  9. 9
    Warwick Mushroom Farms Agriculture
  10. 10
    Kenneth O. Lester / PFG Logistics

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Cecil County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
104,960
+0.57% YoY
Median Household Income
$92,007
Median Home Value
$343,400
+1.07% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,377
Average Annual Pay
$66,588
+4.9% YoY
Employment
36,790
+0.2% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2679
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
1.95%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
28.0%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$365,151
Days on Market
31
Active market
Months of Supply
2.9
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.3%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
30.9%
Listings w/ Price Drops
23.8%
Building Permits (2025)
142
Single-Family Permits
142

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
5.0
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
13.7
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
141.7
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
43.0
Good
Good Air Days
71%
768 of 1,079 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
11
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
44
2022
43
2023
42
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.6% 47 percentile
Income Growth +0.9% 15 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.4% 22 percentile
Home Price Change +1.1% 40 percentile
Rent Growth +1.6% 28 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 45 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Cecil County, MD a good place to move to?

At 21/100, Cecil County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $92,007 combined with job growth of +0.2% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Cecil County affordable?

Housing in Cecil County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $343,400 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.27, with rents averaging $1,377/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Cecil County growing or shrinking?

Cecil County's population is growing — up +0.6% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.2%). Home values shifted +1.1% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are many people relocating to Cecil County?

Not particularly — 1.95% of Cecil County's population moved in from another state, which is below the national average. Most residents are long-term locals rather than recent transplants.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Frederick County, MD 19 Baltimore County, MD 18 Anne Arundel County, MD 18 St. Mary's County, MD 17 Calvert County, MD 29 Prince George's County, MD 30 Chelan County, WA 21 Tooele County, UT 21