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Carroll County, MD

RANK #598 / 1001 NAT  ·  #6 / 18 MD  ·  POP 175,321

1YR FORECAST: +0.8%

5YR OUTLOOK: +27%

Carroll County's housing market is projected to grow +0.8% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Carroll County?

Sykesville, once named "Coolest Small Town in America," offers a glimpse into Carroll County, Maryland's distinctive character. Located in the central part of the state, Carroll County sits between Baltimore and Frederick counties, providing a blend of rural scenery and suburban amenities. Commuting to Baltimore or Washington D.C. is possible via MTA commuter buses, though the average one-way commute of 35.6 minutes is longer than the national average. The county's landscape features rolling hills, deciduous forests, and waterways like the Patapsco River and Piney Run Reservoir, offering opportunities for hiking, fishing, and boating at parks such as Piney Run Park and Hashawha Environmental Center.

Life in Carroll County often appeals to families, with highly rated public schools. The community maintains a traditional, close-knit feel. The local economy is diverse, with a significant presence in manufacturing, transportation, and health and business services. While agriculture remains important, there is also a focus on nurturing bioscience and other emerging enterprises. The county has also invested in broadband infrastructure to support its growing businesses.

MARKET PROFILE

Educated Suburban Growth

Carroll County is one of 110 U.S. counties in this market profile — near the profile average on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +1.6% runs below the profile's typical +2.4%.

See all 110 Educated Suburban Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
21.6x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.6%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
-1.3

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
20x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 21.6x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Carroll Hospital Center (LifeBridge Health) Healthcare
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Board of Education of Carroll County Education
  3. 3
    Springfield Hospital Center Healthcare
    500+
  4. 4
    McDaniel College Education
  5. 5
    Penguin Random House Logistics
  6. 6
    Carroll Community College Education
  7. 7
    Walmart Retail
  8. 8
    Carroll County Government Government
  9. 9
    Weis Markets Retail
    250+
  10. 10
    EVAPCO Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Carroll County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
175,321
+0.58% YoY
Median Household Income
$118,211
Median Home Value
$434,000
+1.58% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,427
Average Annual Pay
$59,269
+3.2% YoY
Employment
59,458
+0.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2724
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.91%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
40.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$480,000
Days on Market
21
Active market
Months of Supply
1.7
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.0%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
48.7%
Listings w/ Price Drops
25.9%
Building Permits (2025)
153
Single-Family Permits
153

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

A
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
1.5
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
7.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
88.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
42.3
Good
Good Air Days
82%
601 of 730 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
6
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
41
2022
42
2023
44
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$263M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Blue Crab Solar & Storage LLC
Blue Crab Solar & Storage LLC
$125M Proposed
Knorr Brake Company Expansion
Knorr Brake Company
$50M Planned
Residential Developments (Multiple Communities)
Various Homebuilders (e.g., Keystone Custom Homes, Ryan Homes)
$50M Under Construction
Broadband Infrastructure Expansion (Fiber Optic Network)
Carroll County Government / Internet Service Providers
$38M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.6% 48 percentile
Income Growth +2.0% 32 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.7% 80 percentile
Home Price Change +1.6% 48 percentile
Rent Growth +2.9% 50 percentile
Price/Rent 20x 16 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Carroll County, MD a good place to move to?

Carroll County scores 40/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 1001 U.S. counties (#598). Median household income is $118,211 and job growth is running at +0.4%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Carroll County affordable?

Housing in Carroll County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $434,000 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.27, with rents averaging $1,427/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Carroll County growing or shrinking?

Carroll County's population is growing — up +0.6% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.4%). Home values shifted +1.6% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Carroll County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.91% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Carroll County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Harford County, MD 40 Queen Anne's County, MD 37 Prince George's County, MD 30 Washington County, MD 51 Calvert County, MD 29 Worcester County, MD 52 Livingston County, MI 40 Spotsylvania County, VA 40