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Cherokee County, TX

Jacksonville

RANK #902 / 996 NAT  ·  #54 / 69 TX  ·  POP 50,824

1YR FORECAST: -0.1%

5YR OUTLOOK: +12%

Our model projects Cherokee County's housing market at -0.1% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Cherokee County?

Cherokee County, located in East Texas, is perhaps best known for Jacksonville, once dubbed the "Tomato Capital of the World." This city, roughly 130 miles southeast of Dallas and 160 miles north of Houston, still celebrates its agricultural heritage with an annual Tomato Fest. The county offers a relaxed, rural lifestyle amidst piney woods and rolling hills, with outdoor recreation centered around Lake Jacksonville, Lake Palestine, and Striker Creek Reservoir, providing opportunities for boating, fishing, and hiking. Commutes within the county average around 24.4 minutes, shorter than the national average.

Life in Cherokee County often appeals to families and those seeking a quieter pace. Public schools in the county are generally rated above average. While agriculture remains a component of the economy, the region has seen investments in sectors such as timber, oil, and natural gas. The cost of living in Cherokee County is lower than the national average, particularly for housing.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
4.4x

Below national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+4.8%

Well above national median

Home Prices
-6.5%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
1.2

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 4.4x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Jacksonville Independent School District Education
    500+
  2. 2
    Rusk State Hospital Healthcare
  3. 3
    Cherokee County Board of Education Education
  4. 4
    KTH Leesburg Products Manufacturing
    250+
  5. 5
    Cherokee County Health and Rehabilitation Healthcare
  6. 6
    Bealls – Distribution Center Retail
  7. 7
    CHRISTUS Mother Frances Hospital/Clinic Healthcare
  8. 8
    Walmart Supercenter Retail
  9. 9
    Cardinal Health Healthcare
  10. 10
    Federal Health Healthcare

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Cherokee County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
50,824
+0.51% YoY
Median Household Income
$56,971
Median Home Value
$138,500
-6.47% 12mo
Median Rent
$883
Average Annual Pay
$51,098
+7.3% YoY
Employment
14,922
+1.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.4113
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.31%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
16.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$212,750
Days on Market
172
Slower market
Months of Supply
9.8
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
92.3%
Negotiation room for buyers
Listings w/ Price Drops
28.2%
Building Permits (2024)
21
Single-Family Permits
21

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.7
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
16.5
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
88.2
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$2,650M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
FGE Eagle Pines Natural Gas Electrical Generation Facility
FGE Power and FGE Power Management Corp.
$2,100M Proposed
Rainbow Springs Solar Farm
Clearway Energy Group
$500M Proposed
Cherokee Tree Farm Retreat and Conference Center
TRC Companies (developer for water features)
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +4.8% 82 percentile
Population Growth +0.5% 53 percentile
Income Growth +5.1% 4 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.1% 45 percentile
Home Price Change -6.5% 1 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 54 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Cherokee County, TX a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Cherokee County scores just 9/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #902 of 996 counties. Job growth at +1.5% and median household income of $56,971 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Cherokee County affordable?

By national standards, Cherokee County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $138,500, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.41 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $883/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Cherokee County growing or shrinking?

Cherokee County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +0.5% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.5% clip. Home values shifted -6.5% in the past year.

Are people moving to Cherokee County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.31% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Cherokee County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

Is the housing market declining in Cherokee County?

Home values fell -6.5% over the past year in Cherokee County, bringing the median down to $138,500. A drop of that magnitude usually reflects weakening demand or population outflow — worth watching if you're considering buying here.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

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