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Douglas County, GA

RANK #972 / 1001 NAT  ·  #41 / 41 GA  ·  POP 147,888

1YR FORECAST: -3.8%

5YR OUTLOOK: +11%

Our model projects Douglas County's housing market at -3.8% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Douglas County?

Douglas County, Georgia, distinguishes itself with Sweetwater Creek State Park, a wilderness preserve featuring Civil War-era mill ruins along Sweetwater Creek. Located west of Atlanta, the county seat, Douglasville, is about 20 miles from downtown, offering a suburban feel with access to urban amenities. Commuting to Atlanta is common, with options including express bus services and vanpools. The county provides various outdoor recreation opportunities, including hiking, fishing, and multi-use trails at places like Boundary Waters Recreational Complex.

Life in Douglas County often appeals to families and young professionals, with many residents owning their homes. The public school system serves over 25,000 students across numerous elementary, middle, and high schools. The local economy has seen growth, attracting investment and job creation across various sectors, including technology, data, and advanced manufacturing. This economic development contributes to the county's evolution from a traditional bedroom community to a more diversified area.

MARKET PROFILE

Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction

Douglas County is one of 76 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -3.5% matches the profile's typical -3.7%.

See all 76 Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
14.9x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-3.5%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
-0.5

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 14.9x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    WellStar Health System (WellStar Douglas Hospital) Healthcare
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Kroger Co. Retail
  3. 3
    APL Logistics Logistics
  4. 4
    Cornerstone Building Brands (Silver Line Building Products) Manufacturing
    1,000+
  5. 5
    Stitch Fix Retail
    500+
  6. 6
    McMaster-Carr Retail
  7. 7
    HomeChef Other
  8. 8
    Medline Industries Healthcare
    250+
  9. 9
    Gordon Food Service Hospitality
  10. 10
    Google Technology

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Douglas County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
147,888
+1.2% YoY
Median Household Income
$82,984
Median Home Value
$296,900
-3.5% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,570
Average Annual Pay
$59,039
+1.9% YoY
Employment
49,832
-2.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2795
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
5.47%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
30.8%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$329,995
Days on Market
58
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
4.3
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.3%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
24.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
32.5%
Building Permits (2025)
801
Single-Family Permits
471

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
6.9
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
16.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
67.4
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
39.0
Good
Good Air Days
86%
629 of 732 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
9
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
38
2022
38
2023
41
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,848M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
AWS Douglas County Data Center
Amazon (AWS)
$500M Planned
Stream Data Center (Polk Road)
Stream Data Centers (affiliate)
$500M Proposed
West Atlanta Energy Storage
NextEra Energy Resources
$398M Planned
Google Data Center Campus Expansion
Google
$300M Completed
Douglas Forward Reinvestment Plan Phase 2 (Infrastructure, Public Safety, Economic Development, Quality of Life)
Douglas County Board of Commissioners
$100M Under Construction
Lee Road Widening Project, Phase II
Douglas County
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.2% 72 percentile
Income Growth +2.8% 50 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.6% 14 percentile
Home Price Change -3.5% 4 percentile
Rent Growth -1.9% 3 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 65 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Douglas County, GA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Douglas County scores just 2/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #972 of 1001 counties. Job growth at -2.3% and median household income of $82,984 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Douglas County affordable?

Housing in Douglas County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $296,900 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.28, with rents averaging $1,570/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Douglas County growing or shrinking?

Douglas County is attracting residents (population +1.2% YoY) even as the job market softens with employment at -2.3%. Housing values changed -3.5% over the past 12 months. People may be moving here for affordability or lifestyle reasons rather than job opportunities.

Are people moving to Douglas County?

In significant numbers — 5.47% of Douglas County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Chatham County, GA 5 Effingham County, GA 6 Forsyth County, GA 7 Gwinnett County, GA 7 Richmond County, GA 7 Fayette County, GA 8 Alexandria city, VA 1 Humboldt County, CA 1