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Gwinnett County, GA

Lawrenceville

RANK #925 / 996 NAT  ·  #36 / 41 GA  ·  POP 957,977

1YR FORECAST: -1.9%

5YR OUTLOOK: +10%

Our model projects Gwinnett County's housing market at -1.9% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Gwinnett County?

Gwinnett County, Georgia, northeast of Atlanta, is known for its diverse communities and green spaces. Lawrenceville, the county seat, offers a historic downtown with the Aurora Theatre and local dining. The county provides numerous parks and trails, including Tribble Mill Park with its lakes and trails, and the Suwanee Creek Greenway. Commuting to Atlanta is common, with options like Ride Gwinnett transit services and incentives for alternative transportation. The community feel varies by town, from the artistic flair of Norcross to the family-focused atmosphere of Grayson.

Life in Gwinnett County attracts families and professionals seeking a balance of suburban living and urban access. The Gwinnett County Public Schools system is the largest in Georgia. The local economy is expanding, driven by investment in commercial and residential development, as well as growth in sectors like healthcare, technology, and manufacturing. Efforts are underway to redevelop older commercial areas into mixed-use communities, creating new housing and amenities.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
5.2x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+2.5%

Below national median

Home Prices
-3.4%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
-0.3

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 5.2x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Gwinnett County Public Schools Education
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Gwinnett County Government Government
    5,000+
  3. 3
    Publix Super Markets Retail
    2,500+
  4. 4
    Gwinnett Health Care System (now Piedmont Eastside) Healthcare
    1,000+
  5. 5
    Primerica Inc. Finance
  6. 6
    Walmart Retail
  7. 7
    Cisco Systems Technology
  8. 8
    AGCO Manufacturing
    500+
  9. 9
    Price Industries Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Jackson EMC Energy

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Gwinnett County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
957,977
+1.0% YoY
Median Household Income
$82,296
Median Home Value
$307,300
-3.37% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,594
Average Annual Pay
$66,588
+2.8% YoY
Employment
386,500
+1.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2678
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.64%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
38.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$410,000
Days on Market
80
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.2
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.6%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
16.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
27.5%
Building Permits (2024)
5,603
Single-Family Permits
4,300

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
5.5
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
12.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
50.4
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
47.7
Good
Good Air Days
56%
585 of 1,054 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
9
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
49
2022
44
2023
50
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$2,457M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
UCB Biologics Manufacturing Facility at Rowen
UCB
$2,000M Under Construction
Amazon Fulfillment Center
Amazon
$237M Operating
Gwinnett Place Mall Redevelopment
Gwinnett County
$100M Planned
Rowen Foundation Development (Initial Infrastructure)
Rowen Foundation / Gwinnett County
$70M Completed
Jimmy Carter Boulevard Mixed-Use Development
Gwinnett County
$50M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +2.5% 46 percentile
Population Growth +1.0% 72 percentile
Income Growth +8.5% 50 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.2% 39 percentile
Home Price Change -3.4% 8 percentile
Rent Growth -0.9% 6 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 40 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Gwinnett County, GA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Gwinnett County scores just 6/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #925 of 996 counties. Job growth at +1.5% and median household income of $82,296 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Gwinnett County affordable?

Housing in Gwinnett County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $307,300 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.27, with rents averaging $1,594/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Gwinnett County growing or shrinking?

Gwinnett County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +1.0% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.5% clip. Home values shifted -3.4% in the past year.

Are people moving to Gwinnett County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.64% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Gwinnett County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Newton County, GA 6 Cobb County, GA 7 Chatham County, GA 5 DeKalb County, GA 8 Rockdale County, GA 8 Forsyth County, GA 4 Montgomery County, MD 6 El Paso County, CO 6