Lowest BTI Scores

Counties in Economic Decline

The lowest-scoring counties on the Boom Town Index — areas facing economic headwinds, population loss, or overvalued housing.

# County BTI Score Proj. Growth GDP Growth Pop Growth Home Price
01 Sarasota County FL 0 -6.5% +3.7% +2.3% -8.2%
02 Williamson County TX 0 -6.1% +6.0% +4.3% -5.6%
03 Manatee County FL 0 -5.8% +4.3% +2.6% -7.2%
04 Orleans Parish LA 0 -5.6% +0.9% -0.9% -3.5%
05 Broomfield County CO 0 -5.5% +0.4% +1.7% -1.8%
06 Lee County FL 1 -5.4% +3.4% +2.8% -9.4%
07 Charlotte County FL 1 -5.2% +5.2% +2.7% -12.1%
08 Walton County FL 1 -5.1% +6.0% +4.3% -4.1%
09 Comal County TX 1 -4.8% +6.7% +5.7% -2.0%
10 Pinellas County FL 1 -4.7% +2.0% +0.2% -6.4%
11 Osceola County FL 1 -4.5% +7.3% +3.5% -4.8%
12 Chaves County NM 1 -4.5% +5.3% -0.5% -3.5%
13 Indian River County FL 1 -4.4% +2.8% +1.9% -4.8%
14 Cambria County PA 1 -4.4% +1.5% -0.6% -4.1%
15 Sevier County TN 2 -4.4% +2.2% +0.4% -3.9%
16 Bexar County TX 2 -4.3% +3.5% +1.2% -2.9%
17 Hernando County FL 2 -4.3% +5.5% +2.3% -3.3%
18 Denver County CO 2 -4.3% +1.9% +0.6% -4.2%
19 Monroe County FL 2 -4.3% +3.4% -0.2% -3.4%
20 Kerr County TX 2 -4.2% +3.5% +0.8% -3.4%
21 Hays County TX 2 -4.2% +7.3% +4.6% -5.3%
22 District of Columbia DC 2 -4.0% +1.3% -1.8% -3.0%
23 Hillsborough County FL 2 -4.0% +3.6% +1.7% -3.9%
24 Cherokee County SC 2 -4.0% +5.5% -0.0% -5.6%
25 Waller County TX 2 -4.0% -2.1% +3.5% -1.8%
26 Pasco County FL 3 -4.0% +5.3% +3.2% -4.7%
27 Sumter County FL 3 -4.0% +7.3% +3.5% -1.2%
28 Grayson County TX 3 -3.9% +5.7% +2.1% -4.7%
29 Citrus County FL 3 -3.9% +1.3% +2.2% -3.8%
30 Collin County TX 3 -3.9% +5.5% +3.8% -5.8%
31 Denton County TX 3 -3.8% +1.9% +3.4% -5.0%
32 San Patricio County TX 3 -3.6% -4.9% +0.5% -0.2%
33 Humboldt County CA 3 -3.6% +4.3% -0.6% -4.3%
34 Maricopa County AZ 3 -3.5% +4.6% +1.5% -2.3%
35 Buncombe County NC 4 -3.4% +2.7% +0.9% -4.6%
36 Arapahoe County CO 4 -3.4% +1.4% +0.4% -3.8%
37 Maui County HI 4 -3.3% +0.1% -6.2%
38 Lauderdale County MS 4 -3.2% +4.6% -1.4% -1.4%
39 Douglas County CO 4 -3.2% +3.0% +2.4% -2.9%
40 Lake County CA 4 -3.2% +6.0% +0.4% -3.6%
41 Laurens County SC 4 -3.0% +2.9% +0.5% -7.3%
42 Wise County TX 4 -3.0% -4.5% +3.2% -2.5%
43 Bell County TX 4 -3.0% +4.5% +2.2% -1.6%
44 Rockdale County GA 4 -3.0% +1.8% +0.7% -3.2%
45 Henderson County TX 4 -2.8% +4.4% +1.1% -1.9%
46 Adams County CO 5 -2.7% +2.1% +1.0% -3.8%
47 Collier County FL 5 -2.7% +5.8% +2.0% -6.3%
48 Bartow County GA 5 -2.6% +8.5% +1.4% -0.0%
49 Napa County CA 5 -2.6% +0.8% -1.0% -3.7%
50 Gallatin County MT 5 -2.6% +5.2% +2.5% -1.5%