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Citrus County, FL

RANK #874 / 1001 NAT  ·  #32 / 41 FL  ·  POP 162,472

1YR FORECAST: -2.5%

5YR OUTLOOK: +20%

Our model projects Citrus County's housing market at -2.5% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Citrus County?

Citrus County, Florida, distinguishes itself as the "Manatee Capital of the World," particularly in Crystal River, where visitors can legally swim with these gentle giants in their natural habitat. Located on Florida's Nature Coast, about 65 miles north of Tampa, the county offers a blend of suburban and rural living. Notable towns include Inverness, the county seat with a historic downtown, and Homosassa Springs, known for its wildlife park. Commutes to larger cities like Tampa or Orlando are manageable, and within the county, Citrus County Transit provides fixed routes and on-demand services. The area boasts extensive outdoor recreation, with over 50,000 acres of protected land, including springs, rivers, and state forests. Activities like kayaking, fishing, hiking on the Withlacoochee State Trail, and scalloping in the Gulf of Mexico are popular draws.

Life in Citrus County offers a relaxed pace, attracting retirees and those seeking a quieter lifestyle. The community maintains a small-town feel with local events and festivals. The economy, while historically agricultural, has diversified into tourism, healthcare, manufacturing, and technology. Major investment is flowing into sectors like data centers and energy, contributing to economic growth. The county also sees significant activity in homebuilding, which supports various trades and attracts workers. Public schools in Citrus County offer a range of programs, including specialized academies.

MARKET PROFILE

Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction

Citrus County is one of 76 U.S. counties in this market profile — near the profile average on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -3.0% runs above the profile's typical -3.7%.

See all 76 Sun Belt Post-Surge Correction counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
22.5x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-3.0%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
3.4

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
12x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks overvalued at 22.5x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    DSK Group Inc. Other
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Citrus Memorial Health Foundation Inc. Healthcare
  3. 3
    Tenet Health System Medical Healthcare
    500+
  4. 4
    Citrus HMA LLC Healthcare
    250+
  5. 5
    Quality Care Rehab Inc. Healthcare
  6. 6
    Veterans Health Administration Government
  7. 7
    County of Citrus Government
  8. 8
    Environmental Protection FL Dept. Government
  9. 9
    Air Force US Dept. of Military
  10. 10
    Citrus County School District Education
    100+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Citrus County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
162,472
+2.38% YoY
Median Household Income
$56,546
Median Home Value
$245,500
-2.95% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,107
Average Annual Pay
$50,405
+3.0% YoY
Employment
35,238
+1.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2303
Near national average
Migration Inflow
3.95%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
20.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$280,000
Days on Market
68
Slower market
Months of Supply
3.8
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.8%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
8.3%
Listings w/ Price Drops
35.9%
Building Permits (2025)
2,102
Single-Family Permits
2,082

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.0
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
25.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
153.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
44.7
Good
Good Air Days
66%
695 of 1,055 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
1
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
44
2022
45
2023
45
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$2,225M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Citrus Combined-Cycle Power Plant
Duke Energy Florida
$1,500M Operating
Holder Industrial Park Data Center Proposal
Deltona Corporation
$500M Proposed
Powerline Energy Storage
Undisclosed
$100M Planned
Bay Trail Solar Power Plant
Duke Energy Florida
$75M Operating
Crystal Ridge Residential Community
DIX Developments
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +2.4% 90 percentile
Income Growth +2.1% 34 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 54 percentile
Home Price Change -3.0% 6 percentile
Rent Growth -1.2% 5 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 88 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Citrus County, FL a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Citrus County scores just 12/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #874 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +1.5% and median household income of $56,546 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Citrus County affordable?

Citrus County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $245,500 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.23 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,107/month on average.

Is Citrus County growing or shrinking?

Citrus County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +2.4% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.5% clip. Home values shifted -3.0% in the past year.

Are people moving to Citrus County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.95% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Citrus County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

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