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Berrien County, MI

RANK #126 / 1001 NAT  ·  #5 / 36 MI  ·  POP 153,288

1YR FORECAST: +2.4%

5YR OUTLOOK: +35%

Our model projects Berrien County's housing market to grow +2.4% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Berrien County?

Berrien County, Michigan, known as "Michigan's Great Southwest," offers 42 miles of Lake Michigan shoreline, providing opportunities for swimming, sunbathing, and sunsets at places like Silver Beach County Park. The county is located in the southwestern corner of Michigan, approximately 90 miles from Chicago. Commuting within the county is primarily done by car, with an average commute time of 21.2 minutes. Public transportation options like Berrien Bus offer curb-to-curb service in rural areas, and dial-a-ride services operate in towns such as Benton Harbor, St. Joseph, Buchanan, and Niles. The community offers a blend of rural landscapes and access to nearby cities.

Life in Berrien County is characterized by its natural beauty and a focus on outdoor activities, with numerous parks, trails for hiking and biking, and access to the St. Joseph River for fishing and kayaking. The economy is driven by a mix of manufacturing, healthcare, agriculture, and tourism. Major employers include Whirlpool Corporation and Corewell Health. The county is also recognized as a leader in fruit production, particularly peaches, pears, and grapes, and is home to Michigan's wine industry. Families have access to various public school districts, including St. Joseph Public Schools and Lakeshore School District.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Berrien County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +5.4% YoY, population -0.1%, wages +2.1%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
9.8x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+5.4%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.3

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 9.8x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Whirlpool Corporation Manufacturing
    50,000+
  2. 2
    Corewell Health/Lakeland Health Healthcare
    10,000+
  3. 3
    Andrews University Education
    1,000+
  4. 4
    Berrien County Government Government
    500+
  5. 5
    Martin's Super Markets Retail
    250+
  6. 6
    Berrien Springs Public Schools Education
  7. 7
    St. Joseph Public Schools Education
  8. 8
    Lowe's Companies Retail
  9. 9
    Meijer Inc. Retail
  10. 10
    Sacred Heart Rehabilitation Center Healthcare
    100+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Berrien County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
153,288
-0.08% YoY
Median Household Income
$65,425
Median Home Value
$224,300
+5.43% 12mo
Median Rent
$942
Average Annual Pay
$58,193
+2.1% YoY
Employment
60,620
0.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2917
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.11%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
30.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$322,000
Days on Market
43
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.3
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.2%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
29.1%
Listings w/ Price Drops
25.3%
Building Permits (2025)
372
Single-Family Permits
255

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
7.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
15.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
80.7
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
40.3
Good
Good Air Days
81%
587 of 726 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
19
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
40
2022
39
2023
42
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth -0.1% 19 percentile
Income Growth +3.6% 71 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.8% 68 percentile
Home Price Change +5.4% 88 percentile
Rent Growth +5.3% 80 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 67 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Berrien County, MI a good place to move to?

Berrien County ranks #126 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 87/100, placing it in the top tier nationally. Median household income is $65,425 and the underlying growth metrics (housing, migration, income) hold up against peer counties.

Is Berrien County affordable?

Housing in Berrien County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $224,300 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.29, with rents averaging $942/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Berrien County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Berrien County are both close to flat — population -0.1% YoY and jobs 0.0%. Home values shifted +5.4% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Berrien County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.11% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Berrien County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

How is the housing market in Berrien County?

Home values climbed +5.4% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Berrien County is now valued at $224,300. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Muskegon County, MI 87 Montcalm County, MI 86 Ionia County, MI 89 Saginaw County, MI 85 Shiawassee County, MI 84 Lapeer County, MI 84 Franklin County, MO 87 Niagara County, NY 87