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Seminole County, FL

Casselberry-Altamonte Springs

RANK #663 / 996 NAT  ·  #7 / 41 FL  ·  POP 471,321

1YR FORECAST: -0.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +20%

Our model projects Seminole County's housing market at -0.3% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Seminole County?

Longwood, one of Seminole County's oldest cities, is known for its historic charm, mature oak trees, and a quieter, established atmosphere. Located just north of Orlando, Seminole County offers a suburban feel with convenient access to the larger city, typically a 20-30 minute drive to downtown Orlando, with options for Interstate 4, SR-417, and SunRail commuter train. The county is recognized for its natural amenities, including the Wekiva River system, one of Florida's federally designated Wild and Scenic Rivers, and numerous parks and trails like the Seminole Wekiva Trail, popular for cycling, jogging, and nature walks. Lake Monroe and Lake Jesup also provide opportunities for fishing, boating, and wildlife viewing.

Seminole County is often chosen by families due to its highly-rated public school system. The county is transitioning its public transportation from traditional bus routes to an on-demand rideshare service, SCOUT, which aims to provide more flexible, door-to-door options and connect riders to SunRail stations. Economically, Seminole County has seen investment in sectors like data centers, energy, and infrastructure, with companies establishing or expanding operations in the area. The county's economic development efforts focus on attracting businesses and fostering job growth.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
5.7x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+2.3%

Below national median

Home Prices
-3.7%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
3.1

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 5.7x relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Seminole County Public Schools Education
    10,000+
  2. 2
    AdventHealth Healthcare
  3. 3
    Orlando Health Healthcare
  4. 4
    American Automobile Association (AAA) Other
    5,000+
  5. 5
    Verizon Technology
  6. 6
    Publix Super Markets, Inc. Retail
  7. 7
    Walmart Retail
  8. 8
    Seminole State College of Florida Education
    1,000+
  9. 9
    Seminole County Sheriff's Office Government
  10. 10
    Mitsubishi Power Americas Energy
    500+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Seminole County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
471,321
+0.84% YoY
Median Household Income
$79,490
Median Home Value
$329,300
-3.72% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,545
Average Annual Pay
$65,449
+4.3% YoY
Employment
213,221
+0.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2414
Near national average
Migration Inflow
5.0%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
41.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$400,000
Days on Market
56
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.7
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.4%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
16.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
31.8%
Building Permits (2024)
2,280
Single-Family Permits
764

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
11.3
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
81.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
41.3
Good
Good Air Days
79%
860 of 1,092 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
1
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
42
2022
42
2023
40
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$8,815M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Seminole Electric Cooperative Solar and Storage Projects
Seminole Electric Cooperative, Sumter Electric Cooperative Energy, Suwannee Valley Electric Cooperative
$7,300M Planned
Sanford Power Plant (Natural Gas Combined-Cycle Project)
Florida Power & Light Co
$1,100M Planned
Five Points Development Projects & Courthouse Annex/Renovation
Seminole County
$165M Under Construction
HostDime Orlando Data Center
HostDime
$150M Under Construction
Seminole County Tourism Improvement District (SCTID) Capital Improvements
Seminole County Board of County Commissioners
$50M Planned
Residential New Construction (Multiple Developments)
Various (e.g., M/I Homes, D.R. Horton, K. Hovnanian® Homes, Beazer Homes, Pulte Homes, Mattamy Homes, David Weekley Homes)
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +2.3% 41 percentile
Population Growth +0.8% 66 percentile
Income Growth +8.9% 61 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.3% 34 percentile
Home Price Change -3.7% 6 percentile
Rent Growth +0.7% 16 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 35 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Seminole County, FL a good place to move to?

At 33/100, Seminole County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $79,490 combined with job growth of +0.5% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Seminole County affordable?

Seminole County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $329,300 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.24 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,545/month on average.

Is Seminole County growing or shrinking?

Seminole County's population is growing — up +0.8% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.5%). Home values shifted -3.7% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Seminole County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 5.0% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Seminole County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

St. Lucie County, FL 35 Brevard County, FL 31 Flagler County, FL 31 Santa Rosa County, FL 36 Orange County, FL 30 Volusia County, FL 37 Cumberland County, PA 33 Clark County, WA 32