38 / 100

Spotsylvania County, VA

Lee Hill

RANK #610 / 996 NAT  ·  #17 / 37 VA  ·  POP 141,097

1YR FORECAST: +0.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +21%

#2 Most Overvalued
Spotsylvania County's housing market is projected to grow +0.3% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Spotsylvania County?

Spotsylvania County, Virginia, is often recognized as the "Crossroads of the Civil War" due to the significant battles fought on its soil, including Fredericksburg, Chancellorsville, and Spotsylvania Court House. Located along Interstate 95, roughly midway between Washington, D.C., and Richmond, the county offers a blend of rural landscapes and suburban amenities. Commuting options include the Virginia Railway Express (VRE) and local bus services, connecting residents to nearby cities. The community maintains a quiet, peaceful atmosphere with access to outdoor recreation at places like Lake Anna State Park, which provides opportunities for swimming, boating, fishing, and hiking.

Life in Spotsylvania County appeals to families and professionals seeking a balance between natural beauty and convenience. The public school system serves over 24,000 students across 31 schools and is considered above average. The local economy is diversifying, with recent investments in commercial and residential development, as well as growth in data centers and renewable energy projects. Tourism also contributes to the economy, with visitor spending showing consistent increases. The county's strategic location and ongoing development contribute to its evolving economic landscape.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
24.6x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+0.9%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
-1.0

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 24.6x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Spotsylvania County School System Education
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Spotsylvania County Government Government
    1,000+
  3. 3
    HCA Virginia Health System Healthcare
    250+
  4. 4
    CVS Distribution Logistics
  5. 5
    Walmart Retail
  6. 6
    Germanna Community College Education
  7. 7
    Kaeser Compressors Manufacturing
    100+
  8. 8
    Weis Markets Retail
  9. 9
    Costco Retail
  10. 10
    UPS Logistics

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Spotsylvania County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
141,097
+1.88% YoY
Median Household Income
$105,068
Median Home Value
$349,900
+0.87% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,677
Average Annual Pay
$52,962
+2.7% YoY
Employment
37,842
+2.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3003
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
5.58%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
33.3%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$474,750
Days on Market
65
Slower market
Months of Supply
2.5
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.5%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
18.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
18.6%
Building Permits (2024)
707
Single-Family Permits
707

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
10.4
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
83.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$3,524M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
PowerHouse 95 Data Center Campus
PowerHouse Data Centers (AREP)
$800M Under Construction
Amazon Mattameade Data Center Campus
Amazon Data Services, Inc.
$770M Proposed
Spotsylvania Solar Energy Center (Pleinmont 1 & 2, Richmond, Highlander)
Sustainable Power Group (sPower)
$704M Operating
SpotsyTech Campus (Data Centers & Industrial Warehouses)
SpotsyTechnoCampus, LLC
$500M Planned
Cosner Tech Campus
Undisclosed
$450M Under Construction
Kalahari Resorts & Conventions
Kalahari Resorts & Conventions
$300M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.9% 88 percentile
Income Growth +6.2% 9 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 52 percentile
Home Price Change +0.9% 43 percentile
Rent Growth +3.2% 53 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 36 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Spotsylvania County, VA a good place to move to?

At 38/100, Spotsylvania County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $105,068 combined with job growth of +2.6% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Spotsylvania County affordable?

Housing in Spotsylvania County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $349,900 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.30, with rents averaging $1,677/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Spotsylvania County growing or shrinking?

Spotsylvania County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +1.9% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +2.6% clip. Home values shifted +0.9% in the past year.

Are people moving to Spotsylvania County?

In significant numbers — 5.58% of Spotsylvania County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Harrisonburg city, VA 39 Chesterfield County, VA 37 Prince William County, VA 37 Virginia Beach city, VA 37 Bedford County, VA 40 Frederick County, VA 40 Canadian County, OK 38 Faulkner County, AR 38