40 / 100

Spotsylvania County, VA

RANK #592 / 1001 NAT  ·  #15 / 37 VA  ·  POP 146,603

1YR FORECAST: +0.4%

5YR OUTLOOK: +27%

#29 Most Overvalued
Spotsylvania County's housing market is projected to grow +0.4% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Spotsylvania County?

Spotsylvania County, Virginia, is often recognized as the "Crossroads of the Civil War" due to the significant battles fought on its soil, including Fredericksburg, Chancellorsville, and Spotsylvania Court House. Located along Interstate 95, roughly midway between Washington, D.C., and Richmond, the county offers a blend of rural landscapes and suburban amenities. Commuting options include the Virginia Railway Express (VRE) and local bus services, connecting residents to nearby cities. The community maintains a quiet, peaceful atmosphere with access to outdoor recreation at places like Lake Anna State Park, which provides opportunities for swimming, boating, fishing, and hiking.

Life in Spotsylvania County appeals to families and professionals seeking a balance between natural beauty and convenience. The public school system serves over 24,000 students across 31 schools and is considered above average. The local economy is diversifying, with recent investments in commercial and residential development, as well as growth in data centers and renewable energy projects. Tourism also contributes to the economy, with visitor spending showing consistent increases. The county's strategic location and ongoing development contribute to its evolving economic landscape.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Spotsylvania County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +0.8% YoY, population +1.9%, wages +2.5%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
28.8x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+0.8%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
-1.0

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
17x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 28.8x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Spotsylvania County School System Education
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Spotsylvania County Government Government
    1,000+
  3. 3
    HCA Virginia Health System Healthcare
    250+
  4. 4
    CVS Distribution Logistics
  5. 5
    Walmart Retail
  6. 6
    Germanna Community College Education
  7. 7
    Kaeser Compressors Manufacturing
    100+
  8. 8
    Weis Markets Retail
  9. 9
    Costco Retail
  10. 10
    UPS Logistics

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Spotsylvania County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
146,603
+1.9% YoY
Median Household Income
$112,738
Median Home Value
$404,900
+0.83% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,779
Average Annual Pay
$54,290
+2.5% YoY
Employment
38,021
+0.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2784
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
5.26%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
34.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$467,500
Days on Market
36
Active market
Months of Supply
2.9
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
35.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
23.2%
Building Permits (2025)
681
Single-Family Permits
681

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
10.4
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
83.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$3,524M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
PowerHouse 95 Data Center Campus
PowerHouse Data Centers (AREP)
$800M Under Construction
Amazon Mattameade Data Center Campus
Amazon Data Services, Inc.
$770M Proposed
Spotsylvania Solar Energy Center (Pleinmont 1 & 2, Richmond, Highlander)
Sustainable Power Group (sPower)
$704M Operating
SpotsyTech Campus (Data Centers & Industrial Warehouses)
SpotsyTechnoCampus, LLC
$500M Planned
Cosner Tech Campus
Undisclosed
$450M Under Construction
Kalahari Resorts & Conventions
Kalahari Resorts & Conventions
$300M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.9% 86 percentile
Income Growth +2.9% 54 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 49 percentile
Home Price Change +0.8% 37 percentile
Rent Growth +3.0% 52 percentile
Price/Rent 17x 37 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Spotsylvania County, VA a good place to move to?

Spotsylvania County scores 40/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 1001 U.S. counties (#592). Median household income is $112,738 and job growth is running at +0.5%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Spotsylvania County affordable?

Housing in Spotsylvania County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $404,900 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.28, with rents averaging $1,779/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Spotsylvania County growing or shrinking?

Spotsylvania County's population is growing — up +1.9% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.5%). Home values shifted +0.8% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Spotsylvania County?

In significant numbers — 5.26% of Spotsylvania County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Richmond city, VA 38 Rockingham County, VA 37 Campbell County, VA 37 Chesterfield County, VA 34 Norfolk city, VA 30 Portsmouth city, VA 29 Flagler County, FL 40 Carroll County, MD 40