All 1001 U.S. counties ranked by projected 1-year home value growth. This momentum-weighted model captures where prices are accelerating right now. Also see: Full BTI Rankings →
San Francisco County, typically seen as a long-term value play, tops this short-term momentum list with a projected 11.4% home value growth. This indicates a significant recent acceleration in its housing market, likely driven by a rebound in tech sector confidence and a return of high-income earners. Despite its high baseline costs and negative population growth, recent price trends suggest a strong, immediate upswing, making it a surprising leader in near-term gains.
A striking pattern in this ranking is the strong showing of counties across New York, Ohio, and Illinois, particularly in regions often associated with the Rust Belt. Counties like St. Lawrence (NY), Herkimer (NY), and Trumbull (OH) are seeing home values accelerate, suggesting a localized demand surge. This short-term momentum could be fueled by increased affordability attracting buyers, or perhaps a delayed reaction to broader economic shifts finally reaching these markets.
Indiana County, PA, stands out with a projected 5.5% home value growth over the next year, despite experiencing negative GDP growth. This divergence suggests that recent housing market trends are decoupled from broader economic indicators in the short term. Local factors, such as a sudden influx of buyers seeking more affordable options or specific regional developments, are likely driving this immediate acceleration in home values, overriding the general economic climate.
| # | County | 1yr Forecast | BTI Score | 5yr Outlook | Climate | GDP | Ratio |
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