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Van Zandt County, TX

RANK #228 / 1001 NAT  ·  #9 / 72 TX  ·  POP 62,649

1YR FORECAST: -0.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +33%

Our model projects above-average housing market growth for Van Zandt County at -0.3% over the next year.

[01] Why Van Zandt County?

Van Zandt County, Texas, often called the "Free State of Van Zandt," is known for its independent spirit, a moniker that some attribute to its separation from a debt-laden Henderson County in 1848. Located about 50 miles east of Dallas, it serves as a gateway to East Texas, characterized by diverse topography ranging from prairies to post oak belts and piney woods. Canton, the county seat, hosts the First Monday Trade Days, a large and historic flea market that draws significant crowds monthly. The county offers outdoor recreation opportunities, including hunting, fishing, hiking, and picnicking, with local attractions like Lake Tawakoni.

Life in Van Zandt County offers a rural feel, with many residents owning their homes. Commuting options include a demand-response public transit system, GoBus, which provides in-county service and routes to nearby Tyler. The public school system includes several independent school districts, such as Canton ISD and Van ISD, with some schools ranking above average. The local economy is driven by sectors like retail trade, educational services, and construction. There is also ongoing activity in natural resource extraction, including oil, gas, and salt, with recent developments in energy-related projects.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Van Zandt County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +1.0% YoY, population +2.2%, wages +3.4%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
22.9x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.0%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
0.4

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
17x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 22.9x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Canton ISD Education
  2. 2
    Van Zandt County Government Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Van Zandt County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
62,649
+2.16% YoY
Median Household Income
$69,475
Median Home Value
$222,100
+1.03% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,066
Average Annual Pay
$47,174
+3.4% YoY
Employment
12,908
+0.7% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3128
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
6.31%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
19.8%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$301,745
Days on Market
73
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.3
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.7%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
6.2%
Listings w/ Price Drops
42.2%
Building Permits (2025)
72
Single-Family Permits
72

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
6.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
19.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
95.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$1,024M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Whiskey BESS (2 projects combined)
UR-Silo DevCo LLC
$358M Planned
Goldfinch Solar and Storage
BT DJ4M Solar LLC
$250M Planned
Wood Fern Wind Project
ACEDev for AES
$197M Planned
Amador Energy Storage Project
Taaleri Energia
$100M Under Construction
Caney Creek Solar
Taaleri Energia (Finland)
$60M Planned
Kellam Solar
Kellam Solar, LLC (under Belltown Power Texas)
$59M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +2.2% 89 percentile
Income Growth +1.8% 26 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.1% 36 percentile
Home Price Change +1.0% 39 percentile
Price/Rent 17x 30 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Van Zandt County, TX a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 77/100, Van Zandt County sits in the upper half of all 1001 ranked counties. Employment is expanding at +0.7%, and median household income stands at $69,475 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in TX.

Is Van Zandt County affordable?

Housing in Van Zandt County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $222,100 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.31, with rents averaging $1,066/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Van Zandt County growing or shrinking?

Van Zandt County's population is growing — up +2.2% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.7%). Home values shifted +1.0% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Van Zandt County?

In significant numbers — 6.31% of Van Zandt County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Jefferson County, TX 79 Potter County, TX 79 Lamar County, TX 83 Cameron County, TX 71 Navarro County, TX 70 Victoria County, TX 70 Columbia County, NY 77 Georgetown County, SC 77