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Van Zandt County, TX

Canton

RANK #291 / 996 NAT  ·  #15 / 69 TX  ·  POP 60,053

1YR FORECAST: +1.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +29%

Our model projects above-average housing market growth for Van Zandt County at +1.7% over the next year.

[01] Why Van Zandt County?

Van Zandt County, Texas, often called the "Free State of Van Zandt," is known for its independent spirit, a moniker that some attribute to its separation from a debt-laden Henderson County in 1848. Located about 50 miles east of Dallas, it serves as a gateway to East Texas, characterized by diverse topography ranging from prairies to post oak belts and piney woods. Canton, the county seat, hosts the First Monday Trade Days, a large and historic flea market that draws significant crowds monthly. The county offers outdoor recreation opportunities, including hunting, fishing, hiking, and picnicking, with local attractions like Lake Tawakoni.

Life in Van Zandt County offers a rural feel, with many residents owning their homes. Commuting options include a demand-response public transit system, GoBus, which provides in-county service and routes to nearby Tyler. The public school system includes several independent school districts, such as Canton ISD and Van ISD, with some schools ranking above average. The local economy is driven by sectors like retail trade, educational services, and construction. There is also ongoing activity in natural resource extraction, including oil, gas, and salt, with recent developments in energy-related projects.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
7.3x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+3.4%

Above national median

Home Prices
+0.2%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
0.4

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 7.3x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Canton ISD Education
  2. 2
    Van Zandt County Government Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Van Zandt County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
60,053
+2.16% YoY
Median Household Income
$62,334
Median Home Value
$181,300
+0.2% 12mo
Median Rent
$981
Average Annual Pay
$45,624
+4.6% YoY
Employment
12,815
+1.2% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3438
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
7.84%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
17.1%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$262,450
Days on Market
79
Slower market
Months of Supply
9.1
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.8%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
10.7%
Listings w/ Price Drops
28.1%
Building Permits (2024)
100
Single-Family Permits
94

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
6.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
19.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
95.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$1,024M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Whiskey BESS (2 projects combined)
UR-Silo DevCo LLC
$358M Planned
Goldfinch Solar and Storage
BT DJ4M Solar LLC
$250M Planned
Wood Fern Wind Project
ACEDev for AES
$197M Planned
Amador Energy Storage Project
Taaleri Energia
$100M Under Construction
Caney Creek Solar
Taaleri Energia (Finland)
$60M Planned
Kellam Solar
Kellam Solar, LLC (under Belltown Power Texas)
$59M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +3.4% 64 percentile
Population Growth +2.2% 90 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 64 percentile
Home Price Change +0.2% 33 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 30 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Van Zandt County, TX a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 71/100, Van Zandt County sits in the upper half of all 996 ranked counties. Employment is expanding at +1.2%, and median household income stands at $62,334 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in TX.

Is Van Zandt County affordable?

Housing in Van Zandt County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $181,300 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.34, with rents averaging $981/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Van Zandt County growing or shrinking?

Van Zandt County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +2.2% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.2% clip. Home values shifted +0.2% in the past year.

Are people moving to Van Zandt County?

In significant numbers — 7.84% of Van Zandt County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Navarro County, TX 71 Jefferson County, TX 72 Wichita County, TX 68 Liberty County, TX 67 Angelina County, TX 64 Gregg County, TX 63 Bradford County, PA 71 Granville County, NC 71