24 / 100

Liberty County, TX

RANK #750 / 1001 NAT  ·  #44 / 72 TX  ·  POP 103,380

1YR FORECAST: -1.9%

5YR OUTLOOK: +24%

#3 Fastest Growing #17 Best Rental Yield
Our model projects Liberty County's housing market at -1.9% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Liberty County?

Liberty County, Texas, offers a blend of historical significance and natural beauty, bisected by the Trinity River. The county seat, Liberty, is one of Texas's oldest cities, boasting a replica of the Liberty Bell and ties to Sam Houston. Located halfway between Houston and Beaumont on U.S. Highway 90, the county provides access to major cities while maintaining a quieter, rural atmosphere. Outdoor recreation is a draw, with the Trinity River National Wildlife Refuge offering hiking, birdwatching, and fishing opportunities amidst diverse woodland ecosystems.

Life in Liberty County often involves a commute, as many residents work in neighboring Harris County. The community is characterized by a strong sense of local identity. Recent economic developments include new housing subdivisions, such as Liberty Ranch, designed to be affordable for middle-class families. The economy is seeing investment in sectors like chemical manufacturing and broadband infrastructure. Local school districts, including Liberty ISD, provide education for families.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Liberty County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +1.3% YoY, population +5.5%, wages +3.4%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
16.1x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.3%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
0.1

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
10x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks overvalued at 16.1x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Liberty School District Education
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Liberty Hospital Healthcare
  3. 3
    Hallmark Cards Distribution Logistics
  4. 4
    LMV Automotive Systems Manufacturing
    500+
  5. 5
    Clay County Government Government
  6. 6
    Walmart Retail
    250+
  7. 7
    RR Donnelly Manufacturing
  8. 8
    City of Liberty Government
  9. 9
    Ford Stamping Plant Manufacturing
  10. 10
    William Jewell College Education
    100+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Liberty County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
103,380
+5.5% YoY
Median Household Income
$68,703
Median Home Value
$181,700
+1.28% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,044
Average Annual Pay
$57,589
+3.4% YoY
Employment
20,324
+1.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3781
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
7.8%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
11.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$270,000
Days on Market
111
Slower market
Months of Supply
6.3
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.7%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
9.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
42.5%
Building Permits (2025)
1,010
Single-Family Permits
1,010

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
7.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
19.8
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
95.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$3,115M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Liberty Data Center
MetroBlocks
$1,500M Planned
Lone Star Power Station (Natural Gas Plant)
Entergy Texas
$735M Proposed
Liberty American Manufacturing Park (LAMP)
BaRupOn LLC
$500M Under Construction
Liberty Solar Project (Recurrent Energy)
Recurrent Energy (Canadian Solar Inc.)
$200M Operating
Liberty Energy Solar Park & Battery Storage
X-ELIO
$130M Operating
Liberty Ranch Residential Development
Waterstone Development Corporation
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +5.5% 100 percentile
Income Growth +6.1% 96 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.3% 26 percentile
Home Price Change +1.3% 43 percentile
Rent Growth -0.0% 10 percentile
Price/Rent 10x 98 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Liberty County, TX a good place to move to?

At 24/100, Liberty County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $68,703 combined with job growth of +1.0% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Liberty County affordable?

By national standards, Liberty County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $181,700, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.38 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $1,044/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Liberty County growing or shrinking?

Liberty County's population is growing — up +5.5% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +1.0%). Home values shifted +1.3% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Liberty County?

In significant numbers — 7.8% of Liberty County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Hidalgo County, TX 24 Maverick County, TX 24 Ector County, TX 26 Dallas County, TX 22 Henderson County, TX 22 Polk County, TX 28 Montgomery County, VA 24 Bradley County, TN 24