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Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK

RANK #355 / 996 NAT  ·  POP 96,299

1YR FORECAST: +1.6%

5YR OUTLOOK: +27%

Fairbanks North Star Borough's housing market is projected to grow +1.6% over the next year, tracking near the national average.

[01] Why Fairbanks North Star Borough?

North Pole, a town where it is Christmas every day, is one of the notable communities within the Fairbanks North Star Borough. This vast interior Alaska region, roughly the size of New Jersey, is centered around Fairbanks, often called the "Golden Heart of Alaska." The borough is located far from other major Alaskan cities, with Anchorage being a three-hour train ride away. Commutes within the borough are generally short, averaging 15 to 20 minutes, and a public bus system, MACS, serves the urban areas including Fairbanks and North Pole. The natural scenery includes the Chena River, and outdoor recreation opportunities like hiking, skiing, snowmobiling, and aurora viewing are popular.

Life in the Fairbanks North Star Borough is characterized by dramatic seasonal temperature shifts, from subzero winters to warm summers. The community values quality, affordable, and safe living conditions, and aims to protect its unique neighborhoods and lifestyles. Major institutions like the University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fort Wainwright, and Eielson Air Force Base are central to the region's economy and culture. The economy is also driven by sectors such as mining, transportation, and infrastructure, with recent investments in these areas. The Fairbanks North Star Borough School District serves over 12,000 students across 34 public schools.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
4.5x

Below national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+6.6%

Well above national median

Home Prices
-0.7%

Prices declining

Price/Rent
12x

Below national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 4.5x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    United States Army (Fort Wainwright) Military
    5,000+
  2. 2
    University of Alaska Fairbanks Education
  3. 3
    Doyon, Limited Other
    2,500+
  4. 4
    Fairbanks Memorial Hospital (Foundation Health Partners) Healthcare
    1,000+
  5. 5
    Eielson Air Force Base Military
  6. 6
    Fairbanks North Star Borough School District Education
  7. 7
    Fairbanks North Star Borough Government Government
    500+
  8. 8
    Costco Wholesale Retail
    100+
  9. 9
    Walmart Retail
  10. 10
    Everts Air Logistics

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Fairbanks North Star Borough U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
96,299
-0.87% YoY
Median Household Income
$81,655
Median Home Value
$276,800
-0.68% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,360
Average Annual Pay
$69,700
+5.0% YoY
Employment
37,015
+2.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.295
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
1.86%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
32.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$257,499
Days on Market
118
Slower market
Months of Supply
3.8
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.0%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
2.8%
Listings w/ Price Drops
22.6%
Building Permits (2024)
18
Single-Family Permits
6

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
10.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
29.8
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
97.8
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$700M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
North Slope LNG Facility Expansion
Harvest Midstream / Interior Gas Utility (IGU)
$500M Operating
Multi-family Housing Tax Incentives
Fairbanks North Star Borough
$50M Proposed
North Star Community Recreation Center
Fairbanks North Star Borough
$50M Planned
Indoor Community Playground Project
Fairbanks North Star Borough
$50M Planned
Fairbanks North Star Borough School District Capital Improvements (Boilers, Track, Tennis Courts, Pioneer Park)
Fairbanks North Star Borough School District
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +6.6% 93 percentile
Population Growth -0.9% 5 percentile
Income Growth +4.3% 2 percentile
Vacancy Rate 2.1% 7 percentile
Home Price Change -0.7% 23 percentile
Rent Growth +3.9% 65 percentile
Price/Rent 12x 66 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 64/100, Fairbanks North Star Borough sits in the upper half of all 996 ranked counties. Employment is expanding at +2.4%, and median household income stands at $81,655 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in AK.

Is Fairbanks North Star Borough affordable?

Housing in Fairbanks North Star Borough is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $276,800 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.29, with rents averaging $1,360/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Fairbanks North Star Borough growing or shrinking?

It's a mixed picture in Fairbanks North Star Borough. The population is declining (-0.9% YoY), but employers are actually hiring — job growth is at +2.4%. Home values moved -0.7% in the last year. That tension between shrinking population and expanding employment often signals a county in transition.

Are many people relocating to Fairbanks North Star Borough?

Not particularly — 1.86% of Fairbanks North Star Borough's population moved in from another state, which is below the national average. Most residents are long-term locals rather than recent transplants.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Kenai Peninsula Borough, AK 61 Anchorage Municipality, AK 52 Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK 78 Angelina County, TX 64 Mercer County, PA 64 Lamar County, MS 64 Linn County, OR 64 Belknap County, NH 64