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Kenai Peninsula Borough, AK

Kenai-Cook Inlet

RANK #382 / 996 NAT  ·  POP 59,235

1YR FORECAST: +2.8%

5YR OUTLOOK: +26%

Kenai Peninsula Borough's housing market is projected to grow +2.8% over the next year, tracking near the national average.

[01] Why Kenai Peninsula Borough?

Homer, known as the "Halibut Fishing Capital of the World," anchors the southern end of the Kenai Peninsula Borough, a vast region in southcentral Alaska. This area, larger than the state of West Virginia, is about a 2.5 to 3-hour drive south from Anchorage, connected by the scenic Seward Highway. The community feel across the borough's towns like Kenai, Seward, and Soldotna is characterized by strong local bonds and a shared appreciation for the surrounding wilderness. Outdoor recreation is a major draw, with opportunities for world-class salmon fishing in the Kenai River, hiking in Kenai Fjords National Park, and wildlife viewing.

Life in the Kenai Peninsula Borough offers a blend of outdoor adventure and community living. The Kenai Peninsula Borough School District serves 42 schools across 21 communities, with local schools consistently exceeding state averages in graduation rates and test scores. Commute times are generally minimal within the borough. The economy is largely driven by its natural resources, including commercial fishing, oil and gas, and a significant tourism sector that benefits from the area's landscapes and recreational activities. Healthcare and professional services also contribute to the economic picture. The borough has seen population growth, particularly among retirement-aged Alaskans, with some residents relocating from Anchorage in search of a lower cost of living.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.0x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+2.3%

Below national median

Home Prices
+5.6%

Outpacing national median

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 6.0x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Kenai Peninsula Borough School District Education
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Marathon Petroleum (formerly Tesoro Alaska) Energy
  3. 3
    Oil and Gas Industry (combined) Energy
    500+
  4. 4
    Hilcorp Alaska LLC Energy
  5. 5
    Kenai Peninsula Borough Government Government
  6. 6
    Central Peninsula Hospital Healthcare
  7. 7
    South Peninsula Hospital Healthcare
  8. 8
    Walmart Retail
  9. 9
    The Home Depot Retail
  10. 10
    Safeway Retail

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Kenai Peninsula Borough U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
59,235
+0.89% YoY
Median Household Income
$76,272
Median Home Value
$280,900
+5.63% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,126
Average Annual Pay
$62,398
+4.2% YoY
Employment
21,474
+1.9% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2715
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.7%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
28.0%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$357,000
Days on Market
61
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.4
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.1%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
16.7%
Listings w/ Price Drops
10.9%
Building Permits (2024)
152
Single-Family Permits
104

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.6
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
23.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
103.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$20,675M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Alaska LNG Project (Liquefaction Facility)
Alaska Gasline Development Corporation (proposed developer), Glenfarne Alaska LNG
$20,000M Proposed
Dixon Diversion Project (Bradley Lake Hydroelectric Expansion)
Alaska Energy Authority (AEA) and Railbelt utilities
$500M Planned
Sterling Highway Safety Corridor Improvements Project
State of Alaska / Federal Funding
$65M Under Construction
Puppy Dog Lake Solar Farm
Renewable IPP, CleanCapital LLC
$60M Under Construction
Soldotna Battery Energy Storage System (BESS)
Homer Electric Association (HEA)
$50M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +2.3% 43 percentile
Population Growth +0.9% 68 percentile
Income Growth +8.0% 37 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.8% 78 percentile
Home Price Change +5.6% 93 percentile
Rent Growth +2.5% 42 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 57 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Kenai Peninsula Borough, AK a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 61/100, Kenai Peninsula Borough sits in the upper half of all 996 ranked counties. Employment is expanding at +1.9%, and median household income stands at $76,272 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in AK.

Is Kenai Peninsula Borough affordable?

Housing in Kenai Peninsula Borough is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $280,900 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.27, with rents averaging $1,126/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Kenai Peninsula Borough growing or shrinking?

Kenai Peninsula Borough is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +0.9% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.9% clip — and home values reflect that momentum, rising +5.6% over the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Kenai Peninsula Borough?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.7% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Kenai Peninsula Borough has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

How is the housing market in Kenai Peninsula Borough?

Home values climbed +5.6% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Kenai Peninsula Borough is now valued at $280,900. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK 64 Anchorage Municipality, AK 52 Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK 78 Scott County, KY 61 Franklin County, VA 61 Apache County, AZ 61 Sullivan County, NY 61 Lauderdale County, MS 62