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Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK

RANK #215 / 996 NAT  ·  POP 108,661

1YR FORECAST: +3.6%

5YR OUTLOOK: +31%

Our model projects above-average housing market growth for Matanuska-Susitna Borough at +3.6% over the next year.

[01] Why Matanuska-Susitna Borough?

The Matanuska-Susitna Borough, often called the Mat-Su, is known for its agricultural heritage and the Alaska State Fair in Palmer, the borough seat. Located about 35 miles north of Anchorage, the Mat-Su Valley is framed by the Alaska Range, Talkeetna Mountains, and Chugach Mountains, offering a blend of wilderness and community. Commutes to Anchorage are common, with many residents making the drive for work. The area is a hub for outdoor recreation, including hiking, fishing, and glacier viewing, with the Matanuska Glacier being a notable landmark accessible by car.

Life in the Mat-Su Borough attracts families and individuals seeking a balance of Alaskan living and community amenities. The Matanuska-Susitna Borough School District serves a growing student population across 40 schools. The economy is experiencing growth, with new residential and commercial developments. Investment is flowing into various sectors, including energy and data centers, contributing to a diversifying economic landscape. The borough has seen consistent population growth, drawing residents from other parts of Alaska, including Anchorage, due to more affordable housing options.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
9.3x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+3.8%

Above national median

Home Prices
+7.0%

Outpacing national median

Price/Rent
15x

Above national median (13x)

Housing looks overvalued at 9.3x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Providence Alaska Healthcare
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Mat-Su Regional Medical Center Healthcare
    2,500+
  3. 3
    Fred Meyer Retail
  4. 4
    Alaska Railroad Logistics
    500+
  5. 5
    Matanuska-Susitna Borough School District Education
  6. 6
    Matanuska-Susitna Borough Government Government
  7. 7
    Southcentral Foundation Healthcare
  8. 8
    GCI Technology

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Matanuska-Susitna Borough U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
108,661
+1.74% YoY
Median Household Income
$86,435
Median Home Value
$296,900
+6.98% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,242
Average Annual Pay
$58,329
+5.6% YoY
Employment
29,515
+3.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2911
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.81%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
23.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$420,000
Days on Market
76
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.1
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.9%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
22.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
16.0%
Building Permits (2024)
85
Single-Family Permits
37

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
6.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
26.4
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
97.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$6,984M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Susitna River Hydroelectric Project Revival
Five Alaska utilities
$5,600M Proposed
Terra Energy Center Campus (Advanced Manufacturing & Compute Campus)
Terra Energy Center Corp. (in partnership with Matanuska-Susitna Borough)
$750M Proposed
New Residential Construction (Cumulative)
Various Developers/Homeowners
$384M Under Construction
Little Mount Susitna Wind Project
Alaska Renewables, LLC
$250M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +3.8% 69 percentile
Population Growth +1.7% 87 percentile
Income Growth +9.0% 64 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.8% 70 percentile
Home Price Change +7.0% 98 percentile
Rent Growth +3.0% 50 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 35 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Matanuska-Susitna Borough, AK a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 78/100, Matanuska-Susitna Borough sits in the upper half of all 996 ranked counties. Employment is expanding at +3.3%, and median household income stands at $86,435 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in AK.

Is Matanuska-Susitna Borough affordable?

Housing in Matanuska-Susitna Borough is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $296,900 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.29, with rents averaging $1,242/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Matanuska-Susitna Borough growing or shrinking?

Matanuska-Susitna Borough is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +1.7% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +3.3% clip — and home values reflect that momentum, rising +7.0% over the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Matanuska-Susitna Borough?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.81% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Matanuska-Susitna Borough has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

How is the housing market in Matanuska-Susitna Borough?

Home values climbed +7.0% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Matanuska-Susitna Borough is now valued at $296,900. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK 64 Kenai Peninsula Borough, AK 61 Anchorage Municipality, AK 52 Franklin County, WA 78 Geauga County, OH 78 Twin Falls County, ID 78 Jefferson County, WI 78 Payne County, OK 78