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Buchanan County, MO

RANK #19 / 1001 NAT  ·  #3 / 22 MO  ·  POP 83,568

1YR FORECAST: +2.5%

5YR OUTLOOK: +41%

#26 Most Undervalued
Our model projects Buchanan County's housing market to grow +2.5% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Buchanan County?

Buchanan County, Missouri, is perhaps best known as the starting point of the Pony Express, a historic mail service that connected Missouri to California in the 19th century. Located in the northwestern part of the state, with St. Joseph as its county seat, Buchanan County sits along the Missouri River, which forms its western border. The county offers a mix of rolling prairie, valleys, and hills, with outdoor recreation opportunities at places like Bluffwoods Conservation Area, known for its hiking trails and scenic overlooks of the Missouri River floodplain. Commutes are generally short, with residents averaging 17.8 minutes to work, and Interstate 29 provides a direct route to Kansas City, about an hour south.

Life in Buchanan County balances rural appeal with access to urban amenities. Many families are drawn to the area for its quality of life and public schools, which are considered above average. The economy is supported by sectors such as manufacturing, healthcare, social assistance, and retail trade, with a notable presence of employers like Triumph Foods and Boehringer Ingelheim. While the county has seen employment growth, there's also a recognized need for additional workforce and senior housing options. Residents often own their homes, and the community maintains a conservative feel.

MARKET PROFILE

Heartland Steady Growth

Buchanan County is one of 145 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +7.3% runs above the profile's typical +4.9%.

See all 145 Heartland Steady Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
4.8x

Below national median (11.3x)

Home Prices
+7.3%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.5

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Below national median (15x)

Housing is fairly valued at 4.8x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Mosaic Life Care Healthcare
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Triumph Foods Manufacturing
    1,000+
  3. 3
    St. Joseph School District Education
  4. 4
    Boehringer Ingelheim Vetmedica Manufacturing
    500+
  5. 5
    Missouri Western State University Education
  6. 6
    City of St. Joseph Government
  7. 7
    Buchanan County Government Government
  8. 8
    Tyson Foods Manufacturing
  9. 9
    Nestle Purina Petcare Manufacturing
    250+
  10. 10
    Hillyard Companies Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Buchanan County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
83,568
-0.34% YoY
Median Household Income
$62,158
Median Home Value
$166,300
+7.35% 12mo
Median Rent
$902
Average Annual Pay
$62,088
+6.0% YoY
Employment
46,312
+1.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3738
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.1%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
23.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$194,000
Days on Market
24
Active market
Months of Supply
2.3
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.2%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
28.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
33.8%
Building Permits (2025)
52
Single-Family Permits
52

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
8.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
15.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
92.7
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
44.7
Good
Good Air Days
61%
668 of 1,093 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
7
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
44
2022
42
2023
48
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth -0.3% 9 percentile
Income Growth +4.6% 86 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.3% 26 percentile
Home Price Change +7.3% 97 percentile
Rent Growth +4.5% 72 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 54 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Buchanan County, MO a good place to move to?

Buchanan County ranks #19 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 98/100, putting it in the top tier nationally. Job growth of +1.0% and a median household income of $62,158 point to a county with active economic momentum.

Is Buchanan County affordable?

By national standards, Buchanan County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $166,300, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.37 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $902/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Buchanan County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Buchanan County are both close to flat — population -0.3% YoY and jobs +1.0%. Home values shifted +7.3% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Buchanan County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.1% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Buchanan County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

How is the housing market in Buchanan County?

Home values climbed +7.3% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Buchanan County is now valued at $166,300. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Pulaski County, MO 99 Johnson County, MO 99 Cole County, MO 94 Newton County, MO 93 Franklin County, MO 87 Jefferson County, MO 86 Lee County, MS 98 Greene County, TN 98