94 / 100

Johnson County, MO

Warrensburg

RANK #65 / 996 NAT  ·  #4 / 22 MO  ·  POP 54,025

1YR FORECAST: +2.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +38%

#31 Best for Families
Our model projects Johnson County's housing market to grow +2.7% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Johnson County?

Johnson County, Missouri, is perhaps best known for the story of Old Drum, a dog whose owner's eulogy by George Graham Vest became famous, with a statue commemorating the tale on the courthouse square in Warrensburg, the county seat. Located in west-central Missouri, about 50 miles southeast of Kansas City, the county offers a blend of urban communities and open countryside. Commutes to Kansas City are manageable, and public transportation, including fixed routes and microtransit, is available within Johnson County and connects to Kansas City, Missouri and Kansas City, Kansas. The landscape features rolling hills, fertile prairies, and wooded areas, with outdoor recreation opportunities at places like Knob Noster State Park and various lakes for fishing, hiking, and biking.

Life in Johnson County often appeals to families and young professionals, with many residents owning their homes. The public schools in the county are considered above average. The economy is supported by a diverse range of employers, including both private businesses and public institutions. Recent economic developments focus on attracting new businesses and supporting existing ones, with efforts in workforce and talent development. There is also a focus on expanding commercial and residential options, alongside investments in energy sectors.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
5.5x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+2.6%

Below national median

Home Prices
+4.3%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-2.0

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 5.5x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Whiteman Air Force Base Military
    5,000+
  2. 2
    University of Central Missouri Education
    1,000+
  3. 3
    EnerSys Energy Products Manufacturing
    500+
  4. 4
    Western Missouri Medical Center Healthcare
  5. 5
    Dollar Tree Distribution Center Logistics
  6. 6
    Walmart Supercenter Retail
    250+
  7. 7
    Stahl Specialty Co. Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Knob Noster R-VIII School District Education
  9. 9
    City of Warrensburg Government
  10. 10
    Johnson County Government Government
    100+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Johnson County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
54,025
+0.25% YoY
Median Household Income
$62,503
Median Home Value
$206,600
+4.31% 12mo
Median Rent
$912
Average Annual Pay
$46,500
+3.7% YoY
Employment
16,239
+1.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3025
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
7.67%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
28.4%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$340,000
Days on Market
48
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
2.6
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.5%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
13.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
23.8%
Building Permits (2024)
102
Single-Family Permits
39

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.7
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
17.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
66.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$920M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Southern Meadows Master-Planned Community
Undisclosed Developer
$600M Under Construction
West Gardner Solar Project
NextEra Energy Resources
$320M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +2.6% 49 percentile
Population Growth +0.2% 41 percentile
Income Growth +4.3% 2 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 60 percentile
Home Price Change +4.3% 85 percentile
Rent Growth +6.8% 90 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 25 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Johnson County, MO a good place to move to?

Johnson County ranks #65 out of 996 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 94/100, putting it in the top tier nationally. Job growth of +1.4% and a median household income of $62,503 point to a county with active economic momentum.

Is Johnson County affordable?

Housing in Johnson County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $206,600 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.30, with rents averaging $912/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Johnson County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Johnson County are hiring — job growth of +1.4% — but the population is close to flat (+0.2% YoY). Home values moved +4.3% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Johnson County?

In significant numbers — 7.67% of Johnson County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Pulaski County, MO 93 Jasper County, MO 91 Franklin County, MO 98 Cole County, MO 90 Buchanan County, MO 99 Newton County, MO 100 Vermilion Parish, LA 94 Genesee County, NY 94