RANK #961 / 1001 NAT · #58 / 72 TX · POP 51,008
1YR FORECAST: -0.9%
5YR OUTLOOK: +7%
Atascosa County ranks #961 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index. Several economic headwinds are weighing on this county's growth outlook. Detailed narrative coming soon.
Overvalued relative to economy
Below national median
Moderate climate & terrain
Below national median (15x)
Housing looks overvalued at 9.5x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.
Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).
Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →
Source: Homicide rates from CDC/NCHS vital-statistics mortality data — a multi-year average that stabilizes counts in smaller counties — compiled in the County Health Rankings 2025 release. Rates per 100,000 population; U.S. average ≈ 6.5. Grade reflects homicide rate relative to the national average. Learn more →
See where Atascosa County stands nationally: safest large counties in America · highest homicide-rate counties.
Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.
The data is not encouraging — Atascosa County scores just 3/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #961 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +1.2% and median household income of $70,770 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.
By national standards, Atascosa County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $174,800, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.40 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $1,061/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.
Atascosa County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +1.9% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +1.2% clip. Home values shifted +1.1% in the past year.
There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.01% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Atascosa County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.