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McMinn County, TN

RANK #782 / 1001 NAT  ·  #26 / 33 TN  ·  POP 54,884

1YR FORECAST: +0.8%

5YR OUTLOOK: +24%

Our model projects McMinn County's housing market at +0.8% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why McMinn County?

The oldest standing train station in Tennessee, located in Niota, is a distinctive landmark in McMinn County, offering a glimpse into the region's past, including a documented slave sale in 1863. Located in Southeast Tennessee, McMinn County sits between Knoxville and Chattanooga, with both cities less than an hour away. This central location along I-75 makes for manageable commutes, with the average travel time being under 25 minutes. The county is characterized by its rural landscape, dotted with small farms and towns like Athens, the county seat, and Etowah. The area also offers outdoor recreation, including hiking trails, disc golf courses, and access to lakes for fishing and boating.

Life in McMinn County offers a lower cost of living compared to the national average, particularly for housing and transportation. The community is described as close-knit, with a mix of families and retirees. McMinn County Schools serve most of the county, with Athens and Etowah having separate districts for younger grades. The local economy is experiencing growth, driven by investments in manufacturing and other sectors. Efforts are underway to attract new businesses and support existing ones, creating job opportunities and diversifying the economic landscape.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

McMinn County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +4.4% YoY, population +1.4%, wages +5.3%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
12.7x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+4.4%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.3

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 12.7x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    DENSO Manufacturing Athens Tennessee Manufacturing
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Mayfield Dairy Farms Manufacturing
    500+
  3. 3
    Starr Regional Medical Center Healthcare
    250+
  4. 4
    Heil Trailer International Manufacturing
  5. 5
    Athens City Board of Education Education
  6. 6
    Tennessee Wesleyan University Education
    100+
  7. 7
    ABB Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Adient Manufacturing
  9. 9
    Resolute Forest Products, Calhoun Operations Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Athens Utilities Board (AUB) Energy

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

McMinn County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
54,884
+1.38% YoY
Median Household Income
$61,470
Median Home Value
$211,800
+4.42% 12mo
Median Rent
$803
Average Annual Pay
$53,651
+5.3% YoY
Employment
17,040
-1.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2902
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.95%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
18.6%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$282,500
Days on Market
71
Slower market
Months of Supply
5.8
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.6%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
12.5%
Listings w/ Price Drops
30.8%
Building Permits (2025)
125
Single-Family Permits
107

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
7.7
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
22.6
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
130.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
39.0
Good
Good Air Days
67%
721 of 1,072 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
2
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
37
2022
41
2023
39
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$582M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Tennessee Lithium Hydroxide Processing Facility
Piedmont Lithium
$582M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.4% 77 percentile
Income Growth +3.0% 57 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.6% 88 percentile
Home Price Change +4.4% 82 percentile
Rent Growth +2.8% 47 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 64 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is McMinn County, TN a good place to move to?

At 21/100, McMinn County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $61,470 combined with job growth of -1.0% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is McMinn County affordable?

Housing in McMinn County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $211,800 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.29, with rents averaging $803/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is McMinn County growing or shrinking?

McMinn County's population is growing — up +1.4% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of -1.0%). Home values shifted +4.4% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to McMinn County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.95% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests McMinn County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Bradley County, TN 24 Putnam County, TN 18 Williamson County, TN 27 Shelby County, TN 15 Carter County, TN 28 Hamilton County, TN 28 Ross County, OH 21 Tooele County, UT 21