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Robertson County, TN

RANK #868 / 1001 NAT  ·  #29 / 33 TN  ·  POP 75,539

1YR FORECAST: -2.1%

5YR OUTLOOK: +21%

Our model projects Robertson County's housing market at -2.1% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Robertson County?

Known as the "Home of the World's Finest Dark Fired Tobacco," Robertson County, Tennessee, maintains strong agricultural roots alongside its growing communities. Located just north of Nashville, the county offers a rural lifestyle within a 30-minute drive of city amenities. Springfield serves as the county seat, and the county features 11 distinct communities. Commute options include access to Interstates 24 and 65, and express bus services to Nashville are available. The Red River provides opportunities for kayaking and canoeing, and numerous parks and greenways offer hiking and other outdoor activities.

Life in Robertson County often appeals to families, small business owners, and retirees seeking a balance between small-town charm and proximity to a major city. The Robertson County School District serves over 11,000 students across 21 schools, with a focus on community-based education and career-technical training. The local economy is experiencing growth across several sectors. Recent developments include investments in manufacturing, particularly in home appliances and energy infrastructure, and an expanding logistics and distribution presence. The county's economic development efforts aim to create local job opportunities, reducing the number of residents who commute out of the county for work.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Robertson County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices -0.3% YoY, population +1.7%, wages +3.0%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
19.4x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-0.3%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
-1.9

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
17x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 19.4x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Electrolux Home Products Manufacturing
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Macy's Logistics Logistics
    1,000+
  3. 3
    NorthCrest Medical Center Healthcare
    500+
  4. 4
    Lowe's DFC Retail
  5. 5
    Kyowa America Corporation Manufacturing
    250+
  6. 6
    Dorman Products Manufacturing
  7. 7
    Martinrea Fabco Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Johnson Electric Manufacturing
  9. 9
    Airtech International Manufacturing
    100+
  10. 10
    Hail & Cotton Agriculture

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Robertson County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
75,539
+1.68% YoY
Median Household Income
$83,047
Median Home Value
$335,000
-0.28% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,199
Average Annual Pay
$56,798
+3.0% YoY
Employment
23,027
+0.2% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2479
Near national average
Migration Inflow
3.38%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
22.4%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$375,000
Days on Market
79
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.5
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.8%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
13.1%
Listings w/ Price Drops
25.3%
Building Permits (2025)
823
Single-Family Permits
814

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
5.0
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
18.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
116.5
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$2,785M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Cumberland Natural Gas Plant Conversion
Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA)
$2,100M Under Construction
Electrolux Manufacturing Expansion
Electrolux
$250M Under Construction
Puritan Medical Products Manufacturing & Distribution
Puritan Medical Products
$220M Under Construction
White House 700-Home Subdivision
Fuqua Investors, LLC
$175M Planned
Martinrea International Expansion
Martinrea International
$40M Completed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.7% 83 percentile
Income Growth +5.9% 95 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 51 percentile
Home Price Change -0.3% 24 percentile
Rent Growth -3.3% 1 percentile
Price/Rent 17x 35 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Robertson County, TN a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Robertson County scores just 12/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #868 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +0.2% and median household income of $83,047 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Robertson County affordable?

Robertson County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $335,000 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.25 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,199/month on average.

Is Robertson County growing or shrinking?

Robertson County's population is growing — up +1.7% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.2%). Home values shifted -0.3% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Robertson County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.38% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Robertson County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Hawkins County, TN 11 Shelby County, TN 15 Knox County, TN 9 Putnam County, TN 18 Maury County, TN 6 McMinn County, TN 21 La Plata County, CO 12 Dallas County, IA 12