RANK #263 / 1001 NAT · #8 / 33 TN · POP 59,710
1YR FORECAST: +1.2%
5YR OUTLOOK: +32%
Coffee County, Tennessee, is perhaps best known as the home of the Bonnaroo Music and Arts Festival, which draws thousands to Manchester annually. Located in Middle Tennessee, roughly halfway between Nashville and Chattanooga, the county offers a blend of small-town living with access to larger cities. The landscape features rolling hills and waterways like the Duck River, providing opportunities for outdoor recreation at places such as Old Stone Fort State Archaeological Park and Short Springs State Natural Area. Life in Coffee County appeals to families and those seeking a more relaxed pace. The public school system serves over 4,500 students across 23 schools, with a high percentage of K-12 students attending public institutions. The economy is experiencing growth, driven by investments in data centers, logistics, and manufacturing. Recent developments include new facilities in the Manchester Industrial Park, enhancing the county's capacity for future industrial opportunities. The presence of the Arnold Engineering Development Complex also contributes to a workforce with technical skills.
Coffee County is one of 35 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +2.8% runs above the profile's typical +1.4%.
See all 35 Secondary Market Surge counties →Overvalued relative to economy
Below-average climate & terrain
Below national median (15x)
Housing looks overvalued at 9.5x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.
Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.
Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).
Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →
Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →
| PROJECT | AMOUNT | STATUS |
|---|---|---|
|
USAF Data Center Proposal
U.S. Air Force
|
$500M | Proposed |
|
Little Leaf Farms Greenhouse
Little Leaf Farms
|
$75M | Planned |
|
Dot Foods Distribution Facility
Dot Foods, Inc.
|
$50M | Under Construction |
|
I-24 Industrial Site Rezoning
Coffee County
|
$50M | Proposed |
Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.
Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.
With a Boom Town Index score of 74/100, Coffee County sits in the upper half of all 1001 ranked counties. and median household income stands at $61,505 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in TN.
Coffee County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $246,800 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.25 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $913/month on average.
Coffee County is attracting residents (population +1.3% YoY) even as the job market softens with employment at -3.1%. Housing values changed +2.8% over the past 12 months. People may be moving here for affordability or lifestyle reasons rather than job opportunities.
In significant numbers — 5.76% of Coffee County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.