District 21
RANK #242 / 996 NAT · #7 / 33 TN · POP 58,080
1YR FORECAST: +0.7%
5YR OUTLOOK: +31%
Coffee County, Tennessee, is perhaps best known as the home of the Bonnaroo Music and Arts Festival, which draws thousands to Manchester annually. Located in Middle Tennessee, roughly halfway between Nashville and Chattanooga, the county offers a blend of small-town living with access to larger cities. The landscape features rolling hills and waterways like the Duck River, providing opportunities for outdoor recreation at places such as Old Stone Fort State Archaeological Park and Short Springs State Natural Area. Life in Coffee County appeals to families and those seeking a more relaxed pace. The public school system serves over 4,500 students across 23 schools, with a high percentage of K-12 students attending public institutions. The economy is experiencing growth, driven by investments in data centers, logistics, and manufacturing. Recent developments include new facilities in the Manchester Industrial Park, enhancing the county's capacity for future industrial opportunities. The presence of the Arnold Engineering Development Complex also contributes to a workforce with technical skills.
Above national median
Below-average climate & terrain
Housing looks undervalued at 3.5x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.
Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.
Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →
Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →
| PROJECT | AMOUNT | STATUS |
|---|---|---|
|
USAF Data Center Proposal
U.S. Air Force
|
$500M | Proposed |
|
Little Leaf Farms Greenhouse
Little Leaf Farms
|
$75M | Planned |
|
Dot Foods Distribution Facility
Dot Foods, Inc.
|
$50M | Under Construction |
|
I-24 Industrial Site Rezoning
Coffee County
|
$50M | Proposed |
Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.
Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.
With a Boom Town Index score of 76/100, Coffee County sits in the upper half of all 996 ranked counties. and median household income stands at $57,424 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in TN.
Housing in Coffee County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $203,400 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.28, with rents averaging $844/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.
Coffee County's population is growing — up +1.5% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of 0.0%). Home values shifted +2.4% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.
There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.96% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Coffee County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.