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Nye County, NV

RANK #765 / 1001 NAT  ·  POP 54,344

1YR FORECAST: +0.2%

5YR OUTLOOK: +24%

Our model projects Nye County's housing market at +0.2% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Nye County?

Tonopah, the county seat of Nye County, offers a glimpse into Nevada's rich mining history and is recognized as a top stargazing destination due to its remote location. This vast county, the largest in Nevada, is located in the south-central part of the state. Pahrump, the most populous town, sits about 60 miles west of Las Vegas, making commutes to the city possible for some residents. The community feel varies across the county's distinct northern and southern regions, with diverse natural scenery ranging from the hot springs and snowy mountains of Big Smokey Valley to the desert landscapes of Amargosa Valley, which borders Death Valley National Park. Outdoor recreation opportunities include hiking, off-roading, and exploring areas like the Alta Toquima Wilderness and Berlin-Ichthyosaur State Park.

Life in Nye County often involves a connection to its natural surroundings and a more spread-out community lifestyle. Many residents own their homes, and the area attracts retirees. While some families commute to Las Vegas, local public transportation options are available in Pahrump and connect to other towns and even to Las Vegas and Reno via a bus service. The economy is supported by various sectors, including retail trade, construction, and accommodation and food services. Recent economic developments show a focus on renewable energy, with significant interest in solar power and potential for lithium extraction, particularly in areas like the Amargosa Valley. The county is also working to enhance recreational infrastructure, such as the Carvers Arena and Recreation Area.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Nye County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +2.1% YoY, population +2.1%, wages +7.2%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
15.8x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+2.1%

Above national median

Climate & Terrain
5.0

Favorable climate & terrain

Price/Rent
17x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 15.8x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. Climate and geography support a structural premium. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Round Mountain Gold Corp Energy
    500+
  2. 2
    Walmart Supercenter Retail
    250+
  3. 3
    Pahrump Nugget Hotel-Gambling Hospitality
  4. 4
    Desert View Hospital Alliance Healthcare
  5. 5
    Nye County Government Government
    100+
  6. 6
    Nye County School District Education
  7. 7
    Front Sight Pro Shop Other
  8. 8
    Gold Town Casino Hospitality
  9. 9
    Home Depot Retail
  10. 10
    Amargosa Disposal Other

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Nye County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
54,344
+2.14% YoY
Median Household Income
$60,714
Median Home Value
$290,900
+2.15% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,181
Average Annual Pay
$73,106
+7.2% YoY
Employment
13,674
-0.7% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2087
Near national average
Migration Inflow
2.94%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
13.3%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$385,000
Days on Market
87
Slower market
Months of Supply
6.3
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.8%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
26.2%
Listings w/ Price Drops
29.9%

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.5
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
33.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
143.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

A
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
21.3
Good
Good Air Days
90%
981 of 1,088 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
18
Includes 1 Very Unhealthy
Primary Pollutant
PM10
Coarse particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
23
2022
22
2023
19
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$12,649M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Rock Valley Energy Center (Solar & Battery Storage)
Boulevard Associates, LLC
$3,200M Planned
Tidewater Solar Farm & Battery Energy Storage System
Tidewater Solar Farm, LLC
$2,400M Proposed
Amargosa West Solar Project & Battery Energy Storage System
US Solar Assets, LLC
$2,400M Proposed
Ashton Energy Center (Solar & Battery Storage)
Undisclosed
$2,049M Planned
Tarantula Canyon Energy Center Project (Solar & Battery Storage)
Boulevard Associates, LLC
$2,000M Proposed
Amargosa Phase 1 Solar-plus-Storage Project
NV Energy (Berkshire Hathaway Energy)
$600M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +2.1% 89 percentile
Income Growth +8.5% 100 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.2% 32 percentile
Home Price Change +2.1% 58 percentile
Rent Growth +1.9% 32 percentile
Price/Rent 17x 30 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Nye County, NV a good place to move to?

At 23/100, Nye County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $60,714 combined with job growth of -0.7% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Nye County affordable?

Nye County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $290,900 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.21 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,181/month on average.

Is Nye County growing or shrinking?

Nye County's population is growing — up +2.1% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of -0.7%). Home values shifted +2.1% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Nye County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.94% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Nye County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Washoe County, NV 17 Clark County, NV 9 Carson City, NV 3 Elko County, NV 67 Lyon County, NV 95 Walla Walla County, WA 23 Tuolumne County, CA 24 Henry County, VA 22