District 4
RANK #741 / 996 NAT · #23 / 33 TN · POP 196,845
1YR FORECAST: -0.0%
5YR OUTLOOK: +18%
Sumner County, Tennessee, often called "Nashville's North Shore," is distinguished by its extensive 440 miles of Old Hickory Lake shoreline, attracting residents and visitors for boating, fishing, and lakeside recreation. Located northeast of Nashville, the county offers a blend of small-town character and access to city amenities, with Hendersonville and Gallatin serving as prominent towns. Commuting to Nashville primarily involves car travel via State Route 386 and US-31E, with limited public transit options. The community provides numerous parks and greenways, such as Drakes Creek Park and the Hendersonville Greenway, for outdoor activities.
Life in Sumner County appeals to a diverse population, including families and retirees, drawn by its schools and natural scenery. The Sumner County Schools district is recognized for its quality education and career-focused programs. The local economy is experiencing growth, with investments in manufacturing, commercial and residential development, and the energy sector. This expansion is creating new job opportunities and contributing to the county's evolving economic landscape.
Overvalued relative to economy
Well below national median
Moderate climate & terrain
Above national median (13x)
Housing looks overvalued at 7.1x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.
Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.
Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →
Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →
Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →
| PROJECT | AMOUNT | STATUS |
|---|---|---|
|
Meta Gallatin Data Center
Meta
|
$1,500M | Under Construction |
|
Hendersonville New Development (Retail, Office, Industrial)
Various Developers
|
$1,000M | Approved |
|
Evergy Natural Gas Plant
Evergy Energy
|
$500M | Planned |
|
Wild Plains Wind Farm
NextEra Energy Resources
|
$300M | Completed |
|
Simpson Strong-Tie Manufacturing Expansion
Simpson Strong-Tie
|
$110M | Under Construction |
|
Shoals Technologies Expansion
Shoals Technologies
|
$80M | Planned |
Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.
Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.
At 25/100, Sumner County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $81,883 combined with job growth of +2.6% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.
Sumner County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $332,700 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.25 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,245/month on average.
Sumner County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +2.0% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +2.6% clip. Home values shifted +0.5% in the past year.
There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.21% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Sumner County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.