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Gibson County, TN

RANK #689 / 1001 NAT  ·  #20 / 33 TN  ·  POP 50,869

1YR FORECAST: +0.1%

5YR OUTLOOK: +26%

Our model projects Gibson County's housing market at +0.1% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Gibson County?

Gibson County, Tennessee, distinguishes itself with the Gibson County Fair in Trenton, the longest continuously running fair in the Southern U.S., active for 167 years. Located in northwest Tennessee, the county sits about 90 miles from Memphis and 180 miles from Nashville, with Interstate 40 just 12 miles away, offering access to both major cities. The community maintains a rural feel, with towns like Milan and Humboldt serving as larger population centers. Outdoor recreation centers around Gibson County Lake, a 560-acre lake known for bass fishing, camping, and picnic areas.

Life in Gibson County offers a low cost of living and a family-oriented atmosphere. Many residents commute to nearby Madison County for work. The county has five independent school systems, including the Gibson County Special School District, which includes South Gibson County High School, ranked among the top high schools in Tennessee. The local economy is experiencing growth, particularly in manufacturing and distribution, with new investments creating jobs in these sectors. Healthcare and retail also contribute significantly to employment.

MARKET PROFILE

Affordable Slow Markets

Gibson County is one of 75 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +2.0% runs above the profile's typical +0.8%.

See all 75 Affordable Slow Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
9.5x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+2.0%

Above national median

Climate & Terrain
-1.9

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 9.5x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Manufacturing Sector Manufacturing
    2,500+
  2. 2
    Healthcare & Social Assistance Sector Healthcare
  3. 3
    Retail Trade Sector Retail
  4. 4
    Tyson Foods Manufacturing
    1,000+
  5. 5
    West Tennessee Healthcare Healthcare
  6. 6
    Gibson County Special School District Education
  7. 7
    Milan Special School District Education
  8. 8
    Humboldt City Schools Education
  9. 9
    MacLean Power Systems Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Dana Corporation Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Gibson County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
50,869
+0.51% YoY
Median Household Income
$62,755
Median Home Value
$156,900
+2.05% 12mo
Median Rent
$819
Average Annual Pay
$51,217
+4.6% YoY
Employment
16,386
+9.9% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.4
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.51%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
20.5%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$251,200
Days on Market
39
Active market
Months of Supply
3.1
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.7%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
25.9%
Listings w/ Price Drops
24.7%
Building Permits (2025)
199
Single-Family Permits
187

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
10.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
20.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
105.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$300M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Tyson Foods Poultry Plant
Tyson Foods Inc.
$300M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.5% 44 percentile
Income Growth +6.3% 97 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 60 percentile
Home Price Change +2.0% 56 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 42 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Gibson County, TN a good place to move to?

At 31/100, Gibson County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $62,755 combined with job growth of +9.9% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Gibson County affordable?

By national standards, Gibson County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $156,900, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.40 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $819/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Gibson County growing or shrinking?

Gibson County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +0.5% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +9.9% clip. Home values shifted +2.0% in the past year.

Are people moving to Gibson County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.51% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Gibson County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Rutherford County, TN 32 Wilson County, TN 32 Carter County, TN 28 Hamilton County, TN 28 Tipton County, TN 28 Williamson County, TN 27 Clay County, MN 32 Calumet County, WI 33