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Navajo County, AZ

Snowflake

RANK #605 / 996 NAT  ·  #6 / 11 AZ  ·  POP 107,110

1YR FORECAST: +0.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +21%

Navajo County's housing market is projected to grow +0.3% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Navajo County?

Navajo County, Arizona, is often recognized for its diverse landscapes, including portions of the Petrified Forest National Park, the Painted Desert, and one of North America's largest ponderosa pine forests. Situated in northeastern Arizona, the county is about a four-hour drive from Phoenix and Albuquerque, with Interstate 40 providing a major transportation artery. The community feel varies across its towns like Show Low, Holbrook, and Winslow, with a significant portion of the county encompassing tribal lands of the Navajo Nation, Hopi Tribe, and White Mountain Apache Tribe. Outdoor recreation is a major draw, offering opportunities for hiking, camping, fishing, and winter sports.

Life in Navajo County offers a blend of rural charm and outdoor access. The economy, historically tied to industries like timber and ranching, is seeing shifts. While traditional sectors like healthcare, education, and retail remain significant employers, there is a growing focus on diversifying the economic landscape. Recent developments indicate investment in renewable energy projects, particularly solar facilities, which are expected to create construction jobs and contribute to the local tax base. These projects aim to provide long-term economic benefits and support local services and schools.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
5.7x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+4.1%

Well above national median

Home Prices
+0.8%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
1.9

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
17x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 5.7x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    State of Arizona Government
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Summit Healthcare Association Healthcare
  3. 3
    Navajo County Government Government
    2,500+
  4. 4
    Navajo County School Districts Education
  5. 5
    Walmart Retail
    1,000+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Navajo County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
107,110
+0.47% YoY
Median Household Income
$50,335
Median Home Value
$165,600
+0.81% 12mo
Median Rent
$800
Average Annual Pay
$50,447
+3.7% YoY
Employment
28,615
+2.7% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.304
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.31%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
17.3%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$378,875
Days on Market
111
Slower market
Months of Supply
7.7
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.4%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
9.1%
Listings w/ Price Drops
18.8%
Building Permits (2024)
487
Single-Family Permits
451

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

F
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
14.6
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
24.2
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
187.5
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
43.7
Good
Good Air Days
81%
889 of 1,093 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
1
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
44
2022
44
2023
43
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$2,419M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
SE Cygnus Solar Energy Facility
SE Cygnus
$650M Planned
West Camp Wind Farm
AES Corporation
$504M Planned
Hashknife Energy Center (Solar & Battery Storage)
Invenergy
$475M Under Construction
Lark Point Solar Power Plant with Battery Facility
Lark Point Solar
$450M Approved
Papermill Wind Project
BluEarth Renewables
$340M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +4.1% 74 percentile
Population Growth +0.5% 50 percentile
Income Growth +9.1% 66 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.1% 51 percentile
Home Price Change +0.8% 42 percentile
Price/Rent 17x 18 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Navajo County, AZ a good place to move to?

At 39/100, Navajo County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $50,335 combined with job growth of +2.7% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Navajo County affordable?

Housing in Navajo County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $165,600 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.30, with rents averaging $800/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Navajo County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Navajo County are hiring — job growth of +2.7% — but the population is close to flat (+0.5% YoY). Home values moved +0.8% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Navajo County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.31% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Navajo County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Cochise County, AZ 37 Yavapai County, AZ 42 Gila County, AZ 45 Coconino County, AZ 30 Yuma County, AZ 53 Maricopa County, AZ 21 Garland County, AR 39 Island County, WA 39