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Alexandria city, VA

RANK #915 / 996 NAT  ·  #35 / 37 VA  ·  POP 157,594

1YR FORECAST: -0.2%

5YR OUTLOOK: +11%

Our model projects Alexandria city's housing market at -0.2% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Alexandria city?

Old Town Alexandria, a nationally designated historic district, features cobblestone streets and 18th- and 19th-century architecture. Located on the Potomac River, Alexandria is approximately six miles south of Washington, D.C. Commuting to D.C. is possible via Metrorail, bus services like DASH and Metrobus, Virginia Railway Express (VRE), or even by bike on dedicated trails. The city offers over 900 acres of parks and 52 miles of trails, including the Mount Vernon Trail along the Potomac River, providing opportunities for outdoor recreation.

Alexandria maintains a community atmosphere with a balance of urban amenities and green spaces. The city's public schools are rated above average. Recent economic development efforts focus on diversifying the economy beyond its traditional reliance on federal jobs and residential real estate. This includes attracting businesses in sectors like artificial intelligence and strengthening support for local entrepreneurs. New commercial and residential developments are underway in areas such as Old Town North, Eisenhower East, the West End, and Potomac Yard.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
7.2x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+0.7%

Well below national median

Home Prices
+1.0%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
-2.2

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
24x

Prices detached from rents

Housing looks overvalued at 7.2x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) Government
    10,000+
  2. 2
    U.S. Patent and Trademark Office Government
    5,000+
  3. 3
    City of Alexandria Government Government
    2,500+
  4. 4
    VSE Corporation Logistics
  5. 5
    Alion Science and Technology Technology
  6. 6
    Society for Human Resource Management (SHRM) Other
    1,000+
  7. 7
    Inova Alexandria Hospital Healthcare
  8. 8
    Alexandria City Public Schools (ACPS) Education
  9. 9
    Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA) Government
  10. 10
    National Science Foundation (NSF) Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Alexandria city U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
157,594
-0.37% YoY
Median Household Income
$113,179
Median Home Value
$655,700
+1.01% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,983
Average Annual Pay
$91,541
+3.2% YoY
Employment
81,341
0.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1726
Less affordable than average
Migration Inflow
5.3%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
66.0%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Building Permits (2024)
25
Single-Family Permits
25

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.6
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
6.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
41.2
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$1,555M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Potomac River Generating Station Redevelopment (Old Town North)
Hilco Redevelopment Partners (HRP)
$1,000M Planned
Alexandria City Public Schools Capital Improvement Program
City of Alexandria
$281M Planned
Cora Kelly Elementary School Replacement
City of Alexandria
$105M Proposed
Affordable Housing Investments (FY2027-FY2036)
City of Alexandria
$69M Planned
DASH Facility Expansion Project (Battery-Electric Bus Charging Yard)
Alexandria Transit Company (DASH) and City of Alexandria
$50M Under Construction
Eisenhower Pointe (Residential Development)
Tri Pointe Homes
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +0.7% 13 percentile
Population Growth -0.4% 14 percentile
Income Growth +7.3% 23 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.4% 28 percentile
Home Price Change +1.0% 45 percentile
Rent Growth +0.1% 12 percentile
Price/Rent 24x 2 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Alexandria city, VA a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Alexandria city scores just 7/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #915 of 996 counties. median household income of $113,179 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Alexandria city affordable?

Alexandria city leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $655,700 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.17 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,983/month on average.

Is Alexandria city growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Alexandria city are both close to flat — population -0.4% YoY and jobs 0.0%. Home values shifted +1.0% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Alexandria city?

In significant numbers — 5.3% of Alexandria city's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Fairfax County, VA 8 James City County, VA 8 Lynchburg city, VA 9 Stafford County, VA 10 Loudoun County, VA 4 Arlington County, VA 3 Hunterdon County, NJ 7 Santa Fe County, NM 8