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Jefferson County, MO

RANK #143 / 1001 NAT  ·  #7 / 22 MO  ·  POP 229,458

1YR FORECAST: +2.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +35%

Our model projects Jefferson County's housing market to grow +2.3% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Jefferson County?

Jefferson County, Missouri, south of St. Louis, offers a blend of suburban and rural living, with the Mississippi River forming its eastern border. A notable landmark is the Sandy Creek Covered Bridge, one of only four remaining covered bridges in Missouri, built in 1872. Commutes to St. Louis are common, with Interstate 55 providing a direct route. The county features rolling hills, forests, and limestone bluffs, providing opportunities for outdoor recreation at places like Mastodon State Historic Site and Don Robinson State Park.

Life in Jefferson County often appeals to families and those seeking a less urban environment. While some areas are suburban, many communities retain a small-town feel. Public schools in the county are generally above average. The economy is experiencing growth, with recent investments in sectors such as data technology centers and infrastructure improvements. These developments aim to create jobs and enhance local services.

MARKET PROFILE

Heartland Steady Growth

Jefferson County is one of 145 U.S. counties in this market profile — near the profile average on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +4.5% matches the profile's typical +4.9%.

See all 145 Heartland Steady Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
21.0x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+4.5%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
1.0

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 21.0x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Mercy Hospital Jefferson Healthcare
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Jefferson County Government Government
    500+
  3. 3
    Northwest R-1 School District Education
  4. 4
    Fox C-6 School District Education
  5. 5
    Jefferson R-7 School District Education
    250+
  6. 6
    Windsor C-1 School District Education
  7. 7
    De Soto 73 School District Education
  8. 8
    Festus R-VI School District Education
  9. 9
    Dow Chemical Company Manufacturing
  10. 10
    The Doe Run Company Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Jefferson County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
229,458
+0.54% YoY
Median Household Income
$82,851
Median Home Value
$237,200
+4.47% 12mo
Median Rent
$979
Average Annual Pay
$52,285
+5.4% YoY
Employment
49,612
+0.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3493
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.09%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
24.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$310,000
Days on Market
22
Active market
Months of Supply
1.7
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.1%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
50.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
31.6%
Building Permits (2025)
617
Single-Family Permits
609

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.5
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
19.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
128.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
44.0
Good
Good Air Days
65%
705 of 1,087 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
24
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
44
2022
44
2023
44
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$7,350M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
CRG Data Center
CRG (developer), unnamed technology tenant
$6,000M Proposed
Big Hollow Energy Center (Natural Gas Plant & Battery Storage)
Ameren Missouri
$1,200M Under Construction
I-55 Improvements from Route Z to U.S. Route 67
MoDOT
$50M Planned
Crystal City Port Development with Access Roadway
Jefferson County Port Authority
$50M Partially Funded
Community Solar Portfolio (House Springs & other Neighborhood Solar projects)
Ameren Missouri
$50M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.5% 46 percentile
Income Growth +2.9% 54 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.5% 89 percentile
Home Price Change +4.5% 82 percentile
Rent Growth +6.3% 89 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 66 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Jefferson County, MO a good place to move to?

Jefferson County ranks #143 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 86/100, placing it in the top tier nationally. Median household income is $82,851 and the underlying growth metrics (housing, migration, income) hold up against peer counties.

Is Jefferson County affordable?

Housing in Jefferson County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $237,200 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.35, with rents averaging $979/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Jefferson County growing or shrinking?

Jefferson County's population is growing — up +0.5% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.3%). Home values shifted +4.5% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Jefferson County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.09% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Jefferson County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Franklin County, MO 87 Lincoln County, MO 82 Newton County, MO 93 Jasper County, MO 79 Cole County, MO 94 St. Francois County, MO 75 Aiken County, SC 86 Leon County, FL 86