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Jefferson County, MO

Rock

RANK #144 / 996 NAT  ·  #8 / 22 MO  ·  POP 226,984

1YR FORECAST: +3.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +34%

Our model projects Jefferson County's housing market to grow +3.7% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Jefferson County?

Jefferson County, Missouri, south of St. Louis, offers a blend of suburban and rural living, with the Mississippi River forming its eastern border. A notable landmark is the Sandy Creek Covered Bridge, one of only four remaining covered bridges in Missouri, built in 1872. Commutes to St. Louis are common, with Interstate 55 providing a direct route. The county features rolling hills, forests, and limestone bluffs, providing opportunities for outdoor recreation at places like Mastodon State Historic Site and Don Robinson State Park.

Life in Jefferson County often appeals to families and those seeking a less urban environment. While some areas are suburban, many communities retain a small-town feel. Public schools in the county are generally above average. The economy is experiencing growth, with recent investments in sectors such as data technology centers and infrastructure improvements. These developments aim to create jobs and enhance local services.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
8.8x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+2.7%

Above national median

Home Prices
+4.1%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
1.0

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
11x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks overvalued at 8.8x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Mercy Hospital Jefferson Healthcare
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Jefferson County Government Government
    500+
  3. 3
    Northwest R-1 School District Education
  4. 4
    Fox C-6 School District Education
  5. 5
    Jefferson R-7 School District Education
    250+
  6. 6
    Windsor C-1 School District Education
  7. 7
    De Soto 73 School District Education
  8. 8
    Festus R-VI School District Education
  9. 9
    Dow Chemical Company Manufacturing
  10. 10
    The Doe Run Company Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Jefferson County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
226,984
+0.47% YoY
Median Household Income
$77,217
Median Home Value
$202,500
+4.06% 12mo
Median Rent
$957
Average Annual Pay
$49,615
+3.2% YoY
Employment
49,458
+2.2% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3813
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.69%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
22.8%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$292,000
Days on Market
35
Active market
Months of Supply
2.3
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.1%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
40.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
24.4%
Building Permits (2024)
811
Single-Family Permits
695

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.5
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
19.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
128.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
44.0
Good
Good Air Days
65%
705 of 1,087 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
24
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
44
2022
44
2023
44
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$7,350M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
CRG Data Center
CRG (developer), unnamed technology tenant
$6,000M Proposed
Big Hollow Energy Center (Natural Gas Plant & Battery Storage)
Ameren Missouri
$1,200M Under Construction
I-55 Improvements from Route Z to U.S. Route 67
MoDOT
$50M Planned
Crystal City Port Development with Access Roadway
Jefferson County Port Authority
$50M Partially Funded
Community Solar Portfolio (House Springs & other Neighborhood Solar projects)
Ameren Missouri
$50M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +2.7% 51 percentile
Population Growth +0.5% 50 percentile
Income Growth +8.3% 44 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.7% 80 percentile
Home Price Change +4.1% 84 percentile
Rent Growth +6.8% 90 percentile
Price/Rent 11x 78 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Jefferson County, MO a good place to move to?

Jefferson County ranks #144 out of 996 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 86/100, putting it in the top tier nationally. Job growth of +2.2% and a median household income of $77,217 point to a county with active economic momentum.

Is Jefferson County affordable?

By national standards, Jefferson County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $202,500, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.38 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $957/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Jefferson County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Jefferson County are hiring — job growth of +2.2% — but the population is close to flat (+0.5% YoY). Home values moved +4.1% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Jefferson County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.69% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Jefferson County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Lincoln County, MO 83 Cole County, MO 90 Jasper County, MO 91 Pulaski County, MO 93 Cass County, MO 79 Johnson County, MO 94 Oneida County, NY 86 Minnehaha County, SD 86