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St. Louis County, MO

RANK #666 / 1001 NAT  ·  #20 / 22 MO  ·  POP 995,569

1YR FORECAST: -0.2%

5YR OUTLOOK: +26%

Our model projects St. Louis County's housing market at -0.2% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why St. Louis County?

With over 90 municipalities, St. Louis County, Missouri, offers a diverse landscape, from historic towns like Florissant and Webster Groves to more affluent areas such as Chesterfield and Clayton. The county seat, Clayton, features a downtown business district with dining and is home to Washington University. The county is bordered by the Missouri River to the north and the Meramec River to the south, providing natural boundaries and opportunities for outdoor recreation. Residents have access to a variety of green spaces, including over 70 parks, and can utilize public transportation options like MetroLink and MetroBus for commutes within the county and to the independent city of St. Louis.

Life in St. Louis County often balances suburban comfort with accessibility to urban amenities. Many families reside here, drawn by the public school districts, which include highly-rated systems like Parkway and Rockwood. The economy is experiencing growth in sectors such as agriculture, utilities, and manufacturing. There is also ongoing investment in community development, including projects focused on affordable housing and revitalizing commercial areas.

MARKET PROFILE

Educated Suburban Growth

St. Louis County is one of 110 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +1.6% runs below the profile's typical +2.4%.

See all 110 Educated Suburban Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
5.9x

Below national median (11.3x)

Home Prices
+1.6%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
0.6

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (15x)

Housing is fairly valued at 5.9x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Boeing Manufacturing
    10,000+
  2. 2
    BJC HealthCare Healthcare
  3. 3
    Centene Healthcare
  4. 4
    Edward Jones Finance
  5. 5
    Emerson Manufacturing
  6. 6
    Enterprise Holdings Other
  7. 7
    Schnucks Retail
  8. 8
    St. Louis County Government Government
  9. 9
    World Wide Technology (WWT) Technology
  10. 10
    Bayer Other

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

St. Louis County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
995,569
-0.11% YoY
Median Household Income
$82,936
Median Home Value
$276,800
+1.62% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,209
Average Annual Pay
$78,736
+3.7% YoY
Employment
589,649
-1.2% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2996
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.46%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
47.4%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$313,000
Days on Market
11
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
1.9
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.3%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
50.9%
Listings w/ Price Drops
32.3%
Building Permits (2025)
957
Single-Family Permits
496

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

F
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
16.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
24.2
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
108.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$2,000M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Big Hollow Energy Center (Natural Gas & Battery Storage)
Ameren Missouri
$1,200M Approved
ICL Battery Materials Manufacturing Plant
ICL Group
$400M Under Construction
Reform Renewable Energy Center (Solar Farm)
Ameren Missouri
$250M Planned
St. Louis County 2050 Comprehensive Plan Implementation (Spanish Lake Small Area Study)
St. Louis County Department of Planning
$50M Proposed
Vandalia Renewable Energy Center
Ameren Missouri
$50M Planned
Bowling Green Renewable Energy Center
Ameren Missouri
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth -0.1% 17 percentile
Income Growth +2.0% 31 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 49 percentile
Home Price Change +1.6% 49 percentile
Rent Growth +3.1% 53 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 45 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is St. Louis County, MO a good place to move to?

At 33/100, St. Louis County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $82,936 combined with job growth of -1.2% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is St. Louis County affordable?

Housing in St. Louis County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $276,800 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.30, with rents averaging $1,209/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is St. Louis County growing or shrinking?

St. Louis County's job market is contracting (-1.2% YoY) while population is roughly stable (-0.1% change). Home values are +1.6% over the past 12 months. Hiring headwinds without an offsetting exodus — residents are staying, but local employers are shedding payroll.

Are people moving to St. Louis County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.46% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests St. Louis County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

St. Charles County, MO 30 Platte County, MO 29 St. Louis city, MO 39 Clay County, MO 41 Cass County, MO 51 Christian County, MO 53 Jefferson County, AL 33 Westchester County, NY 34