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Culpeper County, VA

East Fairfax

RANK #452 / 996 NAT  ·  #7 / 37 VA  ·  POP 52,822

1YR FORECAST: +2.1%

5YR OUTLOOK: +25%

Culpeper County's housing market is projected to grow +2.1% over the next year, tracking near the national average.

[01] Why Culpeper County?

Culpeper County, Virginia, is distinguished by its historic town of Culpeper, where colonial charm meets modern amenities. George Washington himself surveyed the town in 1749. Located in the north-central Piedmont region, the county is about 60 miles northeast of Washington, D.C., and 45 miles southwest of Charlottesville, offering a balance of small-town atmosphere with access to larger cities. The community values its rural setting and small-town feel, with views of the Blue Ridge Mountains. Outdoor recreation is available at places like Mountain Run Lake Park, which offers fishing, boating, and trails.

Life in Culpeper County appeals to families and those seeking a quieter lifestyle, though many employed residents commute outside the county for work. Culpeper County Public Schools operates eleven schools, serving approximately 8,400 students. The local economy is diversifying beyond its agricultural roots, with growth in sectors such as technology, including data centers, and energy. The county's strategic location and infrastructure are attracting new investment, contributing to its economic evolution.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
9.1x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+4.7%

Well above national median

Home Prices
+2.8%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-1.1

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
22x

Prices detached from rents

Housing looks overvalued at 9.1x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Culpeper County School Board Education
  2. 2
    UVA Culpeper Hospital Healthcare
  3. 3
    County of Culpeper Government
  4. 4
    Walmart Retail
  5. 5
    Masco Builder Cabinet Group Manufacturing
  6. 6
    Rappahannock Rapidan Community Services Board Healthcare
  7. 7
    Coffeewood Correctional Center Government
  8. 8
    S.W.I.F.T. Finance
  9. 9
    Cintas Corporation Other
  10. 10
    Bingham & Taylor Corp Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Culpeper County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
52,822
+1.54% YoY
Median Household Income
$92,359
Median Home Value
$369,600
+2.77% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,383
Average Annual Pay
$56,499
+6.8% YoY
Employment
16,369
-0.7% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2499
Near national average
Migration Inflow
5.4%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
26.8%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$590,000
Days on Market
63
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.0
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.8%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
34.9%
Listings w/ Price Drops
11.6%
Building Permits (2024)
425
Single-Family Permits
365

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
13.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
89.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$2,215M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
EdgeCore Culpeper Campus
EdgeCore Digital Infrastructure
$500M Under Construction
DataBank Culpeper Campus (IAD5 and IAD6)
DataBank
$500M Under Construction
Peterson Cos. Data Center Campus
Peterson Cos.
$500M Planned
CloudHQ CLP Campus
CloudHQ
$500M Planned
Greenwood Solar
N/A
$150M Planned
Strata Solar Project
Strata Clean Energy
$65M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +4.7% 82 percentile
Population Growth +1.5% 83 percentile
Income Growth +8.3% 43 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 52 percentile
Home Price Change +2.8% 69 percentile
Price/Rent 22x 4 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Culpeper County, VA a good place to move to?

Culpeper County scores 54/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 996 U.S. counties (#452). Median household income is $92,359 and job growth is running at -0.7%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Culpeper County affordable?

Culpeper County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $369,600 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.25 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,383/month on average.

Is Culpeper County growing or shrinking?

Culpeper County's population is growing — up +1.5% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of -0.7%). Home values shifted +2.8% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Culpeper County?

In significant numbers — 5.4% of Culpeper County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Rockingham County, VA 54 Richmond city, VA 55 Newport News city, VA 53 Hanover County, VA 59 Portsmouth city, VA 60 Franklin County, VA 61 McMinn County, TN 54 Jefferson County, TN 55