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Culpeper County, VA

RANK #165 / 1001 NAT  ·  #3 / 37 VA  ·  POP 54,397

1YR FORECAST: +1.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +34%

Our model projects Culpeper County's housing market to grow +1.7% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Culpeper County?

Culpeper County, Virginia, is distinguished by its historic town of Culpeper, where colonial charm meets modern amenities. George Washington himself surveyed the town in 1749. Located in the north-central Piedmont region, the county is about 60 miles northeast of Washington, D.C., and 45 miles southwest of Charlottesville, offering a balance of small-town atmosphere with access to larger cities. The community values its rural setting and small-town feel, with views of the Blue Ridge Mountains. Outdoor recreation is available at places like Mountain Run Lake Park, which offers fishing, boating, and trails.

Life in Culpeper County appeals to families and those seeking a quieter lifestyle, though many employed residents commute outside the county for work. Culpeper County Public Schools operates eleven schools, serving approximately 8,400 students. The local economy is diversifying beyond its agricultural roots, with growth in sectors such as technology, including data centers, and energy. The county's strategic location and infrastructure are attracting new investment, contributing to its economic evolution.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Culpeper County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +2.8% YoY, population +1.6%, wages +1.9%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
23.6x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+2.8%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-1.1

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
17x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 23.6x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Culpeper County School Board Education
  2. 2
    UVA Culpeper Hospital Healthcare
  3. 3
    County of Culpeper Government
  4. 4
    Walmart Retail
  5. 5
    Masco Builder Cabinet Group Manufacturing
  6. 6
    Rappahannock Rapidan Community Services Board Healthcare
  7. 7
    Coffeewood Correctional Center Government
  8. 8
    S.W.I.F.T. Finance
  9. 9
    Cintas Corporation Other
  10. 10
    Bingham & Taylor Corp Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Culpeper County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
54,397
+1.56% YoY
Median Household Income
$100,049
Median Home Value
$409,200
+2.76% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,423
Average Annual Pay
$57,586
+1.9% YoY
Employment
16,410
+0.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2445
Near national average
Migration Inflow
5.92%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
27.3%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$577,904
Days on Market
36
Active market
Months of Supply
3.7
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.6%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
32.8%
Listings w/ Price Drops
26.3%
Building Permits (2025)
366
Single-Family Permits
366

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
13.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
89.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$2,215M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
EdgeCore Culpeper Campus
EdgeCore Digital Infrastructure
$500M Under Construction
DataBank Culpeper Campus (IAD5 and IAD6)
DataBank
$500M Under Construction
Peterson Cos. Data Center Campus
Peterson Cos.
$500M Planned
CloudHQ CLP Campus
CloudHQ
$500M Planned
Greenwood Solar
N/A
$150M Planned
Strata Solar Project
Strata Clean Energy
$65M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.6% 80 percentile
Income Growth +4.1% 80 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.3% 98 percentile
Home Price Change +2.8% 64 percentile
Rent Growth +6.1% 87 percentile
Price/Rent 17x 35 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Culpeper County, VA a good place to move to?

Culpeper County ranks #165 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 84/100, placing it in the top tier nationally. Median household income is $100,049 and the underlying growth metrics (housing, migration, income) hold up against peer counties.

Is Culpeper County affordable?

Culpeper County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $409,200 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.24 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,423/month on average.

Is Culpeper County growing or shrinking?

Culpeper County's population is growing — up +1.6% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.3%). Home values shifted +2.8% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Culpeper County?

In significant numbers — 5.92% of Culpeper County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Bedford County, VA 85 Chesapeake city, VA 83 Augusta County, VA 81 Virginia Beach city, VA 81 Franklin County, VA 90 Pittsylvania County, VA 75 Darke County, OH 84 Crawford County, AR 84