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Augusta County, VA

RANK #188 / 1001 NAT  ·  #5 / 37 VA  ·  POP 78,033

1YR FORECAST: +2.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +34%

Our model projects Augusta County's housing market to grow +2.7% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Augusta County?

Augusta County, Virginia, in the heart of the Shenandoah Valley, offers access to natural landmarks like Natural Chimneys, known for its towering limestone formations and as a music festival venue. The county is situated between the Blue Ridge and Allegheny Mountains, providing scenic views and extensive outdoor recreation opportunities. Major interstates I-81 and I-64 run through the county, with the independent cities of Staunton and Waynesboro located within its borders. Commuting is facilitated by these interstates and local transit options like the BRITE bus service, which connects Staunton, Waynesboro, and Fishersville, and the Afton Express for travel to Charlottesville.

Life in Augusta County is characterized by a blend of rural and small-town living, with many residents owning their homes. The public school system, serving over 10,000 students across 19 schools, is fully accredited. The local economy is supported by sectors such as manufacturing, agriculture, and logistics. Recent economic developments include investments in industrial and commercial construction, with major employers contributing to the job market. The county's economic development efforts also focus on attracting new businesses and supporting existing ones.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Augusta County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +4.9% YoY, population +0.4%, wages +3.0%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
12.5x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+4.9%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.1

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 12.5x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Augusta Health (Augusta Medical Center) Healthcare
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Target Corp. Retail
  3. 3
    Augusta County School Board Education
  4. 4
    Hershey Chocolate of Virginia Manufacturing
  5. 5
    McKee Foods Corporation Manufacturing
  6. 6
    AAF McQuay, Inc. Manufacturing
  7. 7
    Hollister, Inc. Manufacturing
  8. 8
    County of Augusta Government
  9. 9
    NIBCO of Virginia Manufacturing
  10. 10
    U.P.S. Logistics

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Augusta County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
78,033
+0.41% YoY
Median Household Income
$82,049
Median Home Value
$306,100
+4.86% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,136
Average Annual Pay
$61,303
+3.0% YoY
Employment
31,235
+4.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.268
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.98%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
25.1%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$360,000
Days on Market
8
Very hot — homes selling fast
Months of Supply
2.1
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.2%
Homes selling above asking
Sold Above List
42.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
32.0%
Building Permits (2025)
495
Single-Family Permits
248

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
2.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
17.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
85.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$554M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Valley 230 kV Battery Storage
Undisclosed
$210M Planned
Community Solar Portfolio (Augusta CSG & Waynesboro Bridge Solar)
Dimension Renewable Energy
$105M Operating
Amazon Fulfillment Center
Amazon
$100M Operating
Shamrock Farms Expansion
Shamrock Farms
$59M Under Construction
Augusta County Courthouse Construction
Augusta County
$50M Under Construction
CAVA Processing & Packaging Plant
CAVA
$30M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.4% 40 percentile
Income Growth +2.6% 45 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.7% 79 percentile
Home Price Change +4.9% 86 percentile
Rent Growth +3.5% 60 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 45 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Augusta County, VA a good place to move to?

Augusta County ranks #188 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 81/100, putting it in the top tier nationally. Job growth of +4.6% and a median household income of $82,049 point to a county with active economic momentum.

Is Augusta County affordable?

Housing in Augusta County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $306,100 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.27, with rents averaging $1,136/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Augusta County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Augusta County are hiring — job growth of +4.6% — but the population is close to flat (+0.4% YoY). Home values moved +4.9% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Augusta County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.98% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Augusta County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Virginia Beach city, VA 81 Chesapeake city, VA 83 Culpeper County, VA 84 Bedford County, VA 85 Pittsylvania County, VA 75 Washington County, VA 74 Floyd County, IN 81 Carbon County, PA 81