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Wilson County, TX

RANK #591 / 1001 NAT  ·  #33 / 72 TX  ·  POP 52,781

1YR FORECAST: -0.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +27%

#10 Most Overvalued
Wilson County's housing market is projected to grow -0.7% over the next year, below the national average.

[01] Why Wilson County?

Floresville, the county seat, is often the first place locals mention in Wilson County, Texas, known as the "Peanut Capital of Texas" and host to an annual Peanut Festival. Located about 30 miles southeast of San Antonio, the county offers a community feel with a manageable commute to the larger city. The landscape features gently rolling hills, grasslands, and some forests, with the San Antonio River and Cibolo and Ecleto creeks providing water sources. Outdoor recreation includes hunting for white-tailed deer and wild turkey, and Floresville has several city parks, including the Floresville River Park along the San Antonio River, offering trails and sports fields.

Life in Wilson County offers a lower cost of living compared to national averages, attracting families and those seeking a quieter pace. The economy, historically rooted in agriculture like peanuts and livestock, has seen recent growth in service and energy sectors, partly due to its proximity to the Eagle Ford Shale region. Commuting to San Antonio is a common option for employment, with public bus routes also available within the county. The county is served by several independent school districts, including Floresville, La Vernia, Poth, and Stockdale ISDs, which are generally rated above average.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Wilson County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +0.7% YoY, population +2.5%, wages +3.3%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
33.1x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+0.7%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
0.4

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
25x

Prices detached from rents

Housing looks overvalued at 33.1x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Education and Hospitals (Local Government) Government
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Health Care & Social Assistance Healthcare
    2,500+
  3. 3
    Retail Trade Retail
  4. 4
    Construction Other

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Wilson County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
52,781
+2.49% YoY
Median Household Income
$94,565
Median Home Value
$321,300
+0.73% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,069
Average Annual Pay
$53,343
+3.3% YoY
Employment
9,592
+0.1% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2943
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.75%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
25.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$333,900
Days on Market
85
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.8
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.3%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
7.9%
Listings w/ Price Drops
42.4%
Building Permits (2025)
127
Single-Family Permits
127

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
12.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
16.7
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
71.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

A
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
7.3
Good
Good Air Days
100%
955 of 955 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
0
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
7
2022
8
2023
7
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +2.5% 92 percentile
Income Growth +2.3% 37 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 54 percentile
Home Price Change +0.7% 35 percentile
Price/Rent 25x 4 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Wilson County, TX a good place to move to?

Wilson County scores 40/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 1001 U.S. counties (#591). Median household income is $94,565 and job growth is running at +0.1%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Wilson County affordable?

Housing in Wilson County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $321,300 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.29, with rents averaging $1,069/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Wilson County growing or shrinking?

Wilson County's population is growing — up +2.5% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.1%). Home values shifted +0.7% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Wilson County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.75% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Wilson County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Brazos County, TX 41 Atascosa County, TX 43 Johnson County, TX 43 Hunt County, TX 37 Burnet County, TX 44 Brazoria County, TX 45 Washington County, OK 39 Washington County, NY 41