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Wilson County, TN

District 25

RANK #719 / 996 NAT  ·  #19 / 33 TN  ·  POP 149,096

1YR FORECAST: -0.5%

5YR OUTLOOK: +18%

#46 Fastest Growing
Our model projects Wilson County's housing market at -0.5% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Wilson County?

Wilson County, Tennessee, distinguishes itself with Cedars of Lebanon State Park, a unique landscape featuring extensive cedar glades and forests that reminded early settlers of biblical lands. Located just east of Nashville, the county offers a blend of rural and suburban living, with towns like Lebanon, Mt. Juliet, and Watertown. Commuting to Nashville is possible via Interstate 40 or the Music City Star commuter train, which serves Lebanon and Mt. Juliet. The community provides access to outdoor recreation, including hiking, fishing, and horseback riding, particularly at Cedars of Lebanon and Long Hunter State Park.

Life in the county balances proximity to a major city with a more relaxed pace. It attracts families and individuals seeking highly rated public schools and a strong sense of community. The economy is experiencing growth, with new developments and investments in industrial and logistics sectors. Agriculture also continues to be a significant contributor to the local economy.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.9x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+5.4%

Well above national median

Home Prices
+0.5%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.8

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
15x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 6.9x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Wilson County Schools Education
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Under Armour Logistics
  3. 3
    Amazon Logistics
  4. 4
    Cracker Barrel Hospitality
    500+
  5. 5
    Performance Food Group Logistics
  6. 6
    CEVA Logistics Logistics
  7. 7
    TRW Automotive Commercial Steering Systems Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Genco ATC Logistics
  9. 9
    Manheim Other
    250+
  10. 10
    Lochinvar, LLC Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Wilson County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
149,096
+3.0% YoY
Median Household Income
$89,462
Median Home Value
$358,900
+0.52% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,268
Average Annual Pay
$57,691
+5.3% YoY
Employment
65,504
+2.4% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2493
Near national average
Migration Inflow
4.41%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
36.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$455,995
Days on Market
102
Slower market
Months of Supply
5.7
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.8%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
6.1%
Listings w/ Price Drops
21.4%
Building Permits (2024)
1,927
Single-Family Permits
1,905

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.1
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
15.6
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
103.8
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
39.3
Good
Good Air Days
90%
653 of 729 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
5
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
37
2022
39
2023
42
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$216M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Amazon Fulfillment Center (Speedway Industrial Park)
Amazon.com Services LLC
$116M Operating
Thermo Fisher Scientific Manufacturing Facility
Thermo Fisher Scientific
$100M Under Construction
Amazon Fulfillment Center (Mt. Juliet)
Amazon.com Inc.
Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +5.4% 86 percentile
Population Growth +3.0% 95 percentile
Income Growth +8.8% 58 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 59 percentile
Home Price Change +0.5% 38 percentile
Rent Growth +2.5% 42 percentile
Price/Rent 15x 37 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Wilson County, TN a good place to move to?

At 27/100, Wilson County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 996 counties we track. Median income of $89,462 combined with job growth of +2.4% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Wilson County affordable?

Wilson County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $358,900 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.25 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,268/month on average.

Is Wilson County growing or shrinking?

Wilson County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +3.0% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +2.4% clip. Home values shifted +0.5% in the past year.

Are people moving to Wilson County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.41% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Wilson County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Putnam County, TN 27 Williamson County, TN 26 Maury County, TN 25 Sumner County, TN 25 Knox County, TN 25 Loudon County, TN 23 Bay County, FL 27 Henderson County, NC 27