68 / 100

Wagoner County, OK

Coweta

RANK #318 / 996 NAT  ·  #9 / 14 OK  ·  POP 82,269

1YR FORECAST: +1.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +28%

#32 Most Overvalued
Our model projects above-average housing market growth for Wagoner County at +1.7% over the next year.

[01] Why Wagoner County?

Wagoner County, Oklahoma, is defined by its connection to Fort Gibson Lake, a major draw for outdoor enthusiasts seeking fishing, boating, swimming, and hiking opportunities. Located in northeastern Oklahoma, the county sits southeast of Tulsa, offering a blend of small-town character with access to metropolitan amenities. Commutes to Tulsa are manageable, with options including personal vehicles and the Ki Bois Area Transit System (KATS) for public transportation. The community maintains a relaxed pace, with towns like Coweta and Porter contributing to the local identity.

Life in Wagoner County often appeals to families and young professionals, with public schools generally performing above average. The county's economy is experiencing growth, with recent efforts focused on attracting and supporting businesses, including manufacturing. While a proposed data center in Coweta was recently withdrawn, the county continues to pursue economic development through various initiatives and partnerships. Residents benefit from a strong sense of community and a lower cost of living compared to larger cities.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
11.1x

Overvalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+2.4%

Below national median

Home Prices
+2.7%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
0.1

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
10x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks overvalued at 11.1x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Wagoner Public Schools Education
    500+
  2. 2
    Coweta Public Schools Education
  3. 3
    Wagoner Community Hospital Healthcare
    100+
  4. 4
    Zeeco Manufacturing
  5. 5
    Koweta Indian Health Center Healthcare
  6. 6
    Unarco Manufacturing
  7. 7
    DMI Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Gavco Manufacturing
  9. 9
    Continental Industries Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Molded Products Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Wagoner County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
82,269
+2.19% YoY
Median Household Income
$75,082
Median Home Value
$201,600
+2.71% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,000
Average Annual Pay
$55,030
+6.7% YoY
Employment
11,273
+7.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3724
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
6.38%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
26.1%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$269,000
Days on Market
72
Slower market
Months of Supply
3.0
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.6%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
21.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
27.6%
Building Permits (2024)
581
Single-Family Permits
575

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.7
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
17.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
81.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$694M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Persica Solar Project
NextEra Energy Resources
$335M Proposed
Wagoner Battery/Storage
Undisclosed
$199M Planned
Wagoner Solar
Undisclosed
$160M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +2.4% 45 percentile
Population Growth +2.2% 90 percentile
Income Growth +9.0% 63 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.7% 86 percentile
Home Price Change +2.7% 68 percentile
Rent Growth +2.1% 34 percentile
Price/Rent 10x 92 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Wagoner County, OK a good place to move to?

With a Boom Town Index score of 68/100, Wagoner County sits in the upper half of all 996 ranked counties. Employment is expanding at +7.5%, and median household income stands at $75,082 — indicators that suggest solid fundamentals even if it's not among the fastest-growing counties in OK.

Is Wagoner County affordable?

By national standards, Wagoner County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $201,600, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.37 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $1,000/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Wagoner County growing or shrinking?

Wagoner County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +2.2% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +7.5% clip. Home values shifted +2.7% in the past year.

Are people moving to Wagoner County?

In significant numbers — 6.38% of Wagoner County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Pottawatomie County, OK 75 Payne County, OK 78 Washington County, OK 58 Creek County, OK 79 Tulsa County, OK 85 Rogers County, OK 48 Cattaraugus County, NY 68 Ozaukee County, WI 68