RANK #686 / 1001 NAT · #14 / 15 OK · POP 86,609
1YR FORECAST: +1.1%
5YR OUTLOOK: +26%
Wagoner County, Oklahoma, is defined by its connection to Fort Gibson Lake, a major draw for outdoor enthusiasts seeking fishing, boating, swimming, and hiking opportunities. Located in northeastern Oklahoma, the county sits southeast of Tulsa, offering a blend of small-town character with access to metropolitan amenities. Commutes to Tulsa are manageable, with options including personal vehicles and the Ki Bois Area Transit System (KATS) for public transportation. The community maintains a relaxed pace, with towns like Coweta and Porter contributing to the local identity.
Life in Wagoner County often appeals to families and young professionals, with public schools generally performing above average. The county's economy is experiencing growth, with recent efforts focused on attracting and supporting businesses, including manufacturing. While a proposed data center in Coweta was recently withdrawn, the county continues to pursue economic development through various initiatives and partnerships. Residents benefit from a strong sense of community and a lower cost of living compared to larger cities.
Wagoner County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +2.8% YoY, population +2.7%, wages +3.6%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.
See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →Overvalued relative to economy
Moderate climate & terrain
Housing looks overvalued at 30.7x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.
Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.
Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).
Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →
Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →
| PROJECT | AMOUNT | STATUS |
|---|---|---|
|
Persica Solar Project
NextEra Energy Resources
|
$335M | Proposed |
|
Wagoner Battery/Storage
Undisclosed
|
$199M | Planned |
|
Wagoner Solar
Undisclosed
|
$160M | Planned |
Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.
Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.
At 31/100, Wagoner County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $81,207 combined with job growth of +3.1% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.
Housing in Wagoner County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $234,800 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.35, with rents averaging $1,068/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.
Wagoner County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +2.7% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +3.1% clip. Home values shifted +2.8% in the past year.
In significant numbers — 5.26% of Wagoner County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.