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New Hanover County, NC

RANK #760 / 1001 NAT  ·  #41 / 51 NC  ·  POP 235,229

1YR FORECAST: -0.9%

5YR OUTLOOK: +24%

Our model projects New Hanover County's housing market at -0.9% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why New Hanover County?

With its historic downtown and proximity to Atlantic beaches, New Hanover County, North Carolina, offers a distinctive coastal lifestyle. The city of Wilmington, the county seat, sits along the Cape Fear River, approximately 130 miles south of Raleigh. Residents and visitors enjoy a Riverwalk, historic architecture, and access to nearby beach towns like Wrightsville Beach, Carolina Beach, and Kure Beach. Outdoor recreation opportunities abound, including watersports, hiking trails, and numerous parks such as Airlie Gardens and Carolina Beach State Park.

Life in New Hanover County attracts a mix of families, retirees, and young professionals seeking a balance of coastal living and urban amenities. The public school system, New Hanover County Schools, is highly rated and offers various educational options, including magnet and year-round schools. The economy, while historically influenced by tourism, has seen growth in sectors like healthcare and finance. Recent economic developments include investments in commercial and residential construction, as well as expansion in industrial and logistics sectors, particularly around the Port of Wilmington and Wilmington International Airport.

MARKET PROFILE
LEANS TOWARD

Sun Belt Exurban Boom

New Hanover County is one of 43 U.S. counties in this market profile — near the profile average on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of -1.1% runs below the profile's typical -0.0%.

See all 43 Sun Belt Exurban Boom counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
10.6x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-1.1%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
1.2

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
20x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 10.6x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Novant Health New Hanover Regional Medical Center Healthcare
    5,000+
  2. 2
    New Hanover County Schools Education
    1,000+
  3. 3
    University of North Carolina Wilmington Education
  4. 4
    PPD (Thermo Fisher Scientific) Other
  5. 5
    New Hanover County Government Government
  6. 6
    City of Wilmington Government
  7. 7
    Cape Fear Community College Education
  8. 8
    Corning Incorporated Manufacturing
    500+
  9. 9
    GE Hitachi Nuclear Energy Energy
  10. 10
    Live Oak Bank Finance
    250+

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

New Hanover County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
235,229
+1.74% YoY
Median Household Income
$75,166
Median Home Value
$387,800
-1.07% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,417
Average Annual Pay
$65,344
+6.1% YoY
Employment
131,703
+0.9% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.1938
Near national average
Migration Inflow
4.93%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
45.4%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$480,000
Days on Market
59
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.9
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.9%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
15.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
25.5%
Building Permits (2025)
2,332
Single-Family Permits
1,208

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
6.7
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
14.1
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
95.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
42.0
Good
Good Air Days
73%
791 of 1,083 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
1
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
40
2022
42
2023
44
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$207M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Amazon Robotics Fulfillment Center
Amazon
$100M Under Construction
Project Grace (Library and Museum)
New Hanover County
$57M Under Construction
Swartville Residential Development
Sea Horse Development (Joel and Ross Tomaselli)
$50M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.7% 84 percentile
Income Growth +3.1% 60 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.7% 12 percentile
Home Price Change -1.1% 18 percentile
Rent Growth +1.9% 32 percentile
Price/Rent 20x 18 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is New Hanover County, NC a good place to move to?

At 23/100, New Hanover County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $75,166 combined with job growth of +0.9% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is New Hanover County affordable?

New Hanover County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $387,800 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.19 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,417/month on average.

Is New Hanover County growing or shrinking?

New Hanover County's population is growing — up +1.7% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +0.9%). Home values shifted -1.1% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to New Hanover County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.93% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests New Hanover County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Cleveland County, NC 23 Lincoln County, NC 24 Iredell County, NC 25 Union County, NC 25 Pender County, NC 18 Hoke County, NC 15 Weber County, UT 23 Beaufort County, SC 23