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Leon County, FL

RANK #136 / 1001 NAT  ·  #3 / 41 FL  ·  POP 297,542

1YR FORECAST: -0.6%

5YR OUTLOOK: +35%

Our model projects Leon County's housing market to grow -0.6% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Leon County?

Leon County, Florida, stands out for its rolling hills, a contrast to much of the state's flat terrain, and its numerous canopy roads, which offer scenic drives under arching trees. Located in the Florida Panhandle, with Tallahassee as its county seat and the state capital, the county is approximately halfway between Pensacola and St. Augustine. The community has a feel influenced by its role as a political center and home to Florida State University and Florida A&M University. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with over 700 miles of trails for hiking, biking, and paddling, alongside numerous parks and natural springs like Wakulla Springs State Park.

Life in Leon County offers a blend of urban amenities and access to natural spaces. The public school system is highly rated, with several elementary and middle schools receiving top rankings. Commute times average around 21.1 minutes, with many residents driving alone, though public transportation via StarMetro buses, carpooling, and biking are also options. The economy, while historically rooted in government and education due to the presence of the state capital and universities, is experiencing growth in other sectors. Recent economic developments show investment in commercial and residential projects, contributing to a diversifying job market.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Leon County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +0.6% YoY, population +0.8%, wages +4.8%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
8.4x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+0.6%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
1.8

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 8.4x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    State of Florida Government
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Florida State University Education
  3. 3
    Tallahassee Memorial Healthcare, Inc. Healthcare
  4. 4
    City of Tallahassee Government
  5. 5
    Florida A&M University Education
  6. 6
    Leon County Schools Education
  7. 7
    Capital Regional Medical Center Healthcare
  8. 8
    Leon County Government Government
  9. 9
    Tallahassee Community College Education
  10. 10
    Trulieve Agriculture

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Leon County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
297,542
+0.75% YoY
Median Household Income
$66,287
Median Home Value
$301,800
+0.64% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,291
Average Annual Pay
$64,881
+4.8% YoY
Employment
165,380
+1.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2196
Near national average
Migration Inflow
7.24%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
48.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$335,565
Days on Market
57
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.7
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.4%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
17.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
19.9%
Building Permits (2025)
2,047
Single-Family Permits
617

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
6.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
13.2
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
64.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
47.3
Good
Good Air Days
56%
609 of 1,090 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
1
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
48
2022
47
2023
47
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,194M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Pecan Prairie Solar Project
Repsol Renewables
$595M Planned
Amazon Robotics Fulfillment Center
Amazon.com, Inc.
$200M Completed
Park Place PUD Concept Plan (Residential & Commercial)
Undisclosed
$150M Planned
Tallahassee-Leon County Infrastructure Projects (Penny Sales Tax)
Tallahassee-Leon County
$125M Under Construction
Tallahassee Solar Farms (I & II)
Origis Energy (for City of Tallahassee)
$62M Completed
Danfoss Turbocor Manufacturing Facility Expansion
Danfoss
$62M Completed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.8% 56 percentile
Income Growth +1.9% 28 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.5% 17 percentile
Home Price Change +0.6% 34 percentile
Rent Growth +2.4% 41 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 39 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Leon County, FL a good place to move to?

Leon County ranks #136 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 86/100, putting it in the top tier nationally. Job growth of +1.0% and a median household income of $66,287 point to a county with active economic momentum.

Is Leon County affordable?

Leon County leans toward the expensive side. A median home value of $301,800 against an income-to-home-value ratio of 0.22 means housing eats a bigger share of local earnings than the national norm. Renters face $1,291/month on average.

Is Leon County growing or shrinking?

Leon County's population is growing — up +0.8% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of +1.0%). Home values shifted +0.6% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Leon County?

In significant numbers — 7.24% of Leon County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Monroe County, FL 86 Okaloosa County, FL 85 Putnam County, FL 91 Bay County, FL 94 Walton County, FL 78 Escambia County, FL 70 Jefferson County, MO 86 Aiken County, SC 86