33 / 100

Kennebec County, ME

RANK #665 / 1001 NAT  ·  POP 126,808

1YR FORECAST: +0.3%

5YR OUTLOOK: +26%

Our model projects Kennebec County's housing market at +0.3% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Kennebec County?

Hallowell, Maine, a small city on the Kennebec River, offers a distinctive blend of historic charm and artistic flair, often called "The Little Easy" or "New Orleans on the Kennebec." Located just south of Augusta, the state capital, Kennebec County provides a mix of urban amenities and natural beauty. Commuting within the county is generally manageable, with Augusta and Waterville serving as central hubs, though some residents experience commutes over 30 minutes. The Kennebec River Rail Trail connects Augusta, Hallowell, and Gardiner, offering a scenic route for walking and biking. The region features rolling hills, numerous lakes, and access to the Kennebec Highlands, providing ample outdoor recreation opportunities.

Life in Kennebec County appeals to a range of residents, from families drawn to communities with local schools like those in Winthrop and Oakland, to individuals seeking a balance of small-city vibrancy and outdoor access. The economy, historically rooted in industries along the Kennebec River, is seeing new activity. Recent developments indicate investment in infrastructure, including broadband expansion, and growth in clean energy. Efforts are also underway to support small businesses and entrepreneurs, with a focus on revitalizing downtown areas in towns like Augusta, Gardiner, and Waterville.

MARKET PROFILE

Secondary Market Surge

Kennebec County is one of 35 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +0.4% runs below the profile's typical +1.4%.

See all 35 Secondary Market Surge counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
7.7x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+0.4%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.1

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 7.7x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    State of Maine Government
    25,000+
  2. 2
    Hannaford Bros Co Retail
    5,000+
  3. 3
    Walmart / Sam's Club Retail
  4. 4
    MaineGeneral Health Healthcare
    2,500+
  5. 5
    Colby College Education
    500+
  6. 6
    Pine State Trading Company Logistics
  7. 7
    Home Care for Maine Healthcare
  8. 8
    T-Mobile USA Inc. Technology
  9. 9
    Inland Hospital Healthcare
  10. 10
    Huhtamaki Inc. Manufacturing
    1

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Kennebec County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
126,808
+0.95% YoY
Median Household Income
$69,077
Median Home Value
$238,200
+0.36% 12mo
Median Rent
$992
Average Annual Pay
$62,884
+3.3% YoY
Employment
62,139
-0.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.29
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.98%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
31.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$325,000
Days on Market
45
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.2
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.8%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
35.7%
Listings w/ Price Drops
25.4%
Building Permits (2025)
510
Single-Family Permits
398

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

A
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
1.5
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
11.5
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
105.6
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B+
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
33.3
Good
Good Air Days
89%
662 of 746 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
1
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
33
2022
30
2023
37
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$540M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Kennebec Valley Natural Gas Pipeline Expansion
Summit Natural Gas of Maine, Inc.
$240M Operating
Three Corners Solar
Longroad Energy
$200M Operating
Amazon Distribution Center (Waterville/Sidney)
Amazon
$50M Proposed
Community Solar Portfolio (multiple projects)
Various (e.g., AES Distributed Energy, Maine DG Solar Monmouth, LLC, BD Solar Augusta LLC, BD Solar 2 LLC)
$50M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.9% 65 percentile
Income Growth +6.2% 96 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.5% 92 percentile
Home Price Change +0.4% 30 percentile
Rent Growth +3.9% 66 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 70 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Kennebec County, ME a good place to move to?

At 33/100, Kennebec County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $69,077 combined with job growth of -0.6% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Kennebec County affordable?

Housing in Kennebec County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $238,200 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.29, with rents averaging $992/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Kennebec County growing or shrinking?

Kennebec County's population is growing — up +0.9% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of -0.6%). Home values shifted +0.4% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Kennebec County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.98% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Kennebec County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

York County, ME 30 Androscoggin County, ME 41 Cumberland County, ME 24 Penobscot County, ME 63 Somerset County, ME 75 Oxford County, ME 92 Starr County, TX 33 Pennington County, SD 32