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Hawkins County, TN

RANK #884 / 1001 NAT  ·  #30 / 33 TN  ·  POP 57,964

1YR FORECAST: +2.9%

5YR OUTLOOK: +20%

Our model projects Hawkins County's housing market at +2.9% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Hawkins County?

Hawkins County, Tennessee, stands out for its rich history, particularly in Rogersville, the county seat and the state's second-oldest town. Its downtown area, along with many adjacent neighborhoods, is listed on the National Register of Historic Places. The county, located in northeast Tennessee near the Virginia border, is bisected by the Holston River, offering diverse landscapes from farmlands to Appalachian mountain ranges. Outdoor recreation opportunities abound, including kayaking on Cherokee Lake and hiking trails at Laurel Run Park, which features waterfalls and river frontage. Commuting to nearby cities like Kingsport or Johnson City is common, with average commute times around 27.7 minutes.

Life in Hawkins County offers a community-focused atmosphere, attracting families and retirees. The Hawkins County School District serves over 6,000 students across 18 schools, with a student-teacher ratio of 14 to 1. The local economy is experiencing growth, driven by investments in manufacturing, including automotive bearing parts and polysilicon production for solar panels and semiconductors. Existing companies are also expanding, contributing to job creation in the area.

MARKET PROFILE

Secondary Market Surge

Hawkins County is one of 35 U.S. counties in this market profile — weaker than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +3.9% runs above the profile's typical +1.4%.

See all 35 Secondary Market Surge counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
12.9x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+3.9%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
1.2

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
19x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 12.9x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    BAE Systems Ordnance Systems, Inc. Manufacturing
    500+
  2. 2
    Barrette Outdoor Living Manufacturing
  3. 3
    Dodge (ABB) Manufacturing
    250+
  4. 4
    Contour Industries, Inc. Manufacturing
    100+
  5. 5
    RMC Advanced Technologies Manufacturing
    54
  6. 6
    Hawkins County School District Education
  7. 7
    Holston Electric Cooperative Energy
  8. 8
    Rural Health Services Consortium Healthcare

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Hawkins County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
57,964
+0.9% YoY
Median Household Income
$56,936
Median Home Value
$176,300
+3.92% 12mo
Median Rent
$785
Average Annual Pay
$59,462
+7.4% YoY
Employment
13,360
+10.8% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3229
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
4.79%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
16.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$275,000
Days on Market
50
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
4.7
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.4%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
20.0%
Listings w/ Price Drops
38.7%
Building Permits (2025)
141
Single-Family Permits
141

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.3
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
14.7
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
106.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$1,000M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Polysilicon Manufacturing Facility (Project Rocks)
Highland Materials
$900M Planned
Phipps Bend Industrial Park Site Preparation (Lot 17)
Hawkins County Industrial Development Board / Mattern & Craig
$50M Under Construction
Battery Storage System
Tenaska
$50M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.9% 63 percentile
Income Growth +3.0% 57 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 54 percentile
Home Price Change +3.9% 76 percentile
Price/Rent 19x 22 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Hawkins County, TN a good place to move to?

The data is not encouraging — Hawkins County scores just 11/100 on the Boom Town Index, ranking #884 of 1001 counties. Job growth at +10.8% and median household income of $56,936 reflect an economy that has been contracting or stagnating relative to the rest of the country.

Is Hawkins County affordable?

Housing in Hawkins County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $176,300 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.32, with rents averaging $785/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Hawkins County growing or shrinking?

Hawkins County is growing on multiple fronts. Population is up +0.9% year-over-year while employers added jobs at a +10.8% clip — and home values reflect that momentum, rising +3.9% over the past 12 months.

Are people moving to Hawkins County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 4.79% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Hawkins County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Robertson County, TN 12 Knox County, TN 9 Shelby County, TN 15 Maury County, TN 6 Putnam County, TN 18 McMinn County, TN 21 Oldham County, KY 11 La Plata County, CO 12