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Greene County, TN

RANK #24 / 1001 NAT  ·  #2 / 33 TN  ·  POP 71,628

1YR FORECAST: +2.6%

5YR OUTLOOK: +41%

#7 Best for Families
Our model projects Greene County's housing market to grow +2.6% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Greene County?

Greene County, Tennessee, stands out for its deep historical roots, particularly as the longtime home of President Andrew Johnson, whose tailor shop and residence are preserved as a National Historic Site in Greeneville. Greeneville, the county seat, is Tennessee's second oldest incorporated town, established in 1783. Located in the foothills of the Appalachian Mountains, about 70 miles northeast of Knoxville, the county offers a blend of small-town ambiance and natural beauty. Commutes within the county are generally car-dependent, though a new on-demand electric vehicle service, CONNECT by NET Trans, serves Greeneville and Tusculum. The Nolichucky River, a draw for fishing and whitewater rafting, and portions of the Cherokee National Forest provide ample outdoor recreation.

Life in Greene County offers a relaxed pace, attracting families and retirees. The public schools are above average, with the Greene County School District serving over 6,000 students across 18 schools. The economy, historically agricultural with a focus on tobacco, has diversified to include manufacturing. Major employers like John Deere Power Products, which manufactures lawn tractors and mowers, and Plus Mark, a subsidiary of American Greetings, contribute to the industrial base. Tourism is also a significant economic driver, with visitor spending exceeding $114 million in 2024, partly due to efforts promoting the county's history and outdoor opportunities.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Greene County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices +2.7% YoY, population +1.0%, wages +3.2%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
11.4x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+2.7%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
0.1

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 11.4x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Walmart Retail
    500+
  2. 2
    Ballad Health (Laughlin Memorial Hospital) Healthcare
  3. 3
    Takoma Regional Hospital Healthcare
  4. 4
    American Greetings Manufacturing
  5. 5
    John Deere Manufacturing
  6. 6
    Meco Manufacturing Manufacturing
  7. 7
    Huf North America Automotive Parts Manufacturing, Corp. Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Forward Air Logistics
  9. 9
    Greeneville City Schools / Greene County Schools Education
  10. 10
    Town of Greeneville Government

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Greene County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
71,628
+1.0% YoY
Median Household Income
$56,194
Median Home Value
$207,500
+2.66% 12mo
Median Rent
$737
Average Annual Pay
$52,230
+3.2% YoY
Employment
24,928
-0.6% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2708
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.36%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
18.7%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$295,625
Days on Market
59
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.9
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.5%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
17.9%
Listings w/ Price Drops
27.6%
Building Permits (2025)
276
Single-Family Permits
276

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B-
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
4.1
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
17.4
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
134.4
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$178M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Greene County Solar Farm (Hecate Energy)
Hecate Energy
$50M Proposed
Sofos Power Battery Storage Facility
Sofos Power
$50M Proposed
Johnson Farms Subdivision (Phase 2D)
Landstar Development, LLC in partnership with D.R. Horton, Inc.
$50M Under Construction
Meco Corporation Headquarters Expansion
Meco Corporation
$28M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +1.0% 67 percentile
Income Growth +3.9% 78 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.7% 12 percentile
Home Price Change +2.7% 64 percentile
Rent Growth +12.7% 99 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 43 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Greene County, TN a good place to move to?

Greene County ranks #24 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 98/100. The composite score reflects long-term strength — housing, income, and migration patterns — but near-term hiring is soft (employment is down 0.6% year-over-year). Median household income here is $56,194.

Is Greene County affordable?

Housing in Greene County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $207,500 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.27, with rents averaging $737/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Greene County growing or shrinking?

Greene County's population is growing — up +1.0% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of -0.6%). Home values shifted +2.7% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Greene County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.36% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Greene County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Roane County, TN 100 Hamblen County, TN 96 Anderson County, TN 92 Sevier County, TN 90 Madison County, TN 88 Cumberland County, TN 76 Pope County, AR 98 Iron County, UT 98