92 / 100

Garland County, AR

RANK #81 / 1001 NAT  ·  #4 / 13 AR  ·  POP 100,035

1YR FORECAST: +0.6%

5YR OUTLOOK: +37%

Our model projects Garland County's housing market to grow +0.6% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Garland County?

Garland County, Arkansas, is perhaps best known as home to Hot Springs National Park, a distinctive landmark that was the first federally protected area in the United States, established in 1832. The city of Hot Springs, the county seat, is adjacent to the park, offering a blend of urban amenities and natural beauty. Located within the Ouachita Mountains, the county features rolling forested hills and lakes, providing opportunities for boating, fishing, hiking, and mountain biking at spots like Lake Hamilton, Lake Ouachita, and Cedar Glades Park. Commutes within the county are generally short, with an average travel time of around 21.4 minutes.

Life in Garland County offers a mix of small-town atmosphere and access to outdoor recreation. The county's economy is supported by tourism, manufacturing, and regional medical facilities. Major investments in infrastructure and other sectors are contributing to growth, attracting businesses in diverse fields. The area's public schools are generally well-regarded, with several districts ranking highly within the state. Garland County also offers higher education options through National Park College.

MARKET PROFILE
LEANS TOWARD

Affordable Slow Markets

Garland County is one of 75 U.S. counties in this market profile — stronger than typical on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +0.1% runs below the profile's typical +0.8%.

See all 75 Affordable Slow Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
10.7x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+0.1%

Well below national median

Climate & Terrain
1.6

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 10.7x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    CHI St. Vincent Hot Springs Healthcare
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Oaklawn Racing Casino Resort Hospitality
  3. 3
    National Park Medical Center Healthcare
    500+
  4. 4
    Walmart Stores (5 locations) Retail
  5. 5
    City of Hot Springs Government
  6. 6
    Hot Springs School District Education
    250+
  7. 7
    Garland County Government
  8. 8
    National Park College Education
  9. 9
    Area Agency on Aging of Western Arkansas Healthcare
  10. 10
    Window Mart LLC Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Garland County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
100,035
-0.03% YoY
Median Household Income
$57,181
Median Home Value
$194,300
+0.08% 12mo
Median Rent
$966
Average Annual Pay
$47,095
+1.9% YoY
Employment
38,518
+1.3% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2943
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.6%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
25.3%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$269,000
Days on Market
77
Slower market
Months of Supply
6.8
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.5%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
10.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
27.0%
Building Permits (2025)
326
Single-Family Permits
98

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
11.2
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
29.3
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
127.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B-
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
45.3
Good
Good Air Days
60%
200 of 336 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
0
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
PM2.5
Fine particulate matter
Yearly Trend
2021
45
2022
44
2023
47
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$355M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Garland Forward Street Projects
City of Garland
$230M Planned
Garland Forward Economic Development Initiatives
City of Garland
$75M Planned
Amazon Last-Mile Facility
Amazon
$50M Proposed

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth -0.0% 22 percentile
Income Growth +3.2% 61 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.4% 22 percentile
Home Price Change +0.1% 27 percentile
Rent Growth +7.0% 91 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 70 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Garland County, AR a good place to move to?

Garland County ranks #81 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 92/100, putting it in the top tier nationally. Job growth of +1.3% and a median household income of $57,181 point to a county with active economic momentum.

Is Garland County affordable?

Housing in Garland County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $194,300 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.29, with rents averaging $966/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Garland County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Garland County are hiring — job growth of +1.3% — but the population is close to flat (-0.0% YoY). Home values moved +0.1% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Garland County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.6% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Garland County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Sebastian County, AR 96 Lonoke County, AR 97 Pope County, AR 98 Crawford County, AR 84 Craighead County, AR 80 White County, AR 72 Kankakee County, IL 92 Caldwell County, NC 92