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Ashtabula County, OH

RANK #172 / 1001 NAT  ·  #15 / 49 OH  ·  POP 97,167

1YR FORECAST: +2.9%

5YR OUTLOOK: +34%

Our model projects Ashtabula County's housing market to grow +2.9% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Ashtabula County?

Ashtabula County, Ohio, stands out for its nineteen covered bridges, including both the longest and shortest in the United States. Located in the northeastern corner of Ohio, it is roughly an hour's drive from both Cleveland and Erie, Pennsylvania. The community offers a blend of rural landscapes and Lake Erie shoreline, with Geneva-on-the-Lake providing a resort-town feel with its attractions and Geneva State Park offering beaches and trails. Outdoor recreation is a significant draw, with opportunities for hiking, biking on the Western Reserve Greenway Trail, fishing in Lake Erie and Pymatuning Reservoir, and exploring four wild and scenic rivers. Life in Ashtabula County offers an affordable cost of living. The county provides various educational opportunities, including public school districts like Jefferson Area Local and Geneva Area City, as well as Kent State University at Ashtabula and the Ashtabula County Technical and Career Campus. The local economy has a history in manufacturing and has seen recent growth, particularly in sectors such as composites, chemicals, and energy. The Ashtabula County Port Authority actively promotes economic development and job creation.

MARKET PROFILE

Heartland Steady Growth

Ashtabula County is one of 145 U.S. counties in this market profile — near the profile average on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +6.1% runs above the profile's typical +4.9%.

See all 145 Heartland Steady Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
10.7x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+6.1%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.9

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
16x

Above national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 10.7x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Ashtabula County Medical Center (ACMC) Healthcare
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Ashtabula County Government Government
    500+
  3. 3
    Ashtabula Area Schools Education
  4. 4
    KraftMaid Cabinetry – Plant #3 Manufacturing
  5. 5
    Millennium Inorganic Chemicals Manufacturing
    250+
  6. 6
    Kennametal, Inc. Manufacturing
  7. 7
    General Aluminum Manufacturing
  8. 8
    Premix, Inc. Manufacturing
  9. 9
    Conneaut Area City Schools Education
  10. 10
    Molded Fiber Glass Companies (MFG) Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Ashtabula County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
97,167
-0.18% YoY
Median Household Income
$57,728
Median Home Value
$159,500
+6.12% 12mo
Median Rent
$828
Average Annual Pay
$49,649
+5.3% YoY
Employment
29,108
-1.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3619
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.09%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
16.1%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$182,500
Days on Market
43
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
2.8
Seller's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.1%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
30.2%
Listings w/ Price Drops
26.5%
Building Permits (2025)
160
Single-Family Permits
142

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

D
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
9.4
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
14.6
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
105.0
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
39.3
Good
Good Air Days
87%
632 of 727 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
9
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
38
2022
38
2023
42
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$768M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Nodular Pig Iron Plant
Petmin
$474M Operating
Ashtabula Windfarm (Proposed)
SGR Site Associates LLC
$105M Proposed
Risberg Natural Gas Pipeline
RH energytrans
$86M Operating
Plastpro Manufacturing Facility Expansion
Plastpro
$53M Planned
Ashtabula County Broadband Infrastructure Upgrades (Connect Ashtabula)
Ashtabula County Commissioners / Eastgate Regional Council of Governments
$50M Planned

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth -0.2% 14 percentile
Income Growth +4.0% 78 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.8% 67 percentile
Home Price Change +6.1% 93 percentile
Price/Rent 16x 41 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Ashtabula County, OH a good place to move to?

Ashtabula County ranks #172 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 83/100. The composite score reflects long-term strength — housing, income, and migration patterns — but near-term hiring is soft (employment is down 1.0% year-over-year). Median household income here is $57,728.

Is Ashtabula County affordable?

By national standards, Ashtabula County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $159,500, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.36 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $828/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Ashtabula County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Ashtabula County are both close to flat — population -0.2% YoY and jobs -1.0%. Home values shifted +6.1% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Ashtabula County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.09% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Ashtabula County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

How is the housing market in Ashtabula County?

Home values climbed +6.1% year-over-year, which is a solid pace of appreciation. The median home in Ashtabula County is now valued at $159,500. That kind of growth typically reflects sustained demand rather than speculative frenzy.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Summit County, OH 83 Portage County, OH 83 Darke County, OH 84 Mahoning County, OH 84 Miami County, OH 82 Huron County, OH 81 Catoosa County, GA 83 Genesee County, NY 83