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Cleveland County, NC

RANK #766 / 1001 NAT  ·  #42 / 51 NC  ·  POP 100,991

1YR FORECAST: -2.6%

5YR OUTLOOK: +24%

Our model projects Cleveland County's housing market at -2.6% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Cleveland County?

Cleveland County, North Carolina, is known for its scenic location in the foothills of the Blue Ridge Mountains, offering residents access to rolling countryside and natural beauty. The county seat, Shelby, features a courthouse square and is recognized for its affordable housing. Other notable towns include Kings Mountain, with its historical significance related to the Revolutionary War, and Boiling Springs, home to Gardner-Webb University. Commuting within the county averages around 25 minutes, with public transportation options available through the Transportation Administration of Cleveland County (TACC), which also offers limited routes to neighboring counties. Outdoor recreation is a draw, with Moss Lake Park providing opportunities for fishing and waterskiing, and the Broad River Greenway offering trails for hiking, biking, and horseback riding. Crowders Mountain State Park, less than 30 minutes from Shelby, provides rugged terrain for hiking and rock climbing.

Life in Cleveland County offers a small-town atmosphere, attracting families and individuals seeking a community-oriented environment. The public school system, Cleveland County Schools, serves over 14,000 students across 28 schools and is highly rated. The local economy, historically rooted in agriculture and textiles, has diversified, with recent growth in manufacturing, aerospace, and data center sectors. This shift has brought new opportunities, and the county focuses on workforce development through partnerships with institutions like Cleveland Community College to meet the needs of evolving industries.

MARKET PROFILE

Idiosyncratic Markets

Cleveland County's data profile doesn't fit any single market profile cleanly — its housing, labor, and demographic signals pull in different directions (home prices -2.0% YoY, population +0.8%, wages +0.3%). About 414 U.S. counties show this kind of mixed-signal pattern.

See all 414 Idiosyncratic Markets counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
10.4x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
-2.0%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
0.8

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
14x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 10.4x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Cleveland County Schools Education
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Atrium Health Healthcare
    1,000+
  3. 3
    Cleveland County Government Government
    500+
  4. 4
    Hanesbrands, Inc. Manufacturing
  5. 5
    PPG Industries Inc. Manufacturing
  6. 6
    Baldor Electric Company Manufacturing
  7. 7
    Walmart Associates Inc. Retail
  8. 8
    Ingles Markets, Inc. Retail
  9. 9
    Curtiss-Wright Flight Systems Inc. Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Clearwater Paper Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Cleveland County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
100,991
+0.82% YoY
Median Household Income
$58,534
Median Home Value
$200,000
-2.04% 12mo
Median Rent
$914
Average Annual Pay
$53,941
+0.3% YoY
Employment
35,950
-2.0% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.2927
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
3.25%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
22.0%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$260,495
Days on Market
55
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
4.3
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.4%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
16.7%
Listings w/ Price Drops
35.3%
Building Permits (2025)
555
Single-Family Permits
396

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
7.5
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
15.7
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
102.7
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Above national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Capital Investment

$2,030M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Enterprise Data Center Campus
Multiple Fortune 50 companies (unnamed)
$1,000M Operating
Kings Mountain Energy Center
NTE Energy LLC (affiliate NTE Carolinas)
$600M Operating
PPG Manufacturing Center
PPG
$380M Planned
Broad River Solar Plant
Duke Energy Renewables
$50M Operating

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[07] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +0.8% 59 percentile
Income Growth +5.0% 90 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.8% 68 percentile
Home Price Change -2.0% 12 percentile
Rent Growth +1.7% 30 percentile
Price/Rent 14x 69 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[08] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Cleveland County, NC a good place to move to?

At 23/100, Cleveland County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $58,534 combined with job growth of -2.0% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Cleveland County affordable?

Housing in Cleveland County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $200,000 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.29, with rents averaging $914/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Cleveland County growing or shrinking?

Cleveland County is attracting residents (population +0.8% YoY) even as the job market softens with employment at -2.0%. Housing values changed -2.0% over the past 12 months. People may be moving here for affordability or lifestyle reasons rather than job opportunities.

Are people moving to Cleveland County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 3.25% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Cleveland County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[09] Similar Counties by Size & Score

New Hanover County, NC 23 Lincoln County, NC 24 Iredell County, NC 25 Union County, NC 25 Pender County, NC 18 Hoke County, NC 15 Walla Walla County, WA 23 Monroe County, IN 23