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Chautauqua County, NY

RANK #163 / 1001 NAT  ·  #14 / 45 NY  ·  POP 125,544

1YR FORECAST: +2.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +34%

#15 Most Affordable #18 Best Rental Yield
Our model projects Chautauqua County's housing market to grow +2.7% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Chautauqua County?

Chautauqua County, located in the southwestern corner of New York, is perhaps best known for the Chautauqua Institution, a historic lakeside community offering a nine-week summer season of arts, education, religion, and recreation. The county borders Pennsylvania and is a drive of about 75 minutes from Buffalo, New York. Commuting within the county is primarily by personal vehicle, with Interstate 86 providing east-west access and State Route 60 running north-south. Public bus services, known as CHQ Transit, operate fixed routes in larger towns like Jamestown and Dunkirk, and offer rural and on-demand services. The landscape features rolling hills, forests, and several lakes, including Chautauqua Lake and a significant portion of Lake Erie shoreline, providing ample outdoor recreation opportunities like hiking, boating, fishing, and winter sports.

Life in Chautauqua County offers a mix of small-town living and access to natural amenities. The county has 16 public school districts, including Jamestown City School District and Fredonia Central School District. While many residents experience financial stability, a portion of the population faces economic challenges, with incomes generally below state and national averages. The economy has a manufacturing base, with contributions from retail, service, and tourism sectors. Agriculture, particularly grape farming and associated food processing, is also a significant industry. Recent economic developments include investments in housing and infrastructure, as well as support for local businesses and tourism initiatives. There has also been investment in modernizing manufacturing facilities, particularly in advanced manufacturing for industrial components used in sectors like energy.

MARKET PROFILE

Heartland Steady Growth

Chautauqua County is one of 145 U.S. counties in this market profile — near the profile average on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +4.1% runs below the profile's typical +4.9%.

See all 145 Heartland Steady Growth counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
6.4x

Below national median (11.3x)

Home Prices
+4.1%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.3

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
10x

Strong rental yield

Housing is fairly valued at 6.4x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Chautauqua County Government Government
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Cummins Inc. Manufacturing
  3. 3
    SUNY at Fredonia Education
    1,000+
  4. 4
    Carriage House Companies Inc. Manufacturing
    500+
  5. 5
    Cliffstar Corporation Manufacturing
  6. 6
    SKF Aeroengine North America Manufacturing
  7. 7
    Lutheran Social Services Healthcare
    250+
  8. 8
    Brooks Memorial Hospital Healthcare
  9. 9
    Fieldbrook Foods Corporation Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Titanx Engine Cooling Inc. Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Chautauqua County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
125,544
-0.62% YoY
Median Household Income
$58,351
Median Home Value
$127,900
+4.14% 12mo
Median Rent
$812
Average Annual Pay
$54,751
+3.4% YoY
Employment
45,979
-0.7% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.4562
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.25%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
25.1%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$163,750
Days on Market
21
Active market
Months of Supply
5.7
Buyer's market
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.3%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
37.1%
Listings w/ Price Drops
28.7%
Building Permits (2025)
168
Single-Family Permits
168

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
2.1
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
8.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
86.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
37.0
Good
Good Air Days
87%
944 of 1,079 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
10
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
38
2022
36
2023
37
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,293M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Lighthouse Energy Storage (Dunkirk)
GCI Lighthouse Energy Storage, LLC
$500M Planned
South Ripley Solar Project with Battery Storage
ConnectGen Chautauqua County LLC
$270M Under Construction
Cassadaga Wind Farm
RWE Clean Energy
$200M Operating
Empire Solar Project (Westfield)
AES Corporation
$125M Planned
Ball Hill Wind Farm
Northland Power Inc.
$108M Operating
York Run Solar
Undisclosed
$90M Approved

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth -0.6% 4 percentile
Income Growth +3.3% 63 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.2% 33 percentile
Home Price Change +4.1% 79 percentile
Rent Growth +14.3% 99 percentile
Price/Rent 10x 98 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Chautauqua County, NY a good place to move to?

Chautauqua County ranks #163 out of 1001 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 84/100. The composite score reflects long-term strength — housing, income, and migration patterns — but near-term hiring is soft (employment is down 0.7% year-over-year). Median household income here is $58,351.

Is Chautauqua County affordable?

By national standards, Chautauqua County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $127,900, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.46 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $812/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Chautauqua County growing or shrinking?

Chautauqua County is losing population (-0.6% YoY) while the job market is essentially flat (-0.7% employment change). Home values are +4.1% over the past 12 months. A slow-bleed pattern — not a collapse, but residents are leaving faster than employers are hiring.

Are people moving to Chautauqua County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.25% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Chautauqua County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Genesee County, NY 83 Warren County, NY 86 Wayne County, NY 86 Niagara County, NY 87 Otsego County, NY 88 Sullivan County, NY 89 Franklin County, WA 84 Lapeer County, MI 84