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Chautauqua County, NY

Jamestown

RANK #173 / 996 NAT  ·  #6 / 45 NY  ·  POP 127,440

1YR FORECAST: +2.0%

5YR OUTLOOK: +33%

#13 Most Affordable
Our model projects Chautauqua County's housing market to grow +2.0% over the next year, significantly outpacing the national average.

[01] Why Chautauqua County?

Chautauqua County, located in the southwestern corner of New York, is perhaps best known for the Chautauqua Institution, a historic lakeside community offering a nine-week summer season of arts, education, religion, and recreation. The county borders Pennsylvania and is a drive of about 75 minutes from Buffalo, New York. Commuting within the county is primarily by personal vehicle, with Interstate 86 providing east-west access and State Route 60 running north-south. Public bus services, known as CHQ Transit, operate fixed routes in larger towns like Jamestown and Dunkirk, and offer rural and on-demand services. The landscape features rolling hills, forests, and several lakes, including Chautauqua Lake and a significant portion of Lake Erie shoreline, providing ample outdoor recreation opportunities like hiking, boating, fishing, and winter sports.

Life in Chautauqua County offers a mix of small-town living and access to natural amenities. The county has 16 public school districts, including Jamestown City School District and Fredonia Central School District. While many residents experience financial stability, a portion of the population faces economic challenges, with incomes generally below state and national averages. The economy has a manufacturing base, with contributions from retail, service, and tourism sectors. Agriculture, particularly grape farming and associated food processing, is also a significant industry. Recent economic developments include investments in housing and infrastructure, as well as support for local businesses and tourism initiatives. There has also been investment in modernizing manufacturing facilities, particularly in advanced manufacturing for industrial components used in sectors like energy.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
2.9x

Undervalued relative to economy

GDP Growth
+4.6%

Well above national median

Home Prices
+3.6%

Outpacing national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.3

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
10x

Strong rental yield

Housing looks undervalued at 2.9x — home prices are low relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Chautauqua County Government Government
    5,000+
  2. 2
    Cummins Inc. Manufacturing
  3. 3
    SUNY at Fredonia Education
    1,000+
  4. 4
    Carriage House Companies Inc. Manufacturing
    500+
  5. 5
    Cliffstar Corporation Manufacturing
  6. 6
    SKF Aeroengine North America Manufacturing
  7. 7
    Lutheran Social Services Healthcare
    250+
  8. 8
    Brooks Memorial Hospital Healthcare
  9. 9
    Fieldbrook Foods Corporation Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Titanx Engine Cooling Inc. Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Chautauqua County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
127,440
-0.47% YoY
Median Household Income
$54,625
Median Home Value
$110,900
+3.57% 12mo
Median Rent
$759
Average Annual Pay
$52,960
+4.1% YoY
Employment
46,319
+1.1% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.4926
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.04%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
24.3%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$159,900
Days on Market
71
Slower market
Months of Supply
3.3
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.5%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
22.4%
Listings w/ Price Drops
24.1%
Building Permits (2024)
125
Single-Family Permits
123

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
2.1
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
8.0
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
86.3
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Well below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
37.0
Good
Good Air Days
87%
944 of 1,079 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
10
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
38
2022
36
2023
37
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,293M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Lighthouse Energy Storage (Dunkirk)
GCI Lighthouse Energy Storage, LLC
$500M Planned
South Ripley Solar Project with Battery Storage
ConnectGen Chautauqua County LLC
$270M Under Construction
Cassadaga Wind Farm
RWE Clean Energy
$200M Operating
Empire Solar Project (Westfield)
AES Corporation
$125M Planned
Ball Hill Wind Farm
Northland Power Inc.
$108M Operating
York Run Solar
Undisclosed
$90M Approved

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +4.6% 80 percentile
Population Growth -0.5% 11 percentile
Income Growth +8.4% 46 percentile
Vacancy Rate 0.9% 62 percentile
Home Price Change +3.6% 78 percentile
Rent Growth +9.2% 97 percentile
Price/Rent 10x 91 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Chautauqua County, NY a good place to move to?

Chautauqua County ranks #173 out of 996 U.S. counties on the Boom Town Index with a score of 83/100, putting it in the top tier nationally. Job growth of +1.1% and a median household income of $54,625 point to a county with active economic momentum.

Is Chautauqua County affordable?

By national standards, Chautauqua County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $110,900, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.49 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $759/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Chautauqua County growing or shrinking?

Employers in Chautauqua County are hiring — job growth of +1.1% — but the population is close to flat (-0.5% YoY). Home values moved +3.6% over the past year. Labor demand is outpacing local population growth, which tends to tighten wages and housing.

Are people moving to Chautauqua County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.04% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Chautauqua County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Jefferson County, NY 82 Cayuga County, NY 81 Oneida County, NY 86 Madison County, NY 80 St. Lawrence County, NY 80 Rensselaer County, NY 79 Davidson County, NC 83 Columbia County, PA 83