23 / 100

Canadian County, OK

RANK #761 / 1001 NAT  ·  #15 / 15 OK  ·  POP 168,985

1YR FORECAST: -0.7%

5YR OUTLOOK: +24%

#23 Fastest Growing
Our model projects Canadian County's housing market at -0.7% over the next year, underperforming most U.S. counties.

[01] Why Canadian County?

Canadian County, Oklahoma, is often recognized for its historic ties to the Chisholm Trail, a significant cattle drive route from the 1800s that once brought millions of cattle and horses through the area. Located in central Oklahoma, adjacent to Oklahoma County, it is part of the Oklahoma City metropolitan area. Interstate 40 runs directly through the county, with connections to I-35 and I-44 nearby, making commutes to Oklahoma City feasible, often within 30 minutes from towns like El Reno. The community offers a relaxed lifestyle with access to city amenities, and outdoor recreation includes Lake El Reno for water sports and fishing, along with various parks.

Life in Canadian County appeals to families and young professionals, many of whom own their homes. The public school systems in towns like Yukon, Mustang, and Piedmont are highly rated. The local economy is supported by a mix of agribusiness, manufacturing, and retail trade, with proximity to the Oklahoma City market. Energy sectors, including oil and gas production, also contribute to the county's economic landscape.

MARKET PROFILE
LEANS TOWARD

Sun Belt Exurban Boom

Canadian County is one of 43 U.S. counties in this market profile — near the profile average on the BoomTown Index. Within this cohort, its recent home-price change of +1.4% runs above the profile's typical -0.0%.

See all 43 Sun Belt Exurban Boom counties →

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
20.6x

Overvalued relative to economy

Home Prices
+1.4%

Below national median

Climate & Terrain
-0.1

Below-average climate & terrain

Price/Rent
13x

Below national median (15x)

Housing looks overvalued at 20.6x — home prices are high relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Health Care & Social Assistance Healthcare
    10,000+
  2. 2
    Retail Trade Retail
  3. 3
    Educational Services Education
    5,000+
  4. 4
    Canadian Valley Technology Center Education
    500+
  5. 5
    Redlands Community College Education
    100+
  6. 6
    NARCONON (Narconon Arrowhead) Other
    51
  7. 7
    Canadian County Government Government
  8. 8
    Arrowhead Golf Club Hospitality
    11

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Canadian County U.S. National

Bars show trailing 12-month growth. The dashed Forecast bars are the model's next-12-month projection; the whisker marks the ±1% range (cooling–accelerating).

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
168,985
+3.91% YoY
Median Household Income
$87,751
Median Home Value
$246,200
+1.44% 12mo
Median Rent
$1,289
Average Annual Pay
$51,781
+4.4% YoY
Employment
39,050
-0.9% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3564
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
6.22%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
31.9%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$270,000
Days on Market
46
Moderate pace
Months of Supply
3.2
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.8%
Near asking price
Sold Above List
17.6%
Listings w/ Price Drops
27.7%
Building Permits (2025)
370
Single-Family Permits
314

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

B
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
3.2
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
13.8
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
72.9
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Below national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
41.7
Good
Good Air Days
79%
705 of 895 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
12
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
37
2022
43
2023
45
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$1,306M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Mustang Natural Gas Plant
Oklahoma Gas & Electric Co.
$462M Operating
Canadian Hills Wind Farm
Canadian Hills Wind LLC (Operated by EDF Renewables)
$294M Operating
Canadian Battery/Storage (200 MW)
Undisclosed
$200M Planned
Shell Creek Renewable Energy Center
US Solar
$200M Planned
Canadian Battery/Storage (100 MW)
Undisclosed
$100M Planned
Multiple Residential Developments (Combined)
Various (e.g., LGI Homes, Rausch-Coleman Homes)
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

Population Growth +3.9% 98 percentile
Income Growth +2.7% 49 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.3% 27 percentile
Home Price Change +1.4% 46 percentile
Rent Growth +1.3% 24 percentile
Price/Rent 13x 78 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 1001 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Canadian County, OK a good place to move to?

At 23/100, Canadian County faces headwinds that place it in the lower third of the 1001 counties we track. Median income of $87,751 combined with job growth of -0.9% suggests the local economy is struggling to keep pace with national trends.

Is Canadian County affordable?

By national standards, Canadian County is quite affordable. Homes here have a median value of $246,200, and the income-to-home-value ratio of 0.36 is well above the U.S. average — especially with median rent at just $1,289/month. Residents can generally buy a home without being cost-burdened.

Is Canadian County growing or shrinking?

Canadian County's population is growing — up +3.9% YoY — while the job market is roughly flat (employment change of -0.9%). Home values shifted +1.4% over the past year. In-migration is outpacing local hiring, which often points to remote workers or retirees driving the headcount.

Are people moving to Canadian County?

In significant numbers — 6.22% of Canadian County's current population relocated from another state, well above the national norm. That level of in-migration usually signals a county where jobs, affordability, or quality of life are pulling people in from elsewhere.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Wagoner County, OK 31 Washington County, OK 39 Cleveland County, OK 43 Pottawatomie County, OK 43 Oklahoma County, OK 55 Creek County, OK 58 Beaufort County, SC 23 Monroe County, IN 23