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Caldwell County, NC

Lenoir

RANK #440 / 996 NAT  ·  #25 / 51 NC  ·  POP 80,716

1YR FORECAST: +0.8%

5YR OUTLOOK: +25%

Caldwell County's housing market is projected to grow +0.8% over the next year, tracking near the national average.

[01] Why Caldwell County?

Caldwell County, North Carolina, distinguishes itself with its extensive collection of public outdoor sculptures, particularly in Lenoir, which hosts an annual Sculpture Celebration. Located in the foothills of the Blue Ridge Mountains, the county offers a blend of natural beauty and small-town living. Lenoir, the county seat, is approximately 69 miles northwest of Charlotte and 65 miles east of Asheville, with commute times to major cities generally under 90 minutes. The community provides a serene landscape with wide-open spaces, and residents have access to numerous outdoor activities like hiking, fishing, kayaking, and mountain biking in areas such as Wilson Creek and Pisgah National Forest. The Lenoir Greenway offers miles of paved trails for walking and cycling.

Life in Caldwell County offers an affordable cost of living within close-knit communities like Lenoir, Hudson, and Granite Falls. The Caldwell County Schools system serves nearly 11,000 students across various elementary, middle, and high schools, including innovative options on the Caldwell Community College and Technical Institute campus. Public transportation, including Caldwell Micro-Transit, provides curb-to-curb service within the county. Historically a furniture manufacturing hub, Caldwell County has diversified its economy over the past 15 years. While furniture production remains a factor, the area has seen growth in sectors such as data centers and advanced manufacturing, attracting new investments and contributing to job creation.

[02] Market Snapshot

Housing Ratio
5.1x

Above national median (4.7x)

GDP Growth
+2.5%

Below national median

Home Prices
-1.7%

Prices declining

Climate & Terrain
1.5

Moderate climate & terrain

Price/Rent
18x

Above national median (13x)

Housing is fairly valued at 5.1x relative to local economic output. The typical U.S. county is 4–6x.

[03] Top Employers

  1. 1
    Merchants Distributors, Inc. Logistics
    1,000+
  2. 2
    Caldwell County Schools Education
  3. 3
    UNC Health Healthcare
    500+
  4. 4
    Bernhardt Furniture Company Manufacturing
  5. 5
    Walmart Associates Retail
  6. 6
    Exela Pharma Sciences Manufacturing
  7. 7
    Caldwell Community College & Technical Institute (CCC&TI) Education
  8. 8
    JBS USA Manufacturing
  9. 9
    Fairfield Chair Co. Manufacturing
  10. 10
    Stallergenes Greer Manufacturing

Estimated local headcount ranges. Larger employers shown as floor + "+"; smaller employers show exact counts where reported.

[04] Home Value Growth vs National

Caldwell County U.S. National

The Numbers

DEMOGRAPHICS
Population
80,716
+0.01% YoY
Median Household Income
$52,362
Median Home Value
$158,300
-1.74% 12mo
Median Rent
$717
Average Annual Pay
$50,605
+3.6% YoY
Employment
25,506
+0.5% YoY
Income-to-Home-Value
0.3308
More affordable than average
Migration Inflow
2.87%
of pop. from another state
Bachelor's Degree+
17.2%
of residents (national avg: 33%)

Market Activity

REAL ESTATE
Median Sale Price
$300,000
Days on Market
95
Slower market
Months of Supply
4.2
Balanced market
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.9%
Negotiation room for buyers
Sold Above List
23.7%
Listings w/ Price Drops
26.0%
Building Permits (2024)
224
Single-Family Permits
224

Source: Redfin · Census BPS — Browse sales on Redfin →

[05] Crime & Safety

C+
SAFETY
GRADE
Homicide Rate
5.8
per 100K · nat avg 6.3
Firearm Fatalities
18.9
per 100K · nat avg 14.8
Injury Deaths
107.1
per 100K · nat avg 76.3
vs National Average
Near national avg
based on homicide rate

Source: CDC/NCHS vital statistics via County Health Rankings (2020–2022 avg). Rates per 100,000 population. Grade based on homicide rate relative to national average (~6.3). Learn more →

[06] Air Quality

B
AIR QUALITY
GRADE
Median AQI (3yr)
40.0
Good
Good Air Days
90%
663 of 733 days
Unhealthy+ Days (3yr)
0
Sensitive groups affected
Primary Pollutant
Ozone
Ground-level ozone
Yearly Trend
2021
40
2022
40
2023
40
Median AQI · lower is better

Source: EPA Air Quality System (2021–2023). Grade based on 3-year average median AQI. Learn about AQI →

[07] Capital Investment

$2,523M
TOTAL
PROJECT AMOUNT STATUS
Project Snow Data Center Campus (Phase 1)
Prime Data Centers LLC
$1,300M Planned
Google Data Center Expansion
Google
$1,000M Under Construction
Foothills Renewable Natural Gas Project
Evensol LLC, Duke Energy, Republic Services
$73M Operating
Community Solar Portfolio (Brighter Future Solar & Blue Ridge Energy Solar)
Brighter Future Solar LLC, Blue Ridge Energy
$50M Operating
Advanced Manufacturing & Industrial Redevelopment
Various (e.g., Exela Pharma Sciences, Caldwell County EDC)
$50M Ongoing
Evergreene Industrial Park Development
Caldwell County Economic Development
$50M Under Construction

Source: public records, news, corporate announcements. Amounts are estimates where noted.

[08] Score Breakdown

GDP Growth +2.5% 47 percentile
Population Growth +0.0% 30 percentile
Income Growth +7.8% 34 percentile
Vacancy Rate 1.0% 58 percentile
Home Price Change -1.7% 16 percentile
Price/Rent 18x 13 percentile

Bars show percentile rank among all 996 counties.

[09] Frequently Asked Questions

Is Caldwell County, NC a good place to move to?

Caldwell County scores 56/100 on the Boom Town Index, landing in the middle of the pack among 996 U.S. counties (#440). Median household income is $52,362 and job growth is running at +0.5%. The data points to a county with mixed signals — some positive indicators alongside areas that lag faster-growing peers.

Is Caldwell County affordable?

Housing in Caldwell County is roughly in line with national affordability norms. The median home costs $158,300 and the income-to-home-value ratio sits at 0.33, with rents averaging $717/month. Not a bargain, but not a stretch for most local earners either.

Is Caldwell County growing or shrinking?

Population and employment in Caldwell County are both close to flat — population +0.0% YoY and jobs +0.5%. Home values shifted -1.7% over the past 12 months. A steady-state county, neither expanding quickly nor shrinking.

Are people moving to Caldwell County?

There's a moderate stream of newcomers. About 2.87% of residents moved from another state, which is above average and suggests Caldwell County has appeal as a relocation destination — though it's not among the highest-inflow counties nationally.

[10] Similar Counties by Size & Score

Guilford County, NC 56 Onslow County, NC 57 Wilkes County, NC 58 Catawba County, NC 52 Cleveland County, NC 62 Burke County, NC 50 Victoria County, TX 56 Klamath County, OR 56